Scotland Regional Discussion

[edo]

Phew, what a day to be off work

EDIT: mate corridor

U working for the meto now BFT oh and u have mair profile pics than the schizos in the MT have personalities .... I like it

[Allyw12]

Hi all

We had some pretty amazing charts today, I'm trying not to get carried away so I was wondering what are the chances of these charts happening?

Edited December 5, 2012 by Allyw12

[WhiteXmas]

Hi all

We had some pretty amazing charts today, I'm trying not to get carry away so I was wondering what are the chances of these charts happening?

It's best to take each run as it comes and see how things are developing as a general trend across the board of all the models. Earlier today there was some disagreement amongst the models. I think the general consensus though is this will most definitely be an interesting few weeks in the lead up to Christmas!

[Gavin Hannah]

Watch the price of snow shovels quadruple over the next week. 09/10 all over again.!

[John_T]

http://www.weatherca...obsid/3031.html

Thanks!

[edo]

Hi all

We had some pretty amazing charts today, I'm trying not to get carried away so I was wondering what are the chances of these charts happening?

I'm sure in the current output we would say rare but then all the background signals and teleconnections reports from the knowledgeable have been saying this winter could produce significant winter weather so perhaps more chance than normal....we would be incredibly lucky to have these charts verify in 10days time however it looks like we will be having proper winter weather for a good spell regardless of how severe it is and I'm happy with that....these mad charts would be an amazing bonus.... I however know fleck all so LS and Lorenzo may say sometime in next few days its nailed.... Kneels down and prays

[BurntFishTrousers]

Watch the price of snow shovels quadruple over the next week. 09/10 all over again.!

Have two here - both pristine, ready for a good doing soon :-)

[cscrim]

Hi all

We had some pretty amazing charts today, I'm trying not to get carried away so I was wondering what are the chances of these charts happening?

reality is, no matter how much we would love ECM to be right, chances are slim to hee haw. i am tempted to go down the SM route and say give it another 24 even 48 hours and see where we are at.

[snow1975]

Hi all

We had some pretty amazing charts today, I'm trying not to get carried away so I was wondering what are the chances of these charts happening?

Hi,

Supposing these charts do come off, what will you do?

[LomondSnowstorm]

reality is, no matter how much we would love ECM to be right, chances are slim to hee haw. i am tempted to go down the SM route and say give it another 24 even 48 hours and see where we are at.

Well we have cross model agreement on some kind of easterly flow now, and that almost inevitably means cold. The ECM is a bit more extreme than the others but there's no reason to suggest it's any less plausible than the other possibilities...

[edo]

Hi,

Supposing these charts do come off, what will you do?

She will build an igloo and cut holes in the ice of the Tay to go fishing before heading off for a snowmobile trip around the hermitage #simples

[snow1975]

She will build an igloo and cut holes in the ice of the Tay to go fishing before heading off for a snowmobile trip around the hermitage #simples

I quite fancy a polar expedition to Denmark on foot over the frozen North Sea.

Edited December 5, 2012 by snow1975

[Snowplough33]

Well we have cross model agreement on some kind of easterly flow now, and that almost inevitably means cold. The ECM is a bit more extreme than the others but there's no reason to suggest it's any less plausible than the other possibilities...

The Met Office 6 to 15 day outlook also offers the possibility of what I interprate as an easterly. A lot more wintry than yesterday when they were talking of possible milder interlude pushing into the north west. I guess they now have the HP slightly further north than yesterday.

[edo]

The government have their agencies on alert and have fired up their severe weather procedures so they certainly worried at info from met office could see serious disruption...either that or just panic now because of the m.8 shambles

Edit why does this site think m.8 means I want to say mate lol

Edited December 5, 2012 by edodfc

[Zenarcher]

Currently -10c in Loch Glascarnoch and also really cold elsewhere mainly around -3c

[LomondSnowstorm]

The Met Office 6 to 15 day outlook also offers the possibility of what I interprate as an easterly. A lot more wintry than yesterday when they were talking of possible milder interlude pushing into the north west. I guess they now have the HP slightly further north than yesterday.

Yes, the UKMO yesterday wasn't great and there was no model consensus but today we have almost across the board agreement of the beginnings of an easterly at T+120. I'd give it another 24 hours before signing off on that bit but once that's 'nailded on' then we can start to really look at what type of snowfall we'd like best.

[snow1975]

I watch the models everyday but I don't usually write in the forums. I was punching the air when the ECM came out tonight! It's fairly certain an easterly is going to happen. I hope it doesn't 'south grade' and become an England only event as often happens with easterlies. Even in 1991 and 1987, Scotland missed the worst of the cold pool. Tonights ECM has the whole UK in its grasp.

[LomondSnowstorm]

The government have their agencies on alert and have fired up their severe weather procedures so they certainly worried at info from met office could see serious disruption...either that or just panic now because of the m.8 shambles

Edit why does this site think m.8 means I want to say mate lol

Must have been in the bad old days whn ppl 4gt 2 use vwls

[Snowplough33]

Yes, the UKMO yesterday wasn't great and there was no model consensus but today we have almost across the board agreement of the beginnings of an easterly at T+120. I'd give it another 24 hours before signing off on that bit but once that's 'nailded on' then we can start to really look at what type of snowfall we'd like best.

ECM is ridiculous. I'll eat my shoe if that comes off. Have we ever experienced such a monster?

[Ross B]

Tomorrow has the potential for a significant snow event over the hills in particular. It's also the 2nd year Anniversary of the mate shambles which I got stuck on for 16hours in 2010

Not getting excited by the easterly yet... has gone wrong so many times!!

Edited December 5, 2012 by Ross B

[mistyqueen]

Start Digging...

Lost for words..

The Beastliest of Beastly Easterlies..

Ooooh Er Missus! That's a corker! We had a wee touch o' snaw this morning and then everything froze...-2.5 at 5.30 this evening. temp now up to 2 degrees and I believe more white stuff heading our way overnight. Whaurs ma snowboots?

[LomondSnowstorm]

ECM is ridiculous. I'll eat my shoe if that comes off. Have we ever experienced such a monster?

November 2010 in terms of uppers wasn't all that far off it to be honest, although in terms of a British-Isles wide easterly it would be hard to top that ECM. The thing is that the first bit has almost full ensemble support:

and the mean looks pretty much the same for the fun part:

[Harve]

Currently -10c in Loch Glascarnoch and also really cold elsewhere mainly around -3c

-11.5c in Kinbrace.

[BurntFishTrousers]

Look at all that tasty snaw oot west

[Blizzardo]

My ice sheet left after snowfall Sunday/Monday still intact. A little light snow last night but didn't amount too much. Snow shovel sitting at the front door ready for the morning -3.9c/-6.3c. Ps excellent model runs tonight, in particular ECM, that was almost perfection for snow and cold lovers.