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January 2013 CET (2012/13 Competition)


Roger J Smith

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Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
Posted

Hello, this has not appeared yet which makes it possible to start off with the averages and extremes table ...

Table of January CET averages and extremes

(this will appear again with all your entries added on New Years Day)

11.6 .. warmest daily CET mean (3rd, 1932 and 23rd, 1834)

8.0 ..

7.9

7.8

7.7

7.6

7.5 ... warmest January (1916)

7.4

7.3 ... second warmest (1796 & 1921)

7.2

7.1 ... fourth warmest (1934)

7.0 ... fifth warmest, and warmest since 1934 (2007)

6.9

6.8

6.7

6.6

6.5

6.4

6.3 ..

6.2 ..

6.1

6.0 ..

5.9 ..

5.8 ..

5.7 ..

5.6 ..

5.5 ..

5.4 .. 2012

5.3 ..

5.2 ..

5.1 ..

5.0 ..

4.9 ..

4.8 ..

4.7 .. --- average 2001-12 ---- (4.65)

4.6 ..

4.5 ..

4.4 .. --- average 1981-2010 -----

4.3 ..

4.2 .. --- average 1971-2000 -----

4.1 ..

4.0 ..

3.9 .. --- average 1901-2000 ----

3.8 .. --- average 1961-1990 -----

3.7 ..

3.6 ...

3.5 ..

3.4 ..

3.3

3.2 .. --- average 1659-2012 ----- (3.24)

3.1 ..

3.0 ... --- average 1801-1900 ----

2.9 .. --- average 1701-1800 ----

2.8 ..

2.7

2.6 ... --- average 1659-1700 ----

2.5 ..

2.4 ..

2.3 ...

2.2 ...

2.1 ...

2.0 ...

1.9 ..

1.8 ..

1.7 ...

1.6 ...

1.5 ...

1.4 ... coldest past 25 yrs (2010)

1.3 ...

1.2 ...

1.1 ..

1.0 ...

0.9 ...

0.8 ... coldest past 30 yrs (1985, 1987)

0.7 ...

0.6 ...

0.5 ...

0.4 ...

0.3 ...

0.2 ...

0.1 ...

0.0 ...

-0.1

-0.2

-0.3

-0.4 ... last subzero (1979)

-0.5

-0.6

-0.7

-0.8

-0.9

-1.0 ... twelfth coldest (1695)

-1.1

-1.2

-1.3

-1.4 ... eleventh coldest (1940)

-1.5 ... tied for eighth coldest (1709, 1838, 1881)

-1.6 ... seventh coldest (1776)

-1.7

-1.8

-1.9

-2.0 ... sixth coldest (1716)

-2.1 ... fifth coldest, and coldest 20th century (1963)

-2.2

-2.3

-2.4

-2.5

-2.6

-2.7

-2.8 ... fourth coldest (1740)

-2.9 ... third coldest (1814)

-3.0 ... second coldest (1684)

-3.1 ... coldest January or month (1795)

-7.7 ... coldest daily CET mean past 30 yrs (12th, 1987)

-8.4 ... coldest daily CET mean in past 50 yrs (23rd, 1963)

-11.9 ... coldest daily CET mean, 20th 1838

_______________________________________________

  • Replies 253
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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
Posted

I'm going to go for a mild 5.6 with winter remaining firmly on hold

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, nr Bristol.
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, nr Bristol.
Posted

I'll take -1.3 please. Gut tells me its going to be a cold one overall.

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

Mild to very mild. 6.2C is my guess. PV over Greenland not moving, going to ignore strat signals as I don't see any major correlation, mild SW'erlies dominating the month with little cold or snow on offer.

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted

6.1C, typical modern January, looks drier thankfully for the flooded areas, could well be looking at an exceptionally mild first week, then I reckon cooling off to average

Posted
  • Location: frogmore south devon
  • Location: frogmore south devon
Posted

Well i think we are going to get cold so -0.2 c bring on the stratosphere

Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
Posted

5.8 be my guess, some 9-11 days here and there, a few ice days possible too. Wild ride, real cold delayed to Feb.

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: cold
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted

Mild to very mild. 6.2C is my guess. PV over Greenland not moving, going to ignore strat signals as I don't see any major correlation, mild SW'erlies dominating the month with little cold or snow on offer.

?

Posted
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Showers, Snowy Periods , Blizzards, Cold Weather
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees
Posted

2.2c

Posted
  • Location: essex/suffolk/cambs border
  • Location: essex/suffolk/cambs border
Posted

3.8. Cold slowly building through the first half of the month leading to a memorable last week/first week of Feb.

Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
Posted

2.5C please.

Mild first half, followed by a very cold second half due to stratospheric conditions. A Greenie High setting up shop with some very cold temperatures, not giving up into February.

Posted
  • Location: Reading
  • Location: Reading
Posted

Probably a bit of everything, leaving an average month (keeping fingers crossed it's not too wet). Let's say 4.3.

Posted
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin'
  • Weather Preferences: cold winters, cold springs, cold summers and cold autumns
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin'
Posted

8C...

Posted
  • Location: HANDSWORTH BIRMINGHAM B21. 130MASL. 427FT.
  • Weather Preferences: WINTERS WITH HEAVY DISRUPTIVE SNOWFALL AVRAGE SPRING HOT SUMMERS.
  • Location: HANDSWORTH BIRMINGHAM B21. 130MASL. 427FT.
Posted

well i think jan gona be a mild one. So for me 6.5. Hope i'm way off mark with my prodiction. Happy christmas and new year every1.

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Well the present pattern looks set to last a while. So 5.3C

Posted
  • Location: Baldock, Hertfordshire
  • Location: Baldock, Hertfordshire
Posted

Not done this before... Mild start and then getting cooler so I'll have a punt at 4.0°C

Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
Posted

Merry Christmas all

4.8c

Posted
  • Location: Keyingham, East Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish plumes, hot and sunny with thunderstorms
  • Location: Keyingham, East Yorkshire
Posted

4.8C for me please.

Posted
  • Location: Ayton, Berwickshire
  • Weather Preferences: Ice and snow, heat and sun!
  • Location: Ayton, Berwickshire
Posted

thinking higher pressure with more TM than PM, so fairly mild overall, but chance of a colder end to the month. So going for 4.6

Posted
  • Location: Skegness,lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Heat thundersnow heatwaves and freezing fog
  • Location: Skegness,lincolnshire
Posted

2.5 for me plz :)

Posted
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but mild south-westeries in winter
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
Posted

4.6C

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted

4.4C.

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