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South West Of England Regional Discussion Thread - Part 2

kold weather

By kold weather
in Regional

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Winter Wurzel Newbie

Winter Wurzel

Posted
  • Location: South Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: high pressure in summer, snow in winter
  • Location: South Bristol
Posted

Just to kill some time before the 12z.....

What I've been personally looking for this year is a decent snow event. Even with all the cold of last year, impressive as it was, we didn't get one.

Regardless of what happens tonight I'm still optimistic. After reading GP's positive post this morning I just have that hunch that we'll get another shot at it before the winter retires and we all dust off the BBQ's.

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

Just to kill some time before the 12z.....

What I've been personally looking for this year is a decent snow event. Even with all the cold of last year, impressive as it was, we didn't get one.

Regardless of what happens tonight I'm still optimistic. After reading GP's positive post this morning I just have that hunch that we'll get another shot at it before the winter retires and we all dust off the BBQ's.

Why on earth would you dust off the BBQ just to put it in the shed to keep it outta the rain. Seems silly ;)

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Tam Newbie

Tam

Posted
  • Location: Bridgwater, Somerset
  • Location: Bridgwater, Somerset
Posted

@somersetgritter Network treated at 6pm. Snow expected after 9pm crews will be ready. BBC Somerset Sound will be updated in the morning with latest info.

My kids are praying for snow lol, they both want the day off tomorrow

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weathe20 Newbie

weathe20

Posted
  • Location: Yatton
  • Location: Yatton
Posted

Temp 4.1 here way to warm for snow.

I did post the latest NAE earlier showed hardly any PPN for Bristol.

Ian seems to have seen it too.

As I said not worth staying up for unless you live in South Wales.

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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted (edited)

Looking at the radar currently it looks like a very patchy affair but maybe as it comes up against colder air in west country it will intensify as the evening progresses.

I Really do hope for an upgrade on last NAE but im skeptical.

Edited by mullender83
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Paul T Explorer

Paul T

Posted
  • Location: Portishead
  • Location: Portishead
Posted

It will all start to come together from 8/9pm. PPN will intensify, temps will be gradually dropping and it will turn to snow. (Bristol area)

That's actually what I belive should happen based on the 06z....big 12z NAE coming in half an hour....

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SteveB Veteran

SteveB

Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
Posted
12021000_0912.gifLooks like its game over for us.
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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted (edited)

12021000_0912.gifLooks like its game over for us.

How can we end up with that much change??!! :cray:

Edited by mullender83
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offerman Seasoned

offerman

Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
Posted

Maybe us to i`m right on the border line of blue and pink. It could shift slightly westward though.Maybe 30 miles will do the job nicely.

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SteveB Veteran

SteveB

Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
Posted

How can we end up with that much change??!! :cray:

Because we live in a rubbish place for snow. :nonono:

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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted

Because we live in a rubbish place for snow. :nonono:

Thats first frame though it might be initialy rain turning to snow....

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Chris K Rising Star

Chris K

Posted
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather enthusiast
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
Posted (edited)

Not liking the shift east on most recent output by the NAE. However...we will see what happens when it arrives...I'm classing it as nowcasting as there's still a bit of uncertainty on the movement/intensity of the PPN. Can't be bothered with the other thread either -there's too many posts sniping at each other on whos going to get the most snow. Childish. Makes you wonder if some people scrape the back of their freezers and throw it over themselves for snow withdrawal.

Oh and it still turns to snow eventually - it might just mean lower accumulations (if it settles)

Edited by Bugganuts
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weathe20 Newbie

weathe20

Posted
  • Location: Yatton
  • Location: Yatton
Posted

Well.....

BBC main forecast shows rain to start, rain snow sleet mix, then rain.

No rush hour snow.

No 10 cm.

I think people in North Somerset will wake up to a damp morning, and Bristol.

I would love to be wrong.

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alex12 Contributor

alex12

Posted
  • Location: Somerset
  • Location: Somerset
Posted

Not liking the shift east on most recent output by the NAE. However...we will see what happens when it arrives...I'm classing it as nowcasting as there's still a bit of uncertainty on the movement/intensity of the PPN.

Can't be bothered with the other thread either -there's too many posts sniping at each other on whos going to get the most snow. Childish. Makes you wonder if some people scrape the back of their freezers and throw it over themselves for snow withdrawal.

Not liking the shift east on most recent output by the NAE. However...we will see what happens when it arrives...I'm classing it as nowcasting as there's still a bit of uncertainty on the movement/intensity of the PPN.

Can't be bothered with the other thread either -there's too many posts sniping at each other on whos going to get the most snow. Childish. Makes you wonder if some people scrape the back of their freezers and throw it over themselves for snow withdrawal.

Honestly i think your right nobody has any idea whats going to happen! and the charts, weather forecast is chucking out all the possibilities i think!

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warmintim Enthusiast

warmintim

Posted
  • Location: Warminster
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, stormy
  • Location: Warminster
Posted

Maybe us to i`m right on the border line of blue and pink. It could shift slightly westward though.Maybe 30 miles will do the job nicely.

To be honest I think this is way better for Frome (and me in Warminster...) than before. For us its an upgrade. BUT don't expect massive snow totals out of this. The move back east by the NAE, matching the evolution on the radar is great for us, not so much for others further west in the region.

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alex12 Contributor

alex12

Posted
  • Location: Somerset
  • Location: Somerset
Posted · Hidden by alex12, February 9, 2012 - No reason given
Hidden by alex12, February 9, 2012 - No reason given

To be honest I think this is way better for Frome (and me in Warminster...) than before. For us its an upgrade. BUT don't expect massive snow totals out of this. The move back east by the NAE, matching the evolution on the radar is great for us, not so much for others further west in the region.

My forecast was great at lunchtime! :)

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Frosty_wsm Rising Star

Frosty_wsm

Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
Posted

Somehow I don't think I'll bother watching the weather on points west this evening, not after setting that latest nae anyway.

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Iceberg Seasoned

Iceberg

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

nae is more in line with the gfs now, it pushes a bigger precip area down, areas to the east of bristol down to weymouth should see just snow still.

somerset and the moors, bristol etc might see rain and then snow (still settling for these areas). devon looks restricted to snow only on the moors imho.

precip totals are high on this run by approx 50%

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