South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards

[Southender]

1 minute ago, Biggin said:

Just a teaser........

 

 

Huge amounts of patience required unfortunately.

Hopefully next week will deliver for us snow starved SE/EA mob.

[BLS]

I think Sunday/Monday and Tuesday are the days to look out for now. That’s according to the gfs anyway so I could be completely wrong

[TROY]

Smashing day here, so nice to see the sun. Temps gone up to  2c. Still a frost in the shade. Lots of talk on a snow risk tonight, think thats not really going to happen, that weak system to the west will only produce light drizzle if it reaches us. Friends living not far from Dartmoor reported rain. We really do not need any more rain. Take care, time for a G and t.

[Eagle Eye]

lovely day  shame about no snow.

[username home]

2 hours ago, Sparky68 said:

aka pretty much every English Winter

of years gone by. now it's +3 to 9C but still cloudy!

[BLS]

Just now, Sheldon Cooper said:

lovely day  shame about no snow.

Don’t worry got plenty more opportunities in the next week 

[Mark wheeler]

Just now, Spraggyy said:

Don’t worry got plenty more opportunities in the next week 

Yep slowly slowly catchy monkey . Hopefully anyway. 

[Eagle Eye]

1 minute ago, Spraggyy said:

Don’t worry got plenty more opportunities in the next week 

what have you been looking at GEM.

[Ben M]

22 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

I still think it's further north it's still in Wales not below it, and even going further up Wales a little now.

I agree, so is that an extra lump of the system that hasn't been accounted for? Lol. It's definitely right over South Wales, seems like the majority is all but in the channel though sadly. 

[BLS]

5 minutes ago, Sheldon Cooper said:

what have you been looking at GEM.

Last one I looked at was the gfs 

[Eagle Eye]

Be glad we're not in The Netherland I know someone there and he hasn't seen Snow for Years at best Two Days Of wet snow.

[Methuselah]

6 minutes ago, Mark wheeler said:

Yep slowly slowly catchy monkey . Hopefully anyway. 

Or, were you posting about kids and Covid... Monkey monkey slowly catchy? I'll get me coat!

[Biggin]

Some showers to the NW of  England  heading our way, no doubt they will peter out....

[Daniel*]

5 minutes ago, Biggin said:

Some showers to the NW of  England  heading our way, no doubt they will peter out....

They’re heading in direction of Cambridge.

[Froze were the Days]

2 hours ago, Paul Sherman said:

If the Uppers are -7 or -8 we need a much slacker flow and showers to form pretty much overhead before they stream WSW into the London Area. If the Flow is stronger and showers form where they usually do around 35-50 miles off the coast the air will get mixed and we will see wintry showers. This one is not a done deal as ECM has been consistently showing since its runs 3 or 4 days ago (eg none have shown anything over wintry showers)

Guess what its gunna be on a knife edge lol

Just checked latest SST's off the East Anglian coast (Essex/Suffolk) - largely varying between 7-8c (slightly above normal) and ever so slowly dropping. Warmest waters are actually off the Dutch coast at a degree higher but even variation there so not as warm as led to believe...

Edited December 30, 2020 by Froze were the Days

[chionomaniac]

South coast precipitation watch

6 minutes ago, chionomaniac said:

09z ukv precip 12z prediction vs actual

 

looks a tad further north

 

[BLS]

6 minutes ago, chionomaniac said:

South coast precipitation watch

 

If you look very carefully it’s starting to turn more east direction now which it was always meant to do but I’d say a little earlier than thought so coast areas watch out might get some rain 

[Eagle Eye]

6 minutes ago, chionomaniac said:

South coast precipitation watch

 

Well could come with a bit of luck say, leaving 2020.

[Southender]

Some interesting posts from Carinthian over in the MAD thread regards next 5-10 days for our region...

[Jackski4]

2 minutes ago, Spraggyy said:

If you look very carefully it’s starting to turn more east direction now which it was always meant to do but I’d say a little earlier than thought so coast areas watch out might get some rain 

Or snow

[Captain Shortwave]

A lot high level cloud here, but some sunshine at times and it doesn’t feel that cold as the wind is very light.

Very unsure about the period where the wind veers east to north easterly. The margins are very tight between a lot of rain showers and something more palatable....

[SMU]

Good Morning

Still keeping 1 eye on the PPN

 

Anyway I think the confidence of heavy showers moving in from the East is high now from the 4th

Here are the 850s & Freezing levels.

Best case scenario is about -9c & 100M which in the current climate & how things have been is great.

Worst case is probably -6c & 300M 

so still a day or 2 to firm up but getting interesting

[SMU]

& remember how to measure......

[alexisj9]

2 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Good Morning

Still keeping 1 eye on the PPN

 

Anyway I think the confidence of heavy showers moving in from the East is high now from the 4th

Here are the 850s & Freezing levels.

Best case scenario is about -9c & 100M which in the current climate & how things have been is great.

Worst case is probably -6c & 300M 

so still a day or 2 to firm up but getting interesting

I'm watching the main clump, but also those showers, some in the north of the region, might get something from those.

[Floatylight]

1 hour ago, TSNWK said:

Why are my local council in Orpington Kent salt spreading the pavements in the high street and high traffic areas....

Ice id say x