London & South East Regional Discussion 16/01/13 18z------>

[EWS]

-6.1 in Orpington and still drifting down, maybe -7 by daybreak. I wonder if I can eek out 2 consecutive ice days after topping out at -0.9 on Wednesday.

That's weird, my weather station is recording an overnight low of only (!) -4.1 - and I'm a few miles out of the town centre.

[manutdmatt1986]

This morning's national forecast still showed the snow reaching here although they did say Saturday would be dry which seemed odd and goes against the overnight updates on the Met Office site.

[Paul Ashford]

Oh dear http://www.theaa.com/emergency-breakdown-blog/index.jsp Matt Hugo's latest thoughts

[scrat]

Morning all! What a stunning morning....temp currently -3 with a hard frost and beautiful sunshine. Adore mornings like this! Looking ahead, at least it's looking to remain cold and I will await upgrades regarding the white, fun, fluffy stuff

[Lampostwatcher]

Meto saying !

Fri pm = snow

Fri eve = snow

Sat am = snow

Sat pm = snow

Sat eve = dry

Sun am = dry

Sun pm = snow

Sun eve = snow

Latest bbc forecast snow just clipped London then petered out confusing

[Supercell 89]

Not sure which regional thread i would be best posting in now so sorry if in the wrong one. Got some light snow flurries here in Reading at the moment currently -2c

[Southender]

Well the latest NAE run is much much better!

5-10cm for most by 6am Sat.

Bank!!

[weathergeek]

Oh dear http://www.theaa.com/emergency-breakdown-blog/index.jsp Matt Hugo's latest thoughts

Eeeek!!!

Not ANOTHER day of conflicting forecasts?!!! Aaagghh!x

Edited January 17, 2013 by weathergeek

[Radiating Dendrite]

Oh dear http://www.theaa.com...-blog/index.jsp Matt Hugo's latest thoughts

That will be out of date in 6 hours judging by how the models are struggling.

[Jezzer]

Oh dear http://www.theaa.com...-blog/index.jsp Matt Hugo's latest thoughts

I think that was compiled using previous runs, I could be wrong of course

Edited January 17, 2013 by Jezzer

[Coast]

This morning's national forecast still showed the snow reaching here although they did say Saturday would be dry

Dry snow?? Lovely!!!

The best kind!!

Edited January 17, 2013 by Coast

[danm]

Latest bbc forecast snow just clipped London then petered out confusing

Would really not pay too much attention to each and every BBC forecast.

[tonbridgemole]

North sea showers are beefing up....and to me look like they are heading inland more

[Lampostwatcher]

Would really not pay too much attention to each and every BBC forecast.

normally I wouldn't but this one was a huge downgrade on the one I saw at 5am this morning

[username home]

Oh dear http://www.theaa.com...-blog/index.jsp Matt Hugo's latest thoughts

Forecasting snowfall across the UK is never straight forward for forecasters for a variety of reasons and latest model guidance has signaled some changes to the forecast for Friday compared to what was initially expected 24 hours ago.

.....and he proceeds to give a detailed, area specific forecast!?!

[nanu]

I think that was compiled using previous runs, I could be wrong of course

hope so or its gonna be another case of..soooo close again!! etc etc

[Snow Obsession]

Yay - mini icicles on the play house!!

[stotm]

Wow -5.6 at 6.00am now +2.3 and going up fast! ice melting fast, anyone else got this happening... +2.5 now lol DEW 1.8

[VillagePlank]

NAE accumulations,

T = -3.5c

T_d = -4.4c

RH = 93%

Edited January 17, 2013 by Boar Wrinklestorm

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Had to issue a weather warning to the office! Boss asked me too.. So this is what I said..

ADVANCE WEATHER WARNING

Thought I would advise everybody on the latest weather heading our way tomorrow.

Below is a capture from the NAE model. The high res model we use when weather is within a 48HR period.

PINK is snow… The darker the pink the heavier the snow. This screen capture is 12PM tomorrow:

I would expect roughly 2-3CM of laying snow by 5PM with this increasing to around 10-15cm in exposed places by Midday Saturday.

This is subject to change, the models update themselves @ 12PM 6PM AND MIDNIGHT! But big changes are now out of the question.

Thank you for reading, Stay safe!

[Southender]

Wow -5.6 at 6.00am now +2.3 and going up fast! ice melting fast, anyone else got this happening... +2.5 now lol DEW 1.8

That cannot be right?!

Still -4.5c with a dew of -6.5c here in Southend.

[Coast]

I'm still not sure why so many in here are talking this forthcoming event down? Is it some bizarre from of reverse physcology? Are you just not reading things posted in here or is it just a moany, depressing and downbeat attitude trying to drag others down?

The reality for most, if not all is that snow is coming and it looks like loads - just get over it please!!!!

[Great Plum]

Wow -5.6 at 6.00am now +2.3 and going up fast! ice melting fast, anyone else got this happening... +2.5 now lol DEW 1.8

No... -4.5 at Reigate Grammar with dew of -4.9!

[nanu]

Im afraid its looking like a Huge Downgrade!! http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/ the latest on the mets website is now showing snow to never reach us and faze out... and saturday cold and dry. unless they are just still uncertain to affected areas still?? and covering their backsides??

[tight isobar]

Some,realy need not keep reading every single personal forecast etc, this is an evolving situ, and that is only highlighted, moreso, with various conflicting, views...