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North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards

cheshire snow

By cheshire snow
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SnowWatcher2 Aficionado

SnowWatcher2

Posted
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)
Posted
1 hour ago, Frosty the Snowman said:

image.thumb.png.3ab180f33b416bbbfdbc8fde753ae3d3.png

That'll finish with a northern extent around Birmingham then?

ECM & ICON not my friend today .. will see if we can make up tomorrow 

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SnowWatcher2 Aficionado

SnowWatcher2

Posted
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)
Posted
6 minutes ago, SnowWatcher2 said:

ECM & ICON not my friend today .. will see if we can make up tomorrow 

Take that back to be fair... ill take Tuesday & Thursday ECM, but ill have Saturday & Mondays GFS please. 

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Weather-history Maestro

Weather-history

Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam
Posted
22 hours ago, Weather-history said:

ECM 0z still shows snow but get the feeling if the models are going down this route, the precipitation won't reach here or weaken and die out.

 

image.thumb.png.348bec912884a95af75997e71f56edfb.png

 

That appears to be what is going to happen now, that low will not even affect us by the latest Met Office text forecast. Goes for a dry and cold Sunday and Monday. 

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Iceaxecrampon Veteran

Iceaxecrampon

Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
Posted

Quick GFS summary.   


Saturday then next Tuesday then the Easterly next Saturday. 

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Spah1 Accomplished

Spah1

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
Posted

I don’t think Saturdays low will reach us. 

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severe snowstorm Maestro

severe snowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frosty nights, thunderstorms and the odd gale
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
Posted

A mild damp morning here. Last of the lying snow has now gone from the garden. Snowman still clinging on for dear life. Wondering if it will last until the possible snow event on Saturday, but we are on the Northern extent of this so chances are that it won't even make it this far North. Sunday now almost certainly looking to be cold and dry.

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Iceaxecrampon Veteran

Iceaxecrampon

Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Spah1 said:

I don’t think Saturdays low will reach us. 

More runs needed lol - but yes most likely like last weekends LP?

This is Sat am ppn for Wales as Mr Hugo seems keen on.

ukprec.thumb.png.084ae42da47193ecf1aa04165e8fd146.png

Northerly adjustment please.

Edited by Iceaxecrampon
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Snow free zone Aficionado

Snow free zone

Posted
  • Location: Preston - Lancashire
  • Location: Preston - Lancashire
Posted
1 hour ago, Spah1 said:

I don’t think Saturdays low will reach us. 

I agree. I'm not 100% sure either will reach us to be honest. Strength of the block always seems to be under estimated in these positions. 

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

WRF still shows a period of snow all Saturday morning and not light either. No marginality.

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Manchester_Sunset Enthusiast

Manchester_Sunset

Posted
  • Location: Stockport, South Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms & Snow.
  • Location: Stockport, South Manchester
Posted
5 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

WRF still shows a period of snow all Saturday morning and not light either. No marginality.

Is that this Saturday? It's supposed to be driest day of weekend or next Saturday?

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The Northern Ramper Accomplished

The Northern Ramper

Posted
  • Location: Newhey, Lancashire ( 165m a/s/l )
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Newhey, Lancashire ( 165m a/s/l )
Posted
10 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

WRF still shows a period of snow all Saturday morning and not light either. No marginality.

Is that for the south of the region or more of us?

can’t say I’m looking forward to a repeat of last Sunday

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted (edited)
10 minutes ago, Manchester_Sunset said:

Is that this Saturday? It's supposed to be driest day of weekend or next Saturday?

 

This Saturday 30th. Snow in the south of the region during the morning. Drier on Sunday.

Edited by Chris.R
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Manchester_Sunset Enthusiast

Manchester_Sunset

Posted
  • Location: Stockport, South Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms & Snow.
  • Location: Stockport, South Manchester
Posted
1 minute ago, Chris.R said:

 

This Saturday 30th. Snow in the south of the region during the morning.

This Saturday 30th. Snow in the south of the region during the morning.

Sunday

Oh, watches weather forecast and dry in North west Saturday. Possibly snow Sunday 

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WillinGlossop Maestro

WillinGlossop

Posted
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
Posted
Just now, Manchester_Sunset said:

Oh, watches weather forecast and dry in North west Saturday. Possibly snow Sunday 

Models are all over the place with Saturdays front/low pressure... some have it north some south... all to play for...

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted

I'll put all Saturdays possible snow track charts side by side in a min.

 

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

TV forecast should be thrown in the bin in fact television should not be allowed to broadcast the weather in my opinion unless they have a dedicated channel like in US.

Met text forecast now agrees on the weekend.

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

Of course a chance all weekend could be dry if neither front makes it.

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Manchester_Sunset Enthusiast

Manchester_Sunset

Posted
  • Location: Stockport, South Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms & Snow.
  • Location: Stockport, South Manchester
Posted
4 minutes ago, WillinGlossop said:

Models are all over the place with Saturdays front/low pressure... some have it north some south... all to play for...

I hope not, traveling to mums Saturday! It's a nightmare when it snows

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted (edited)

The main one's I use, also added WRF which I now use courtesy of @Chris.R

GFS

GFS.thumb.jpg.a7a95dd6e6212de533cbad027e37ba64.jpg

ECM

ECM.thumb.jpg.6cb6b3dfedcb855a97f18ba132d7cda2.jpg

GEM

GEM.thumb.png.7cb60bbd92e76c664ed544e3134324af.png

ICON

ICON.thumb.png.83fd0decf1b7a9db94ba4614c7d44ded.png

WRF

WRF.thumb.png.f69ad4e44dbd37c15817cece57335e17.png

Nervous day then as there are still time for adjustments.

Blending them together, at the minute I would say the nothern extent being a line from about Southport across to Manchester.

Edited by Day 10
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raul_sbd Rising Star

raul_sbd

Posted
  • Location: Glossop 165m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Glossop 165m asl
Posted
4 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

The main one's I use, also added WRF which I now use courtesy of @Chris.R

GFS

GFS.thumb.jpg.a7a95dd6e6212de533cbad027e37ba64.jpg

ECM

ECM.thumb.jpg.6cb6b3dfedcb855a97f18ba132d7cda2.jpg

GEM

GEM.thumb.png.7cb60bbd92e76c664ed544e3134324af.png

ICON

ICON.thumb.png.83fd0decf1b7a9db94ba4614c7d44ded.png

WRF

WRF.thumb.png.f69ad4e44dbd37c15817cece57335e17.png

Nervous day then as there are still time for adjustments.

That WRF looks good for Saturday spec sth-west of the region! Hopefully it verifies..

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted
Just now, raul_sbd said:

That WRF looks good for Saturday spec sth-west of the region! Hopefully it verifies..

Hope so mate, it would finally be our first proper snowfall of the season here.

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Joe Bloggs Experienced

Joe Bloggs

Posted
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
Posted (edited)
2 minutes ago, raul_sbd said:

That WRF looks good for Saturday spec sth-west of the region! Hopefully it verifies..

You can see the shadow effect on the WRF for us. Looks really good for Merseyside, fingers crossed ! 

Edited by Joe Bloggs
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