North West England Regional Discussion - January 17th 2013, 12z onwards

[Bartlett Low]

Anyone got the Manchester airport forecast for tommorrow?

[The Northern Ramper]

GFS vs Matt Hugo. Wonder who will win this one.

I know where my money would be and it wouldn't be paying Dollars.

[martinj2]

If we get the snow I reckon we'll be looking at -1C max tomorrow

That'll do me mate

[Stephen_Mcr]

Anyone got the Manchester airport forecast for tommorrow?

http://www.aviationweather.gov/adds/tafs/?station_ids=Egcc&std_trans=standard&submit_taf=Get+TAFs

[Snowfun]

Hehe - no probs mate. you don't have to be mad to post here but it helps

Touch and go for your area although the latest GFS models are determined to forecast snow. The big confusion is arising currently because the UK Met Office is sticking to it's earlier forecast that shows very little or no snow for a region N and E of Merseyside. Sorry to sit on the fence but in these volatile and unusual weather paterns its usually a case of wait and see what is happening through your best forecasting tool - i.e. your window!!

Welcome to NetWeather!

Thank you, I now have hope again.

I have my garden lights on and curtains open watching the snowfall

My huskies love it

[wysiwyg]

Met Office yellow warning would agree though mate, 2-5cm for the north & east, more further south & west, as per the GFS.

Fair enough but the 18Z is looking a little better than 2-5cm at the moment even for areas to the north - I think the true confusion arises because the warnings don't reflect what the computer generated METO 5 dayers are showing - add in the blatent incompetence of the BBC and you have the confusion we're seeing now - Here's hoping it verifies as per GFS - cheers Wysi

Edited January 17, 2013 by wysiwyg

[greybing]

Postcode bb8 8ss

It's sending me crazy

My girlfriend thinks I've lost the plot

Thanks for the quick response

Tbh ,I think a lot of us have,myself included.I mean ,all this chasing the perfect synoptics IS CRAZY.

[damianslaw]

If anyone has just watched the BBC forecast it showed snow for the whole region by the day is out, and it will take quite awhile to clear through the night. Indeed the BBC showed more snow away from SW parts of the region on Saturday thanks to the stiff east wind piling in snow showers from the N Sea - it suggest a trough feature moving into the region.

[V for Very Cold]

lets all admits it it...we really don;t know what's going to happen tomorrow and we're 12 hours out lolololololol

[Cheshire Freeze]

I've said it before and I'll say it again, I've seen the GFS outperform the NAE with frontal events on many occasions. Not saying it will this time as no-one knows.

[chiffer]

We don't know what's going to happen im in the amber region I'll hang onto that.

[Bartlett Low]

http://www.aviationweather.gov/adds/tafs/?station_ids=Egcc&std_trans=standard&submit_taf=Get+TAFs

Thanks, will take that.

[The Northern Ramper]

I now have light snow showing on the met site from 3pm Friday until 9pm on Saturday night, wtf!

Got to be Saturdays Easterly, i've been looking in the wrong direction

[MrSunshine]

We don't know what's going to happen im in the amber region I'll hang onto that.

I'm just out of it!

[pip22]

grass is getting cover up here with some patches of white.

[HotCuppa]

Liverpool airport -> 1100 to 1800 UTC 18 January 2013 Forecast type: TEMPORARY: The following changes expected for less than half the time period Winds: from the SSE (150 degrees) at 17 MPH (15 knots; 7.8 m/s)

gusting to 29 MPH (25 knots; 13.0 m/s) Visibility: 0.19 miles (0.31 km) Weather: +SN (heavy snow)

[swainclubber]

I now have light snow showing on the met site from 3pm Friday until 9pm on Saturday night, wtf!

Got to be Saturdays Easterly, i've been looking in the wrong direction

haha sweet. where are you based

[The Northern Ramper]

And before anybody says to ignore this computer generated data it has been spot on since last weekend including tonight.

[MrSunshine]

grass is getting cover up here with some patches of white.

That would be snow.

[The Northern Ramper]

haha sweet. where are you based

Littleborough, you know me from last couple of years under a different alias.

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

That front is moving quick will be here in approx 4 hours

[martinj2]

Liverpool airport -> 1100 to 1800 UTC 18 January 2013 Forecast type: TEMPORARY: The following changes expected for less than half the time period Winds: from the SSE (150 degrees) at 17 MPH (15 knots; 7.8 m/s)

gusting to 29 MPH (25 knots; 13.0 m/s) Visibility: 0.19 miles (0.31 km) Weather: +SN (heavy snow)

Like that TAF.......so landing 09 tommorrow?

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

But is that good ir bad

[paul12345]

haha Darren Bett forecasting snow, he must be aching inside.

[Backtrack]

Met Office are worrying me. Showing a dry day now on their forecasts despite the warnings. Got a bad sinking feeling now, NAE probably will be correct. Annoyed now.