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South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion ~ December 12th 2012>

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted (edited)

blasted computer

PPVE89.gif?31415

tomorrow has the odd shower in the morning

afternoon looks dry with a very light southerly wind

9 degrees approx

PPVG89.gif?31415

tomorrow night looks dry

light southerly flow

temperatures could get close to freezing

PPVI89.gif?31415

wednesday

starts dry but heavy rain on the way in the afternoon

southerly wind picking up

around 8 degrees but will not feel it

PPVJ89.gif?31415

wednesday night has some heavy rain for the south east

not cold @7 degrees

light westerly flow for the south east

south easterly moderate breeze for anglia

possibility of a few rumbles of thunder with this system

PPVK89.gif?31415

thursday

rain clearing by early morning

except anglia which may stick until late afternoon

light westerly flow

around 9-10 degrees

fog could be an issue on the coasts

PPVM89.gif?31415

friday

very tip of kent under a north easterly flow

could be wet cloudy and feeling cold

rest a west-north westerly flow

should stay dry but risk of showers in the afternoon

feeling chilly 7 degrees

PPVO89.gif?31415

saturday

mainly southerly flow

showers am

more heavy pm

528 dam line over scotland and running down the north sea

546 dam air over the south west

to note

high pressure pushing down from the north east

low pressure coming in from the west is further south than the other models

also the azores high is quite a way south

12_UKMet_H500_PSL_96_144.gif?31415

bottom r hand chart

ukmo raw shows high pressure getting stronger to our east

need to see that push about 100 miles further west

or see the low start to undercut or weaken

this is very close to a good chart

more tomorrow

Edited by john pike
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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

MT8_London_ens.png

haha pub run special

20th and 23rd

huge amount of rain showing still

fi is still on the 23rd ( i think )

i will have the control run please (dk blue run)

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?ech=192&code=0&mode=1&carte=0

and my ramp chart is from the control run

gens-0-2-384.png?18

gens-0-1-384.png?18

gens-0-0-384.png?18

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Floatylight Aficionado

Floatylight

Posted
  • Location: colchester,essex,40m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Very Hot,Very cold.scared of thunder and lightning.
  • Location: colchester,essex,40m asl.
Posted

Que ?

rofl.gif it was listening!!
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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

Morning everyone!!!

There is officially no weather today, so let me put this in here to concentrate our thoughts towards a proper Winter:

winter_morning_wallpaper.jpg

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

HO HO HO

LOL smiliz39.gif

Risque de neige???!!!

Pas de possibilité :lol:

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lottiekent Experienced

lottiekent

Posted
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL
Posted

Morning morning SE'ies!

A horrible dull morning, sitting at 5.7c at the moment

Off to work...I'd like to order more of this cold outlook for Christmas Day and beyond when I come back this afternoon please :D

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Guest archiesmummy

Guest archiesmummy

Posted
Posted

Had a very intense shower Sunday night and it gave me some spectacular cloud scapes..It was getting dark so sorry about bad pics

post-12648-0-50910000-1355819201_thumb.j

post-12648-0-47171600-1355819212_thumb.j

post-12648-0-39433100-1355819222_thumb.j

post-12648-0-14923200-1355819231_thumb.j

Gosh they looked like evil clouds you get in a horror movie!

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Steve C Accomplished

Steve C

Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
Posted

Morning all!

Another non descript weather day here.

The forecast on BBC Essex called for a very wet and windy afternoon for us tomorrow, yet the NMM model shows only very slow progression of the rain, so that NE Essex and a lot of Suffolk and Norfolk won't have too much rain before midnight tomorrow. I suspect NMM model will be correct.

I've got a very busy day of work today, but hopefully a gentle calming down from then until Christmas. :)

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Pixel Community Regular

Pixel

Posted
  • Location: Welwyn Herts 115m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Surprises
  • Location: Welwyn Herts 115m ASL
Posted

Risque de neige???!!!

Pas de possibilité laugh.png

HO HO HO

NO NO NO !!smiliz39.gif

oh love the models at the mo

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted (edited)

Sorry folks, more rain on the way Thursday:

gfs_prec_eur48.png

gfs_prec_eur54.png

Early NMM charts show the SW with major issues regarding flooding again and this may transfer on to our region or diminish Something to keep an eye on:

post-6667-0-08119700-1355832324_thumb.pn

Edited by Coast
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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted (edited)

Warnings: London & South East England

post-6667-0-77811300-1355833785.jpg

Yellow Warning of Rain 20 Dec 2012, 00:05

Valid From: 20 Dec 2012, 00:05

Valid To: 20 Dec 2012, 18:00

Issued at - 18 Dec 2012, 11:45

Valid from - 20 Dec 2012, 00:05

Valid to - 20 Dec 2012, 18:00

An area of heavy rain is expected to spread northeastwards across parts of England and Wales during the first part of Thursday. Given that the ground is already saturated in many areas, the public should be aware of the risk of flooding.

http://www.metoffice...t_warnings.html

post-6667-0-77811300-1355833785_thumb.jp

Edited by Coast
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Snowangel-MK Accomplished

Snowangel-MK

Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
Posted

Yellow Warning of Rain for London & South East England :

Hampshire, Southampton, Isle of Wight & Portsmouth

Valid from: 0000 on Wed 19 Dec 2012

Valid to: 2359 on Wed 19 Dec 2012

A period of heavy rain, accompanied by strong southeasterly winds, is expected to move northeastwards across southwestern parts of England during the first part of Wednesday, with a risk of further heavy rain during the evening. Given that the ground is already saturated, the public should be aware of the risk of flooding.

Issued at: 1123 on Tue 18 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?regionName=se&from=rss&sn=5C09A36D-268A-5A81-5D3F-A845B3616FF9_3_SE&tab=map&map=Warnings&fcTime=1355745660&zoom=7&lon=-0.50&lat=51.35

Yellow Warning of Rain for London & South East England :

Buckinghamshire, Milton Keynes, Oxfordshire, West Berkshire, Bracknell Forest, Hampshire, Reading, Windsor and Maidenhead, Wokingham, Surrey, Isle of Wight, Portsmouth, Southampton & West Sussex

Yellow Warning of Rain for East of England :

Bedford, Cambridgeshire, Peterborough, Central Bedfordshire, Hertfordshire & Luton

Valid from: 0005 on Thu 20 Dec 2012

Valid to: 1800 on Thu 20 Dec 2012

An area of heavy rain is expected to spread northeastwards across parts of England and Wales during the first part of Thursday.

Given that the ground is already saturated in many areas, the public should be aware of the risk of flooding.

Issued at: 1145 on Tue 18 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?regionName=se&from=rss&sn=32039319-64F2-6615-B87C-ADC123878CBD_3_SE&tab=map&map=Warnings&zoom=7&lon=-0.50&lat=51.35&fcTime=1355745660

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Steve C Accomplished

Steve C

Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
Posted

Sorry folks, more rain on the way Thursday:

Early NMM charts show the SW with major issues regarding flooding again and this may transfer on to our region or diminish Something to keep an eye on:

post-6667-0-08119700-1355832324_thumb.pn

Just what I thought. The SW is going to have major issues with flooding again, if this pans out. :(

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted (edited)

Just what I thought. The SW is going to have major issues with flooding again, if this pans out. sad.png

It's really not good for those guys but things move NE and may affect our region on the way through. Need some further charts to firm things up for us, but I'm not liking the look of things for the South generally:

61c80ba77746a918ab12376ec880e402.gif

Edited by Coast
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Jason T Seasoned

Jason T

Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Storms and epic cold snowy winters
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
Posted

God its sooooo booooring when the weather is like this. Still week today we would have all opened pressies,had the relatives and in-laws around,I love it and then had dinner,kipped on the couch,then wake up and get on the sauce. Hopefully also by this time next week Winter may decide to show its face. Bugger i forgot that's providing we are all here after Friday.smiliz39.gif

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

God its sooooo booooring when the weather is like this.

This should keep you on your toes then. If it pans out like this, there is an area inland and around the IOW that will see substantial accumulations from this:

post-6667-0-29769800-1355845266_thumb.pn

post-6667-0-16022600-1355844943_thumb.gi

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Snowangel-MK Accomplished

Snowangel-MK

Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
Posted

Bugger i forgot that's providing we are all here after Friday.smiliz39.gif

Hope your having a great birthday Jason drinks.gif

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chilly milly Experienced

chilly milly

Posted
  • Location: Stevenage - Herts (110m ASL)
  • Location: Stevenage - Herts (110m ASL)
Posted (edited)

God its sooooo booooring when the weather is like this. Still week today we would have all opened pressies,had the relatives and in-laws around,I love it and then had dinner,kipped on the couch,then wake up and get on the sauce. Hopefully also by this time next week Winter may decide to show its face. Bugger i forgot that's providing we are all here after Friday.smiliz39.gif

Yep that is my Christmas to a tee.

Oh and Happy Birthday from me too. :)

Edited by Chilly Milly
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