The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion

[I remember Atlantic 252]

9 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

A rain to snow event is always a forecasters nightmare....But snow has been foretasted, what makes you think we are in for a washout tomorrow,

Except wet snow for the south of our region ???

feel we need the setup further north, it is modeled to track too far south, if it can track further north it means snow for us (after rain) and all rain for the South

feel we (especially my location) is too far north for a repeat of this snowfest! this started as rain, but heaviest snow I think I've seen, left a few cms

Edited January 11, 2017 by I remember Atlantic 252

[Dancerwithwings]

11 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

feel we need the setup further north, it is modeled to track too far south, if it can track further north it means snow for us (after rain) and all rain for the South

feel we (especially my location) is too far north for a repeat of this snowfest! this started as rain, but heaviest snow I think I've seen, left a few cms

Argeed, Stafford may not see the snow, for central/southern....Very high chance of seeing a few cm at least.

This may cheer you up Euro 4....Snow for 6am Friday morning

[I remember Atlantic 252]

1 minute ago, Dancerwithwings said:

Argeed, Stafford may not see the snow, for central/southern....Very high chance of seeing a few cm at least.

This may cheer you up Euro 4....Snow for 6am Friday morning

yes, central southern, esp St Albans sigh, we are not in the warnings though, I expect solihull to see a few cms, here to see 0

[Ian Ballinger]

So what are we thinking will happen tomorrow?

[I remember Atlantic 252]

This the ECM for next Tues, again the south of the region best placed (sigh) long way off yet though, GFS only goes for a weak E'ly

[The Wolf]

From what I can see it look like two separate events tomorrow day time and then tomorrow night. First chance begins late AM with rain possibly turning to snow in the afternoon and then another area of snow overnight. Hope we all at least get some sort of covering out of this.

[Fozfoster]

6 minutes ago, The Wolf said:

From what I can see it look like two separate events tomorrow day time and then tomorrow night. First chance begins late AM with rain possibly turning to snow in the afternoon and then another area of snow overnight. Hope we all at least get some sort of covering out of this.

I agree,but been kicked in the snow balls to many times.

[dudleyweather1]

Watch the radar tomorrow, I really don't think you can say much more than that.  The potential for snow, locally heavy is there alright but its really anyone's guess as to where will be the location(s).  It looks like rain will turn to snow, so it is another question as to whether any falling snow will lead to an accumulation.

[tom_f123]

That band tomorrow afternoon looks too far south for the majority of us

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Just now, tom_f123 said:

That band tomorrow afternoon looks too far south for the majority of us

yes, just rain here, St Albans getting it

[Ian Ballinger]

4 minutes ago, tom_f123 said:

That band tomorrow afternoon looks too far south for the majority of us

How far North do you think it will get?

[Eskimo]

Yes, I expect the rain to extend to about Stafford, however the snow I think will fall around Rugby south and eastwards. Although can't rule out a brief period of snow, nothing significant. 

[The Wolf]

4 minutes ago, tom_f123 said:

That band tomorrow afternoon looks too far south for the majority of us

 

Not according to what has been shown above by some posters.

[echobase]

And were off... However I expected more folks in here! Why so downbeat, someones been watching tv forecasts!! Two chances in 24 hrs not to be sniffed at!!! 

[Ian Ballinger]

Perhaps that's why

[Essan]

56 minutes ago, Fozfoster said:

I agree,but been kicked in the snow balls to many times.

Aye, I am niot actually expecting anything more than a few flakes amid the rain here in Evesham tomorrow.    Maybe a slight dusting Friday morning.  

But its still the best outlook since 2013!

Only time since then I have seen snow on the ground here was at 1.30am one morrning in 2015 when we had ground cover that had all gone by 6am .....  So most folk missed it.  
 

[Midlands Ice Age]

10 minutes ago, The Wolf said:

 

Not according to what has been shown above by some posters.

Watched Midlands today for tomorrows forecast.

Very interesting...

She flashed up the official MET Office charts, which showed the rain and snow further south.....

But she proceeded with the Midlands local forecast charts which had snow right up to Stafford by midday. 'Some of it heavy'    Now which comes first - was the local one just hot off the press?

Just checked my readings and I am down to -1.5 dewpoint already.

Temp is still around 5C but steadily falling.

Think we will be looking out the window tomorrow morning.

1) Any Precip

2) Rain or snow

3) Will it turn to snow?

It was suggested that Warwickshire with all the other southern areas would be affected.

Was not prepared to offer depth due to how quickly it started to snow.

Did offer up to 10cms in the north west in the evening/overnight as the Cheshire gap fires up.

Good luck to everyone.

MIA

[Essan]

7 minutes ago, Ian Ballinger said:

Perhaps that's why

True, but some forecasts - including screen shots I have seen from the BBC - show snow up as far as Birmingham tomorrow afternoon. 

But it really is a wait and see.  

[Gustywind]

That's  7pm snapshot isn't it? The front will have moved away to the east by then, you need a 12-4pm one.

[WillinGlossop]

1c dew -2c last shower was sleet but with definately flakes visible..... only lightish mind....

[chris pawsey]

So fellow midlanders, the cold set to arrive tomorrow, precipitation is still in the balance as to where exactly it will fall and how much, I would suggest the main area to look for in terms of significant fall will be the front moving southwards on Friday morning, a slight westwards shift could bring a great deal for swathes of the area!! 

Bring it on, new LED lamppost has been installed, looking forwards to staring at it for hours and hours... it's been nearly 4 years of no snow! Let's enjoy it while it lasts!!

Regards,

CP

[Chunky Flake]

I think Cannock won't see anything of note we are to to high from looking at forecasts. Southern Midlands should see an inch or two though. 

[matt_in_dudley]

I'm not sure that we'll see much in this part of the world. I feel as if it will be a "close but no cigar" type of situation. It's so hard to predict snow accurately. How many times has there been snow in the forecast for there to be some ingredient missing when they time actually comes for it to fall? It's like thunder in Summer! We haven't had much snow over the last 3-4 years here. Snow that we have had has melted within hours of falling. Don't like to be pessimistic but i just can't get excited anymore. 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

13 minutes ago, chris pawsey said:

So fellow midlanders, the cold set to arrive tomorrow, precipitation is still in the balance as to where exactly it will fall and how much, I would suggest the main area to look for in terms of significant fall will be the front moving southwards on Friday morning, a slight westwards shift could bring a great deal for swathes of the area!! 

Bring it on, new LED lamppost has been installed, looking forwards to staring at it for hours and hours... it's been nearly 4 years of no snow! Let's enjoy it while it lasts!!

Regards,

CP

the front moving southwards Fri am, bbc shows down the east coast, and thicknesses do not support snow for our region

 

[Snowy L]

23 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

the front moving southwards Fri am, bbc shows down the east coast, and thicknesses do not support snow for our region

 

It's sub-528 for all of the Midlands. The East coast may see rain though.