North West England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/2017 onwards

[damianslaw]

2 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

interesting , coniston fells where my preferred choice to have a walk out in the white stuff and only a15 minute drive 

I'll stick my neck out and say if the flow is more westerly then the Coniston Fells will see significant snowfall indeed. I look onto them from my window.

[swainclubber]

Very intriguing setup isn't it. Never seen anything quite like it. Especially that image with the train of lows. What is encouraging is the fact the met office predict snow. Too many times the models say snow, the met say rain and I trust the models only to be bitterly disappointed. Fingers crossed!!!!

[Spah1]

During Friday, increasingly frequent snow showers already affecting parts of Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England will extend across many other northern and western parts of the UK. 2-5 cm of snow is likely fairly widely, with 10-20 cm in places, mainly northern Scotland, Northern Ireland, north Wales and perhaps the northwest Midlands. Icy surfaces are also likely to be an additional hazard, especially overnight. The heaviest and most frequent snow showers will progressively become confined to northeast Scotland during Saturday. 
Possible travel delays on roads stranding some vehicles and passengers with possible delays and cancellations to rail and air travel.Some rural communities could be cut off and power supplies interrupted. 

Just re-read this. 

Looks great.

[Mokidugway]

5 minutes ago, damianslaw said:

I'll stick my neck out and say if the flow is more westerly then the Coniston Fells will see significant snowfall indeed. I look onto them from my window.

I would have a view but mansriggs  moor blocks. It ,lol

[Weather-history]

Manchester airport latest TAF

Time: 20:45 (20:45 UTC)

Forecast

The report was made 15 minutes ago, at 20:30UTC

Forecast valid from 06 at 20 UTC to 07 at 24 UTC

Wind 8 kt from the South

Visibility 10 km or more

Broken clouds at a height of 2000 ft

Temporary
from 06 at 20 UTC to 06 at 24 UTC

Wind 20 kt from the South/Southwest with gusts up to 30 kt

Visibility: 7000 m

Broken clouds at a height of 1400 ft

rain

Becoming
from 07 at 00 UTC to 07 at 03 UTC

Wind 22 kt from the Southwest with gusts up to 32 kt

Temporary
from 07 at 00 UTC to 07 at 07 UTC

Visibility: 6000 m

Broken clouds at a height of 1000 ft

rain

Probability 30% :

Temporary
from 07 at 00 UTC to 07 at 07 UTC

Visibility: 3000 m

Broken clouds at a height of 700 ft

heavy rain

Becoming
from 07 at 06 UTC to 07 at 09 UTC

Wind 15 kt from the West with gusts up to 25 kt

Temporary
from 07 at 12 UTC to 07 at 18 UTC

Wind 25 kt from the West with gusts up to 35 kt

Visibility: 6000 m

rain showers

Probability 30% :

Temporary
from 07 at 16 UTC to 07 at 22 UTC

Visibility: 4000 m

Broken clouds at a height of 1400 ft, Cumulonimbus.

rain showers, snow

Becoming
from 07 at 21 UTC to 07 at 24 UTC

Wind 12 kt from the West

Probability 30% :

Temporary
from 07 at 22 UTC to 07 at 24 UTC

Visibility: 0800 m

Broken clouds at a height of 400 ft

snow showers

TAF: EGCC 062030Z 0620/0724 19008KT 9999 BKN020 TEMPO 0620/062421020G30KT 7000 RA BKN014 BECMG 0700/0703 22022G32KT TEMPO 0700/0707 6000 RA BKN010 PROB30 TEMPO 0700/0707 3000 +RA BKN007 BECMG 0706/0709 28015G25KT TEMPO 0712/071828025G35KT 6000 SHRA PROB30 TEMPO 0716/0722 4000 SHRASN BKN014CB BECMG 0721/0724 26012KT PROB30 TEMPO 0722/0724 0800 SHSN BKN004

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Latest bbc weather has it snowing tomorrow at 1500!! Even low down

[itsnowjoke]

How low

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Mersey coastline low

[loubie_4]

2 minutes ago, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

Mersey coastline low

That would be something! And would bode well for tomorrow night/Friday morning. 

[Spah1]

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/42258898

fantastic! 

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Working nights, i was worried about not being able to get back on friday morning but i might not have that problem if i cant get there ?

[Thunder Snow]

11 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/42258898

fantastic! 

Even snow for me tomoz night  on bbc week ahead forecas

[itsnowjoke]

18 minutes ago, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

Working nights, i was worried about not being able to get back on friday morning but i might not have that problem if i cant get there ?

I can see a plan occurring 

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Just now, itsnowjoke said:

I can see a plan occurring 

Haha i cant take another night off. Tonight is my 1st of this week so need ro be next 11 nights in work. But if weather conditions are shall we say “dangerous” then maybe will be unavoidable ?

[I Cumbria Marra I]

21 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/42258898

fantastic! 

That trough looks tasty

[tedmus]

20 minutes ago, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

Working nights, i was worried about not being able to get back on friday morning but i might not have that problem if i cant get there ?

I have to get from Wallasey to Northwich on Friday and Monday as covering my colleague at work, no other cover for us 

[Mokidugway]

I was driving to Kent and back at 3 am in the morning but I've moved it to next week 

[NickyB]

Hi tedmus .... another Wallasey Village snow fan here ? Snow where we live is something quite special ☃️?

[JeffC]

1 hour ago, damianslaw said:

I'll stick my neck out and say if the flow is more westerly then the Coniston Fells will see significant snowfall indeed. I look onto them from my window.

I live in them!!

I'm right under the Old Man - and look east towards Grizedale from my office and bedroom... 

I'll let you all know how much snow we get provided the snow isn't that deep that it knocks off all the Internet etc...

[Thunder Snow]

I think the next 48 hours or so will come down to nowcasting

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

1 minute ago, Thunder Snow said:

I think the next 48 hours or so will come down to nowcasting

Always the way in these setups. 

[Thunder Snow]

1 minute ago, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

Always the way in these setups. 

yep i dont even get a shower on the 18z so far 

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

18z isnt showing the trough feature either or the amplification 

[Mokidugway]

Northward shift on the 18 

[tedmus]

6 minutes ago, Chill Pill said:

Hi tedmus .... another Wallasey Village snow fan here ? Snow where we live is something quite special ☃️?

Hey Chill Pill ?

I like snow but not when it means it knackers my commute! Last time we had it bad here (2010?) it was like an ice rink round here, took me about 5 hours to get home, had to ditch the car at the bottom of the hill by St Hilarys. The council got slated and now seem to get the gritters out at the slightest chance of any cold weather.