St. Jude's Storm data analysis and forecasts only.

[Wivenswold]

As this storm is proving to be a hot topic for debate. I suggest we use this thread for data analysis and forecasts based on same. 

 

Leave the "will it or won't it" chat on the original thread http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/78284-possible-severe-storm-monday-28th-october-2013-part-3/page-17#entry2817924

 

Hopefully the Mods will agree. 

 

 

[radiohead]

This is a way of comparing the satellite imagery with simulated imagery based on the ECM model.

 

http://eumetrain.org/eport/euro_12.php?width=1360&height=768&date=2013102712&region=euro

 

In the top right hand side you can select IR10.8 (infa red) or WV6.2 (water vapor), and below that Pseudo IR and Pseudo WV.

 

By toggling between these you can compare how the model shapes up to reality and see if there are any important differences.

 

It only updates every 6 hours which is a pity, but if you select Atlantic under ePort you can switch to a wider view that updates every 3 hours but it's not as easy to make out details.

[Bobby]

,,

Edited October 27, 2013 by Bobby

[Bobby]

Model takes on the system currently

GFS ECM UKMO GEM

NMM

[Kiwi]

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/marine/observations/map.html

 

Link to hourly updated data from wave buoys.

PAP has started falling ....dropped 1.8mb in the last hour

[radiohead]

992mb at 3pm, which is exactly what the 06Z GFS had.

 

http://meteocentre.com/analyses/map.php?lang=en&map=eur_full&area=eur&size=large

[VillagePlank]

Looks pretty much identical to GFS 6z,

 

[johnholmes]

see my latest post in the other thread on how the system is compared to the Wed-Thur prediction

Edited October 27, 2013 by johnholmes

[radiohead]

3pm chart has been modified to show the low 1mb deeper, at 991mb.

 

http://meteocentre.com/analyses/map.php?date=2013102715〈=en&area=eur&size=large

[Hammer]

This buoy useful to monitor. Should be at 981mb at midnight if UKMO 12z is correct. You can monitor it here.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=62303&unit=M&tz=STN

Or

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/marine/observations/Turbot_Bank_table.html

[radiohead]

K1 and K2 buoys at 990mb at 5pm.