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London & South East Regional Discussion 16/01/13 18z------>

A.J

By A.J
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Kent Blizzard Rising Star

Kent Blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Days and a little Snow.
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
Posted

I take the meto app forecast lol

Light Snow from Midday Friday till 18:00 Sunday.

Thats an upgrade by 6hrs lol :-D

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snowblues Rookie

snowblues

Posted
  • Location: swanley nw kent
  • Location: swanley nw kent
Posted (edited)

The latest gfs run is good for us with the general moderate snow spreading to the east of us.If you just select the rainfull amounts,you can see the slightly heavier areas pushing up off the channel and france on that se wind.For the sat night

Edited by snowblues
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tight isobar Maestro

tight isobar

Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
Posted

Yes gfs, has it all the way east,with some heavy snow right across the region...maybe amber warning over coming hours...would,nt be suprised.

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snowbob Seasoned

snowbob

Posted
  • Location: Addington
  • Weather Preferences: Love a bit of snow
  • Location: Addington
Posted

Morning-

2 runs on the trott GFS has pepped up another area of snow for the southeast at ~ 72-78.

Also prior to that after the front dies there may just be enough convection for a thames streamer-

S

now that is the best news I have heard all week

But noted you only said maybe Steve

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Love it the best idea is dont wind up coast

I don't get wound up, just varying degrees of excitement really !!!

4890.gif

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Paul Sherman Veteran

Paul Sherman

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
Posted

Looking very decent for Eastern Kent today by the looks of the showers out that way, draw a line from Herne Bay to Dymchurch and this area could have an early surprise today.

Steve I first noticed that brief East North Easterly on last nights Fax Charts as well, looks like a Thames Snow Streamer a very real opportunity (A brief One at 6-10 hours) but thats all it needs.

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Mac_SE Contributor

Mac_SE

Posted
  • Location: SE London
  • Location: SE London
Posted

Why do you say that, what evidence do you bring to that assumption?

HOW MUCH SNOW DO YOU WANT???!!!!

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Was based on the front being held back by the block, so expected a covering, but not as heavy as previously progged. However, have just seen the upgrade, so proves it's changing every run.

And how much snow do I want? As much as the falls from the classics please. Think Jan 87 was the deepest I've seen in London although Feb 91 ran it close.

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

2 runs on the trott GFS has pepped up another area of snow for the southeast at ~ 72-78.

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clapping.gif

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Jezzer Explorer

Jezzer

Posted
  • Location: Addlestone, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Warm sunny Summer days and deep snow in Winter with everything in between
  • Location: Addlestone, Surrey
Posted

Morning-

2 runs on the trott GFS has pepped up another area of snow for the southeast at ~ 72-78.

Also prior to that after the front dies there may just be enough convection for a thames streamer-

S

Looks like 48 hours of snow on the latest GFS!!!

RAMPARAMA!!!

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Kentspur Accomplished

Kentspur

Posted
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to October
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
Posted

Wow -5.6 at 6.00am now +2.3 and going up fast! ice melting fast, anyone else got this happening... +2.5 now lol DEW 1.8

You sure we've still got a hard frost and no sign of it melting here in Dartford vs the road? Is your thermometer in direct sunlight? You should be 1-2c colder than this urban location

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Great Plum Rising Star

Great Plum

Posted
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 78m asl
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 78m asl
Posted

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn962.png

I know it's four whole days away but would snow become marginal when the -5 air is north of us or could this be an 'entrenched cold' situation where -2 air would be fine?

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Paul Sherman Veteran

Paul Sherman

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
Posted

Chances of GFS 12z correcting the Precip further West with the Block Holding out ?? Who Knows atm not even the Meto

Place your bets and I will collate them all and see who were the winners and losers

Precip Back West (Downgrade) = 4/6

Precip Further East or stays the Same = 5/4

Come on then show us what you feel, could be fun at 430pm

Going with Precip back further West for me at 4/6 Fav

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davehowe1 Newbie

davehowe1

Posted
  • Location: Margate, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder.
  • Location: Margate, Kent
Posted (edited)

If you look on the rain today site it looks like that snow area in the estuary is spining.

can a small low be forming there.

Maybe we can call it the kent spinner.

Dave Margate.

Edited by davehowe1
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nanu Enthusiast

nanu

Posted
  • Location: SE,London (Catford)
  • Location: SE,London (Catford)
Posted

I'm not sure what forecast you are looking at - have just checked the forecast for Lewisham in SE London, not far from you, and it is showing a mixture of light snow and even heavy snow right through Friday afternoon and into Saturday... Which

I think may be an upgrade from yesterday.

went by the bbc news weather site with latest forecast at 6:50 this morning, so unless they didnt have the latest outputs of data i dont know...anyway we will see
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Lt. Dan Enthusiast

Lt. Dan

Posted
  • Location: Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Storms.
  • Location: Essex
Posted

Chances of GFS 12z correcting the Precip further West with the Block Holding out ?? Who Knows atm not even the Meto

Place your bets and I will collate them all and see who were the winners and losers

Precip Back West (Downgrade) = 4/6

Precip Further East or stays the Same = 5/4

Come on then show us what you feel, could be fun at 430pm

Going with Precip back further West for me at 4/6 Fav

I'll take some precip stayin out west (for now!). You seen my gambles in action though :-)

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Jezzer Explorer

Jezzer

Posted
  • Location: Addlestone, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Warm sunny Summer days and deep snow in Winter with everything in between
  • Location: Addlestone, Surrey
Posted

I think I can confidently predict that tomorrow will see the largest BLOBWATCH in Netweather's history!! drinks.gif

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crazy_diamond Apprentice

crazy_diamond

Posted
  • Location: RM15, South Ockendon, Thurrock, Essex 21m asl
  • Location: RM15, South Ockendon, Thurrock, Essex 21m asl
Posted

Hi Paul,

Yep, think I'd have to join you with precip backing west

But would dearly love to lose this bet!

CD

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Paul Sherman Veteran

Paul Sherman

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
Posted (edited)

Ok so we already have 3 for the further west, tonbridgemole on the 5/4 shot and a new bet of 12/1 snow stays exclusively south of the estuary for Mr Murr

Edited by Paul Sherman
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Tilly Enthusiast

Tilly

Posted
  • Location: Doddington, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Tornadoes, Snow and Hot Sun
  • Location: Doddington, Kent
Posted

Precip further East/stays same good.gif

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CWT2012 Newbie

CWT2012

Posted
  • Location: Croydon
  • Weather Preferences: Deep snow, thunderstorms, heatwaves
  • Location: Croydon
Posted

Chances of GFS 12z correcting the Precip further West with the Block Holding out ?? Who Knows atm not even the Meto

Place your bets and I will collate them all and see who were the winners and losers

Precip Back West (Downgrade) = 4/6

Precip Further East or stays the Same = 5/4

Come on then show us what you feel, could be fun at 430pm

Going with Precip back further West for me at 4/6 Fav

The 6Z and 18Z GFS are notorious for having things more east than actually happens?

12Z and 0Z are the ones I take more seriously

Prediction - precip back west by 50-100 miles

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Mac_SE Contributor

Mac_SE

Posted
  • Location: SE London
  • Location: SE London
Posted

Hi Paul,

Yep, think I'd have to join you with precip backing west

But would dearly love to lose this bet!

CD

Watch out, Coast'll be after you with his big, bold CAPS if you start talking it down!

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