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September forecasts -- 2013 C.E.T. Competition

Roger J Smith
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SomeLikeItHot Enthusiast

SomeLikeItHot

Posted
  • Location: Dulwich Hill, Sydney, Australia
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and dry or cold and snowy, but please not mild and rainy!
  • Location: Dulwich Hill, Sydney, Australia
Posted

The suspense is killing me.

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damianslaw Maestro

damianslaw

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

An odd month it has to said - the near average CET final figure masked mark changes. A very warm start followed by a cold middle and a warm end.

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SomeLikeItHot Enthusiast

SomeLikeItHot

Posted
  • Location: Dulwich Hill, Sydney, Australia
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and dry or cold and snowy, but please not mild and rainy!
  • Location: Dulwich Hill, Sydney, Australia
Posted (edited)

Final figure of 13.7 big downward correction.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2013

Corrected from 14.06 to 13.66 so full 0.4 degrees.

Edited by SomeLikeItHot
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BornFromTheVoid Maestro

BornFromTheVoid

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
Posted

Here are the daily adjustments, in tenths of a degree

 

Posted Image

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SomeLikeItHot Enthusiast

SomeLikeItHot

Posted
  • Location: Dulwich Hill, Sydney, Australia
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and dry or cold and snowy, but please not mild and rainy!
  • Location: Dulwich Hill, Sydney, Australia
Posted (edited)

I do wonder exactly how the corrections are done. They mention urban warming but if its Urban warming then surely the corrections would never make it go up?

Anyway third month this year to go down 0.4. More evidence of the Mets cooling agenda. Posted Image

Edited by SomeLikeItHot
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feb1991blizzard Maestro

feb1991blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
Posted

Absolute joke- gutted - I thought I might score with my 14.0 for the first time ever.

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feb1991blizzard Maestro

feb1991blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
Posted

What is all the correction in aid of and why cant they do it as we go along rather than the end?

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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted

Weather-history Posted Image

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Don Maestro

Don

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
Posted

Final figure of 13.7 big downward correction.http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2013Corrected from 14.06 to 13.66 so full 0.4 degrees.

Well, I was too high for September but looking unlikely at the moment that I will be too high for this month!

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Summer Sun Maestro

Summer Sun

Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
Posted

Despite the big downward correction we have still managed the 3rd successive above above month ok its only 0.1c but its still above average

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godber Rookie

godber

Posted
  • Location: Binley, Coventry 83mts asl
  • Location: Binley, Coventry 83mts asl
Posted

That's two months in a row that i've missed out by 0.1c. Ah well, there's always october!

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coram Contributor

coram

Posted
  • Location: Odiham, Hampshire
  • Location: Odiham, Hampshire
Posted

Thanks to the generous downward correction it's now the 5th month in a row I've been within 0.5C. By mid month I thought my September entry would be too high, not too low!

Well done March Blizzard - you really are great. I noticed you've guessed 10.3 for October. I think you're run of luck is just about to end in a spectacular failure.
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March Blizzard Rising Star

March Blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Stockport
  • Location: Stockport
Posted

Well done March Blizzard - you really are great. I noticed you've guessed 10.3 for October. I think you're run of luck is just about to end in a spectacular failure.

Haha, you're probably right - I've used it all up! Never say never, I say!
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summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted

Yipee, back below average.

Only 0.3C out for me but being closer to average that tends to mean more predictions pushing me down.

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Scorcher Veteran

Scorcher

Posted
  • Location: Wilmslow, Cheshire
  • Location: Wilmslow, Cheshire
Posted

They needed to start explaining these big downward corrections- it finished up lower than Manley! I really don't understand why the corrections vary so much.

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johnholmes Maestro

johnholmes

Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
Posted

Why not e mail and ask politely why this occurred, I am sure you will get an honest answer. Carping about it is helping no one.

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Summer Sun Maestro

Summer Sun

Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
Posted (edited)

Yipee, back below average.Only 0.3C out for me but being closer to average that tends to mean more predictions pushing me down.

 

Assuming your referring to the CET we are above average and not below

 

13.7c is 0.1c above the anomaly

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Edited by Summer Sun
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summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted

Assuming your referring to the CET we are above average and not below 13.7c is 0.1c above the anomaly http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Only if you follow an outdated average. The 1981-2010 average is 14C.
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Relativistic Seasoned

Relativistic

Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
  • Weather Preferences: Unseasonably cold weather (at all times of year), wind, and thunderstorms.
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
Posted

So happy that the final figure is lower than I expected. I thought my prediction would be in with a good shout but thankfully it was too high! :)

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Summer Sun Maestro

Summer Sun

Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
Posted

Only if you follow an outdated average. The 1981-2010 average is 14C.

 

Its about time time started using the 81 to 10 average for the CET forecast's now as its making it rather outdated

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Scorcher Veteran

Scorcher

Posted
  • Location: Wilmslow, Cheshire
  • Location: Wilmslow, Cheshire
Posted

Why not e mail and ask politely why this occurred, I am sure you will get an honest answer. Carping about it is helping no one.

 

I wasn't intending to moan about it John- have done what you suggested and sent a 'polite' email enquiry. I will share any information I get back about it.

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godber Rookie

godber

Posted
  • Location: Binley, Coventry 83mts asl
  • Location: Binley, Coventry 83mts asl
Posted

Well done March Blizzard - you really are great. I noticed you've guessed 10.3 for October. I think you're run of luck is just about to end in a spectacular failure.

Hope you're wrong, Ive gone even lower at 9.6c!  A very cold end to the month could have a dramatic impact on the final figure?

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DAVID SNOW Veteran

DAVID SNOW

Posted
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
Posted

Thanks to the generous downward correction it's now the 5th month in a row I've been within 0.5C. By mid month I thought my September entry would be too high, not too low!

 

 Very good, but I got June AND August spot on, beat thatPosted Image

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Oh 0.1c out wheeeeee

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