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Paul

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Posted
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
  • Weather Preferences: Fascinated by extreme weather. Despise drizzle.
  • Location: New Forest (Western)

How I wish I'd been on a hot air balloon that day! The novelty of experiencing such a big increase in temperature with height would have been something to behold. 

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
12 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

 

That must be terrible news, for those of us who expect pressure to always remain constant, then?:oldgood:

Pressure changes over time? Who'd a'thunk it!:shok:

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Posted
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
  • Weather Preferences: Fascinated by extreme weather. Despise drizzle.
  • Location: New Forest (Western)

Small holes in the anomalous westerlies east of the Dateline aren't going to have much impact.

Negative AAM anomaly is worthy of some note, but is down to short-timescale variability (tropical flareup in the Indian Ocean) on top of the longer-timescale Nino standing wave forcing, the resurgence of which suggests that AAM should soon rise again, even while a bit of tropical activity flares up in the Indian Ocean (which doesn't look very strong).

Huge scatter in those longer-term GEFS and the mean is slightly above the 1013 mb neutral line, so drawing any conclusions from that is futile, especially at this time of year, when ridges tend to have less high SLP anyway.

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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset

Weird things to write .. "bringing drier and warmer conditions" ? You cannot get much drier than it has been in the past ten days. And warmer would mean hot, because it has been very warm in the past two weeks.

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