Far north and northeast of England weather discussion

[Phil Blake]

50 minutes ago, Snowmaggedon said:

How’s it looking for us this weekend and beyond? 

Pretty decent I'd say. The southern thread will have you believe something else. I'd say it looks cold for us. Good chance of some snow around. And a biting windchill

[Smoggieontour]

All still looking good for Sunday/Monday especially, and probably several days after if most of the models are correct.

Only minor niggle is I'd like the uppers to be a couple of degrees colder, as we're currently looking at approx. -9, but if we could get them that bit lower, it will help with convection.

[Smoggieontour]

I guess this has to happen one day?

 

Edited February 2, 2021 by Smoggieontour

[Snow-mad-dave]

I'm sick of seen others with these snow events now, one of the most frustrating winters this must be for us in teesside, snow has been on and off for a month or so now and we have missed the majority of it!! 

[gazzac69]

3 minutes ago, Smoggieontour said:

I guess this has to happen one day?

 

12 ECM is looking a belter for our region

[Polarwesterly]

One huge difference from January is the amount of seriously cold air to the east

[Smoggieontour]

9 minutes ago, gazzac69 said:

12 ECM is looking a belter for our region

Yes, not bad at all!

[Phil Blake]

51 minutes ago, Smoggieontour said:

All still looking good for Sunday/Monday especially, and probably several days after if most of the models are correct.

Only minor niggle is I'd like the uppers to be a couple of degrees colder, as we're currently looking at approx. -9, but if we could get them that bit lower, it will help with convection.

With a current North sea temp of around 6c. 13c difference is needed for decent convection. 9 + 6 = 15 so there should be a bit of convection going on 

[Phil Blake]

5 minutes ago, Smoggieontour said:

Yes, not bad at all!

Awesome if this actually verified. Actually think it could be underplayed too. And if more of the lows keep heading under the block and re inforcing the easterly flow

[Cloud 10]

Yes,a belting ECM 12z with plenty of snow for all.

 

Some much heavier ppn. moving up from the south at the moment could provide more fun and games across high level routes.

 

[northumberland snowman]

33 minutes ago, Smoggieontour said:

Yes, not bad at all!

I would take that

[Chris.]

Could be a very snowy weekend and into early next week it seems  About time we had some decent snow!

[Rollo]

3 hours ago, gazzac69 said:

Blimey Rollo you're been a bit cautious, I would go for 80% chance of a decent spell for at least  late sat/sun/mon

We have been let down up to 48 hours before the event so just playing my cautious card but if things work out we may well be looking at a prolonged spell, here’s hoping for a snowy Westmoor!

[seabreeze86]

6 hours ago, Snowmaggedon said:

How’s it looking for us this weekend and beyond? 

One word 

BOOOOOOOMMMMMM

[gazzac69]

18 GFS joins the party looking good

Edited February 2, 2021 by gazzac69

[Geordiesnow]

6 hours ago, Smoggieontour said:

I guess this has to happen one day?

 

That is proper persistent snowfall from a frontal system which if it comes off, would give a serious amount of snowfall. There is a high risk high reward with this because you don't want that front hitting Yorkshire because the NE would risk being in the drier slot because of cloud cover from the system limiting convection and you don't want the centre of the low get too deep or even too close because that risks marginal uppers getting to close. 

Either way, it's getting closer to being more nailed on for the NE, moreen room for error than those in the SE that is for sure. 

[Polarwesterly]

Some pretty serious weather on the way, blizzards 

[northumberland snowman]

It's looking good folks. From Saturday evening onwards we all should see the snow piling in. Stock up on supplies you consett folk

[Polarwesterly]

It’s building anticipation as it’s due to start on the anniversary of the feb 91 spell. What are the chances

[Rollo]

In the meantime I think I might build an ark after last nights deluge!

[Cloud 10]

4 minutes ago, Rollo said:

In the meantime I think I might build an ark after last nights deluge!

Yes,will likely be some local flooding issues.

I do wonder if all that rain fell as snow over the higher hills.

[Rollo]

I would think it highly likely.

[NorthEastSnow]

Is this cold spell nailed on now then? So more people like Teesside will get some snow without the dreaded word SLEET! 

In my past experience the key is always down to the angle of the East wind. I have fell victim a lot of times being in the middle of the shower line to the North and South again making it very frustrating. 

Hoping by this weekend we can take the kids social distance sledging. 

[gazzac69]

snow & ice meto warnings issued for our region for sat to mon

[NorthEastSnow]

5 minutes ago, gazzac69 said:

snow & ice meto warnings issued for our region for sat to mon

The warning also goes out to sea...WOW it might just be lol.