North West England Regional Discussion Thread 15/1/2018 onwards

[Day 10]

4 minutes ago, Frost HoIIow said:

It's not misleading at all. Fact is it was bloody cold month and not likely to be repeated in a long while. It could happen this year but given our warming planet it's a lower probability than say 30 years ago.

Good to have several big factors on our side, let's hope we roll a double 6

[pip22]

5 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Links not working mate

Just put on Ventusky and click on ppn it shows snow as well.

[Frost HoIIow]

Just now, Day 10 said:

Good to have several big factors on our side, let's hope we roll a double 6

Hopefully with the continuing lower solar activity we could hit the jackpot next winter as well. We need all the help we can get these days to get a proper cold spell. It's been cold recently for sure but this is nothing compared to what we had in early and late 2010.

[Day 10]

4 minutes ago, pip22 said:

Just put on Ventusky and click on ppn it shows snow as well.

Just tried it, doesn't work for me it says secure connection failed.

[pip22]

1 minute ago, Day 10 said:

Just tried it, doesn't work for me it says secure connection failed.

I just had the same problem too. Maybe a cyberattack or something?

 

Edited February 7, 2018 by pip22

[Day 10]

1 minute ago, Frost HoIIow said:

Hopefully with the continuing lower solar activity we could hit the jackpot next winter as well. We need all the help we can get these days to get a proper cold spell. It's been cold recently for sure but this is nothing compared to what we had in early and late 2010.

Totally agree but let's see how things look by mid-month, good to have a realistic shot of proper cold at least.

[Day 10]

2 minutes ago, pip22 said:

I just had the same problem too. Maybe a cyberattack or something?

 

It must have frozen pun intended

[cheshire snow]

Radar showing some sleet/snow towards the south and west of the region

C.S

[Alexis]

39 minutes ago, Frost HoIIow said:

It's not misleading at all. Fact is it was bloody cold month and not likely to be repeated in a long while. It could happen this year but given our warming planet it's a lower probability than say 30 years ago.

Yes it was a bloody cold month, but I’m just saying just because it was cold in 2013 doesn’t make it any more or less likely that March 2017 would be just as cold. If February turns out to be a bust don’t take away our chances of an extreme March! :-D

[cheshire snow]

Just checking rain Today and showing PPN edging into Blackpool/Southport Area

C.S

[Mokidugway]

4 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

Just checking rain Today and showing PPN edging into Blackpool/Southport Area

C.S

There is snow in it but nothing  to get excited about.

 

[cheshire snow]

Anyone see the National Forecast for Friday Morning Big area of snow covering the Region

C.S

[Mokidugway]

1 minute ago, cheshire snow said:

Anyone see the National Forecast for Friday Morning Big area of snow covering the Region

C.S

Couldn't hear it because of wife slagging of the weathergirls fashion sense 

[Chris.R]

 Bbc app has sleet for the next hour. Currently 2.7°C but DP below freezing -0.2°C. 

[Chris.R]

 Has anyone noticed there are no heavy rain/heavy snow icons on the BBC app, or something weird going on with me? 

[Frost HoIIow]

39 minutes ago, Alexis said:

Yes it was a bloody cold month, but I’m just saying just because it was cold in 2013 doesn’t make it any more or less likely that March 2017 would be just as cold. If February turns out to be a bust don’t take away our chances of an extreme March! :-D

I would like an extreme (cold) March as much as others but the fact is a March like 2013 rarely happen, if you can provide details why you think it *could* happen as little as 5 years after 2013 then go ahead but you haven't. We could get a March like 2006 which was better for cold and snow at the beginning than most March's but even that year was still way behind 2013. It's not what you want to hear but in a warming world we are more likely to get warmer than average weather. 

Edited February 7, 2018 by Frost HoIIow

[Day 10]

34 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

Radar showing some sleet/snow towards the south and west of the region

C.S

It's lying, the radar not snow lol

Edited February 7, 2018 by Day 10

[Day 10]

My post is still in the MOD thread

[chris78]

3 minutes ago, Frost HoIIow said:

I would like an extreme (cold) March as much as others but the fact is a March like 2013 rarely happen, if you can provide details why you think it *could* happen as little as 5 years after 2013 then go ahead but you haven't. We could get a March like 2006 which was better for cold and snow at the beginning than most March's but even that year was still way behind 2013. It's not what you want to hear but like I said to a different member in a warming world we are more likely to get warmer than average weather. 

What he is saying is, March 2018 may or may not be cold, but March 2013 has nothing to do with it.  There is a one in six chance of me rolling a six on a dice, if I roll five sixes in a row there is still a one in six chance the next will be six. 

[Frost HoIIow]

2 minutes ago, chris78 said:

What he is saying is, March 2018 may or may not be cold, but March 2013 has nothing to do with it.  There is a one in six chance of me rolling a six on a dice, if I roll five sixes in a row there is still a one in six chance the next will be six. 

Well if that's really true why haven't we had since the late 80s colder or even average winters more often? We've had a lot of milder than average ones. Our climate is warming, most notably in winter its that simple. 

[I Cumbria Marra I]

Been raining for about an hour here now, still feels cold though

[Mokidugway]

14 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

My post is still in the MOD thread

It's ok I've reported it 

[damianslaw]

Currently snowing, only very light snowflakes, evidence we have very cold surface air at the moment.

A very cold day after a min of -7 degrees, no thaw of lying snow, think we only scraped 1 degree so nearly an ice day, and it felt very bitter even though the morning was gloriously sunny. Indeed the morning reminded me back to the wonderful cold clear blue sky days we had in winters of 09/10 and Dec 10, and at times in winter 12/13, we've had very few days since that dawned with snow cover and low temps and clear skies - more of these please!

We are definately experiencing the coldest and snowiest winter since 12/13 here at least and have a few weeks left. 

 

[itsnowjoke]

Off to bed early start 

[itsnowjoke]

Can't sleep so 2c here now colder today than tonight