Model Moans, Ramps and Banter

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

Just now, joggs said:

Hope this is tongue in cheek.Looks good to me.lol

It seemed as though it was, and might yet.  As a mild fan, it want it to.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

5 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

TMW bringing reality to previously-cold models, I see, with the ECM about to flatten the 'block', bringing it into line with the Met Office model.

Not great Chris, -4 uppers will not bring snow to low levels, at least not convective style

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

Just now, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Not great Chris, -4 uppers will not bring snow to low levels, at least not convective style

I don't want it to, though neither do I want cold rain (mild rain, on the other hand, is what's needed down here).

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Agree Chris, the ECM chart I posted vile for cold and mild fans, next chart sees snow for north only, still not that cold in the south

[I remember Atlantic 252]

now 144 better, definitely seems like snow possible

[joggs]

Tbh it's a good run from a coldie pov.

Pattern set to lock cold in and wintry showers and frosts.Becoming colder also and high doing a blocking job.

Days are getting shorter and that will aide cooling of western Europe.

Some v cold nights also.

[Optimus Prime]

32 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

now 144 better, definitely seems like snow possible

Looks like Sebastian the squirrel won't be happy, judging by that chart. 

[V for Very Cold]

Whilst Sidney is busy hiding his nuts....looks like we’re in for a good run of cold weather. Whilst snow maybe a little thin on the ground (lol) we won’t be far off from switching forecasting to nowcasting  

 

[knocker]

I was in the butchers this morning looking for some nice slices of pork when the butcher asked whether I would like the undercut. I came over quite faint for a moment.

[V for Very Cold]

Well so much for cold sweeping in..... absolutely piddling down here.... mind you if the temperature does drop below freezing.... will be hell tomorrow morning 

[V for Very Cold]

7 minutes ago, knocker said:

I was in the butchers this morning looking for some nice slices of pork when the butcher asked whether I would like the undercut. I came over quite faint for a moment.

Good job he didn’t offer you extra stuffing! 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

3 minutes ago, V for Very Cold said:

Well so much for cold sweeping in..... absolutely piddling down here.... mind you if the temperature does drop below freezing.... will be hell tomorrow morning 

bbc going for a wet day tomorrow, cannot see it being frosty

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Vile day, this area looks especially wet, 

[snowblizzard]

Met Office/BBC Weather for next few days - nothing unusual & nothing extreme, just cold!

Could have been very different if it was late December or early January! 

Edited November 24, 2017 by snowblizzard

[snowblizzard]

Meteorologist Joe Cioffi predicts (GFS) fairly quiet, warmer than average conditions for most of USA during the next 7-10 days

But he also talks about East based -NOA and a very cold trough dropping into Western Europe and the British Isles!

Snow for many parts of UK especially Scotland, Northern Ireland, Northern & Central England

Nothing much in the way of snow expected for Southern Counties of England!

That's usually the way with N/NW winds.

After that, models indicating (as they would) a possible weakening of the blocking pattern and Atlantic breakthrough!

Then, cold returns to NE USA

It looks like we have a really interesting period of model watching to look forward to.

 

 

 

Edited November 25, 2017 by snowblizzard

[chris78]

Someone in the model thread mentioned how nice or would be to get accurate model predictions to t300 regularly.

What would they take?  Just money, for more currently available tech and computing power.  Research into new tech, or a leap forward in our understanding of the fundamentals plus the other two? 

[JeffC]

11 hours ago, knocker said:

I was in the butchers this morning looking for some nice slices of pork when the butcher asked whether I would like the undercut. I came over quite faint for a moment.

Don't tell me you asked for a beast from the east and he offered you a recipe for wild boar goulash? 

[mushymanrob]

i was going to come here to moan about the light sprinkling of snow i woke up to...

... but actually it prevented frosted windscreens, so old mushy is quite satisfied with that!

[mushymanrob]

1 hour ago, Team Jo said:

Enjoy the cold air today!

 

 

............ that is something some of us cannot do. its horrible.

[Spikey M]

[V for Very Cold]

Bloody raining here! Lol

[ribster]

20 hours ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Agree Chris, the ECM chart I posted vile for cold and mild fans, next chart sees snow for north only, still not that cold in the south

Not that cold? Need to step outside I think!

[Sweatyman]

6 hours ago, JeffC said:

Don't tell me you asked for a beast from the east and he offered you a recipe for wild boar goulash? 

Serve up some squirrel

[78/79]

I have visions of certain members of the BBC weather team looking pig sick as they do the forecasts next week

[markyo]

There's some very strange folk about today,got some odd stares off them. Haven't they seen anybody wearing shorts before? Nought as queer as folk i suppose....