South West/Central Southern England Regional Discussion 03/02/13 12z ------->

[Dorsetbred]

So is cornwall included?

In the UK......

Of course

[fergieweather]

That looks potentially interesting for Bristol.

Key thing perhaps being overlooked in some MOD thread discussion is nocturnal chilling of boundary layer versus what 850's show per se. RegIonal modelling of lowest boundary layer currently beyond reliable scope of GM models for Sun night.

Ian, question please. What do those cross symbols running down from the Wash mean?

X = snow

O = dynamic rain

[Bolton67]

Key thing perhaps being overlooked in some MOD thread discussion is nocturnal chilling of boundary layer versus what 850's show per se. RegIonal modelling of lowest boundary layer currently beyond reliable scope of GM models for Sun night.

X = snow

O = dynamic rain

Thanks, Ian.

[Matty-H]

Latest modified GM for 12z Sun. Compare to FAX. Takes ensemble mean position. Note rain-snow discrimination thro Somerset etc is clearly clearly not to be taken literally at this range. Shorter sea track further E on S Coast enhances snow potential, as per event in Jan.

Hi Ian. What are the symbols that are a circle with a little dash? Look a bit like an on/off symbol on a tv etc. Thank you.

Sorry, just seen above reply to this exact question. Being picky I noticed one right at the end of the channel in this area

Edited February 7, 2013 by Matty-H

[Frosty_wsm]

Some interesting updates from ian I see, just a shame we're still a few days from the event so things will still change, for the better or worse, or if we're lucky the current prognosis well be exactly how it plays out.

[gottolovethisweather]

happy days!

He's never happy. but are you AJ. My glass is nearly always "half full", in fact I think I need a top-up of Magners original Irish cider right now. Of course, any other brand will do.

Edited February 7, 2013 by gottolovethisweather

[gottolovethisweather]

Lets all do a snow dance...

Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow.

[DTHFCJ]

Hi Ian. What are the symbols that are a circle with a little dash? Look a bit like an on/off symbol on a tv etc. Thank you.

Sorry, just seen above reply to this exact question. Being picky I noticed one right at the end of the channel in this area

it means get back to TWO!

[lfcdude]

Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow.

Just had to youtube snow dance....

Found this...

Funny.. But cringe worthy

[A.J]

He's never happy. but are you AJ. My glass is nearly always "half full", in fact I think I need a top-up of Magners original Irish cider right now. Of course, any other brand will do.

I'm always happy......forecast looks great, but I'm left pondering something far more important now I've seen said forecast......how many slabs of Speckly to buy?....maybe a slab or two of 'Old Crafty' as well

[cerneman]

Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow.

Love the unbiased Scientific analysis on this thread Can hear Madness singing "Our House"

[gottolovethisweather]

Just had to youtube snow dance....

Found this...

Funny.. But cringe worthy

Likewise I googled (any other search engine will do ) dancing snow angels but I should have kept the filter on.

Edited February 7, 2013 by gottolovethisweather

[chris55]

Hi Ian. What are the symbols that are a circle with a little dash? Look a bit like an on/off symbol on a tv etc. Thank you.

Sorry, just seen above reply to this exact question. Being picky I noticed one right at the end of the channel in this area

Matty always the cautions man, I didn't even notice it, to busy looking at all the x's over the Cotswolds (middle bit of the Cotswolds, south Cotswolds and Yate are way off of my radar ) lol,

Edited February 7, 2013 by chris55

[gottolovethisweather]

Love the unbiased Scientific analysis on this thread Can hear Madness singing "Our House"

Bugger your house, I want snow on RG14 please.

• Father wears his Sunday best
  
• Mother's tired she needs a rest
  

From playing in the snow maybe? I'll give us all a chance come Monday if things work out that way.

Edited February 7, 2013 by gottolovethisweather

[Matty-H]

Matty always the cautions man, I didn't even notice it, to busy looking at all the x's over the Cotswolds (middle bit of the Cotswolds, south Cotswolds and Yate are way off of my radar ) lol,

Haha! But of course ;-)

[fergieweather]

Matty always the cautions man, I didn't even notice it, to busy looking at all the x's over the Cotswolds (middle bit of the Cotswolds, south Cotswolds and Yate are way off of my radar) lol,

Warning though - don't take precip signal too literally. My gut feeling is this could result in a snow north of M4 gig, at least until backwash returns southwards with colder flow into early Monday (and how this phases with actual ppn amounts is anyone's guess). We're still miles away from any certainty. It could yet manifest a very marginal event for much of W Country, depending on shape/depth of the low, the track, and how it entrains the colder E/NE tuck later phased with ppn and WBFL (the latter looking like a steep and knife-edge gradient across the south by 00z Monday).

Edited February 7, 2013 by fergieweather

[cerneman]

Bugger your house, I want snow on RG14 please.

• Father wears his Sunday best
  
• Mother's tired she needs a rest
  

From playing in the snow maybe? I'll give us all a chance come Monday if things work out that way.

You,AWD,Coast and when he as time Gibby give some first class anyalysis on this thread, Reading your posting last night very informative,,,,,,

[DTHFCJ]

Warning though - don't take precip signal too literally. My gut feeling is this could result in a snow north of M4 gig, at least until backwash returns southwards with colder flow into early Monday (and how this phases with actual ppn amounts is anyone's guess). We're still miles away from any certainty. It could yet manifest a very marginal event for much of W Country, depending on shape/depth of the low, the track, and how it entrains the colder E/NE tuck later phased with ppn and WBFL (the latter looking like a steep and knife-edge gradient across the south by 00z Monday).

it makes you wonder sometimes was the M4 purposely built for snow events

[Chris K]

it makes you wonder sometimes was the M4 purposely built for snow events

I sense an army of netweather snow activists accompanied by some motorway destroying tools descending along the M4 this weekend.

[khodds]

I flipping hate the M4 corridor!!!!

[John88B]

I live practically right on the M4 so I never really know where I stand!

[gottolovethisweather]

You,AWD,Coast and when he as time Gibby give some first class anyalysis on this thread, Reading your posting last night very informative,,,,,,

Thank you young man, let us hope it ends up to something similar to my posting and in line with what fergieweather is currently suggesting. If it did, then there wouldn't be too many unhappy faces in here.

[DTHFCJ]

I live practically right on the M4 so I never really know where I stand!

As long as its not in the fast lane!

[TwisterGirl81]

Ill believe its properly snowing when see it! For lower elevations of Exeter, south Devon and Cornwall it's been downgrade after downgrade but I'm open to be presently surprised!!! 10 inches would be nice

[Mark Neal.]

Temperature down to 1.7c here. Dewpoint 0c. Recent Rain this evening...