North west regional discussion

[Spah1]

5 minutes ago, captaincroc said:

 

That area of snow is looking bigger and in a better position to hit us! Looks a lot heavier too than on other models.

Still seems to split if you follow the gfs 

[Day 10]

Here are a selection of snow charts through this week.

Monday

Could see some light snow flurries, the lightest of shadings on the charts but still snow all the same.

 

Tuesday

The system set to track in on Tuesday doesn't look that great to me now, as you can see from the charts below it either breaks up over the Pennines or misses us completely depending on which model you look at. Hopefully as others point out with the unusual conditions the models may be underestimating the precipitation and it may actually pep up the closer it gets, could actually turn out a nice surprise.

 

Wednesday & Thursday

At this stage sunshine and snow showers, but again as we get nearer midweek don't be surprised to see trough features being picked up in the unstable flow pepping up shower activity.

 

Friday

Potential blizzard conditions, but this is still just over 5 days away!

 

All in all a pretty exciting weather week coming up if you are a snow fan so let's hope it delivers!!!

 

[Day 10]

A downgrade on Tuesday for the west of the region

Edited February 25, 2018 by Day 10

[Day 10]

Wednesday still looks good but we are still on yesterday's update.

[Winter Hill]

4 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

A downgrade for Tuesday for the west of the region

Chin up. Don't forget we were under Amber warnings in December and they got that wrong 

[Day 10]

2 minutes ago, Winter Hill said:

Chin up. Don't forget we were under Amber warnings in December and they got that wrong 

Yes agreed, so far this Winter for my location anyway not sure on others all weather warnings have failed.

Edited February 25, 2018 by Day 10

[Day 10]

-15 uppers by midweek is just incredible, add in the windchill and hopefully snow showers...

[Winter Hill]

1 minute ago, Day 10 said:

-15 uppers by midweek is just incredible, add in the windchill and hopefully snow showers...

-15 uppers and if I see any sleet I'm finding a new hobby lol 

[Darren Bown]

its guaranteed to be snow this week, it’s just if and how much.

[Wardlegacy]

Not very scientific but I think most of Tuesday’s snow will head to the midlands! Thinking back through the years it always seems that the place that gets the first snowfall of winter always seems to get future ones. Wouldn’t surprise me at all to wake up on Tuesday to see news reports of heavy snow in Birmingham!

[Snow free zone]

Well as expected we are now out of the warning areas here and are looking at a cold dry week - forecasts from the ukmet back this up. 

Fridays low I expect something broadly similar to the low that moved up from the south in cold air in 2013 (snow cover picture attached a few pages ago) areas to the west of here got quite a decent covering out of that whilst we were under the snow shadow.  Coastal areas could do quite well if it stays cold enough, alot to be decided on this LP yet though but it looks similar atm to that low in 2013. 

[Darren Bown]

Amber warning out for Yorkshire and Lincolnshire makes it seem like the feature on Tuesday will head further south.

[gearbox100]

15 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

A downgrade on Tuesday for the west of the region

I fully expected this, I think us in the West of the region will see nothing meaningful until the breakdown. The sun being out is a proper bonus tho. 

[Day 10]

4 minutes ago, Darren Bown said:

Amber warning out for Yorkshire and Lincolnshire makes it seem like the feature on Tuesday will head further south.

Yep another kick in the teeth as that low which looked like a direct hit for a couple of days looks like avoiding our region like the plague once again!

[Mokidugway]

5 minutes ago, gearbox100 said:

I fully expected this, I think us in the West of the region will see nothing meaningful until the breakdown. The sun being out is a proper bonus tho. 

That's as expected , been out bloody bitter

[Day 10]

Just now, Mokidugway said:

That's as expected , been out bloody bitter

On the ale early aren't you

[Mokidugway]

1 minute ago, Day 10 said:

On the ale early aren't you

Lol getting ready to build a no man .....

[Winter Hill]

3 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

On the ale early aren't you

I'm a bitter man too. I shall be purchasing some John Smiths very soon 

[Mokidugway]

2 minutes ago, Winter Hill said:

I'm a bitter man too. I shall be purchasing some John Smiths very soon 

Craft beers the only way , good man 

[Mokidugway]

Just now, Mokidugway said:

Craft beers the only way , good man 

Johns smiths 

[Spurry]

30 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

A downgrade on Tuesday for the west of the region

Exactly what i have been saying for the past week. It never snows here

[Mokidugway]

This should put a smile on the face of you snow jockeys 

[BlackburnChris]

[Mokidugway]

3 minutes ago, BlackburnChris said:

Bit of imbyisum there Chris 

[Carl46Wrexham]

19 minutes ago, Winter Hill said:

I'm a bitter man too. I shall be purchasing some John Smiths very soon 

You're a bitter man? I didn't know you followed Everton.