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The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion - 07/12/2017 Onwards

BlueHedgehog074

By BlueHedgehog074
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tyson99 Apprentice

tyson99

Posted
  • Location: NG16 -- North Nottinghamshire
  • Location: NG16 -- North Nottinghamshire
Posted

So reading all the comments has it moved north ?  The actual amount is probably guess work with 50-100 miles being mentioned but maybe that would align with what the met forecast has been consistent with all day regards north Midlands snow event 

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MKN Community Regular

MKN

Posted
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
Posted

12z to 18z further south. Focus still to the west surprisingly for me as most other models as per meto update include areas further east.

Screenshot_20171209-213747.jpg

Screenshot_20171209-213817.jpg

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snowstorm27x Enthusiast

snowstorm27x

Posted
  • Location: Oldbury
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and ice, thunderstorms
  • Location: Oldbury
Posted
10 minutes ago, tyson99 said:

So reading all the comments has it moved north ?  The actual amount is probably guess work with 50-100 miles being mentioned but maybe that would align with what the met forecast has been consistent with all day regards north Midlands snow event 

Latest gfs has it further south again but radar looks further North who will win. Fight lol. This is great Drama.

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kmanmx Aficionado

kmanmx

Posted
  • Location: South Leicestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow. Cold
  • Location: South Leicestershire
Posted
6 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

GFS18z is further south.

F2BBCE48-596A-4FA3-8987-E70918CC1085.jpeg

I'd ignore it... the met office have far more, higher resolution models an up to date data than the GFS, and they're sticking with their more northern track.

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Snowy L Maestro

Snowy L

Posted
  • Location: Burton-on-Trent (90m), Larnaka most Augusts
  • Location: Burton-on-Trent (90m), Larnaka most Augusts
Posted (edited)

Weirdly BBC has upgraded my area tomorrow, an extra hour of heavy snow.

Edited by Snowy L
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MKN Community Regular

MKN

Posted
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
Posted
6 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

GFS18z is further south.

F2BBCE48-596A-4FA3-8987-E70918CC1085.jpeg

The main dissapointment isnt the fact its further south as you can see from the gfs and most models stoke, my area and many others are still going to see a fall of 5cm maybe 10 or more in places. However the speed in which the precip moves through and loses intensity is the main reason for lower predicted totals. Previously heavy snowfall was likely for 12 hours now i think majority are looking at heavy snow (1.5-2cm per hour) between 5/6 am till 10am ish. Still in perspective it hasnt snowed for a few years so in that regard its being greedy based on charts of 24 hours ago.

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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted
7 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

GFS18z is further south.

F2BBCE48-596A-4FA3-8987-E70918CC1085.jpeg

Wouldn't want to throw the towel in just yet....How is it further South :crazy:

12-574UK_tay9.GIF15-574UK_ifz3.GIF18-574UK_vyd5.GIF21-574UK_crn2.GIF

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mildmuck Apprentice

mildmuck

Posted
  • Location: Bromsgrove, Worcestershire
  • Location: Bromsgrove, Worcestershire
Posted
5 minutes ago, snowstorm27x said:

Latest gfs has it further south again but radar looks further North who will win. Fight lol. This is great Drama.

I do find it rather odd I have to say, I don't think I've seen quite so much disagreement between models and met office.

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted

Showing a max of 1.5 inches (less than 4 cm). Better than nothing but pitiful compared to what was expected not long ago. From potentially 15-30 cm of snow the past few days to actually getting 4 cm. To think I've been really excited all week about seeing my first really significant snow in 7 years. Made myself look like a complete idiot to everyone I know.

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andy_leics22 Rising Star

andy_leics22

Posted
  • Location: Ratby, Leicester.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms
  • Location: Ratby, Leicester.
Posted
6 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

Wouldn't want to throw the towel in just yet....How is it further South :crazy:

12-574UK_tay9.GIF15-574UK_ifz3.GIF18-574UK_vyd5.GIF21-574UK_crn2.GIF

Hold on, does that have it turning to rain for Rushden?! 

*starts complaining about the Rushden snow shield*

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MKN Community Regular

MKN

Posted
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
Posted

Heaviest precip gone from yellow lines to red over last 24 hours . Doesnt rule out all of the midlands though.

20171209_215750.jpg

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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted
3 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Showing a max of 1.5 inches (less than 4 cm). Better than nothing but pitiful compared to what was expected not long ago. From potentially 15-30 cm of snow the past few days to actually getting 4 cm. To think I've been really excited all week about seeing my first really significant snow in 7 years. Made myself look like a complete idiot to everyone I know.

my last significant snow was Jan '13 and Mar '13

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

my last significant snow was Jan '13 and Mar '13

Last time for me was December 2010. Seen small falls since, mostly slop and had many disappointments living in London.

Edited by MattStoke
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nobble Rising Star

nobble

Posted
  • Location: pelsall, 500ft asl (west mids)
  • Location: pelsall, 500ft asl (west mids)
Posted

It is downgrading for the west mids

over the last 24 hours of updates I've lost 6 hours of heavy snow ?

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MKN Community Regular

MKN

Posted
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
Posted
5 minutes ago, Cov87 said:

Chill out guys still looks great for all of the mids!!

No one ever chills out prior to snow in this country. Lol in Canada maybe

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted (edited)

BBC and Met Office forecasts continue to decrease the length of heavy snow here. 3 hours down from 12.

Good news though. My home town of Harrow, Greater London is now forecast snow. If they get more snow than me, I won’t know whether to laugh or cry!

Edited by MattStoke
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bearing Contributor

bearing

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford
Posted
25 minutes ago, mildmuck said:

Only slightly. No need to panic ! :D:cold:

Yeah, you'll be fine the Northern line is at Blurton, anything North of there will have sleet. :D

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