Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Thurs night, heard talk of a wave developing,

Edited January 6, 2021 by I remember Atlantic 252

[wolvesman]

Make the most of the cold weather over the next few days especially if we get some snow on Friday. I think it may be a little while before we stand much chance of getting back in the game once the milder air arrives early next week. Hope I’m wrong.

[snowangel32]

1 hour ago, beefy201 said:

what app is that snowangel

Weather&radar. Play store i find it pretty accurate.

[sheikhy]

4 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Thurs night, heard talk of a wave developing,

Are those the updates ones mate!!looks slightly juicier

[snowangel32]

49 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

All down to good old radar watch again!!!to see it falling shall be good i guess!!

Actually looks better than I expected some lucky spots could see between 3 to 9 hours of snow. But it changes every run so like you said good old radar watch is best.

[sheikhy]

Latest harmonie posted in the wales thread looks very good for the midlands!

[dudleyweather1]

2 hours of light snow this morning from around 8.45, temps were just below freezing.  No accumulation, the very thin icy layer it created vanished quite quickly.

Now down to -1.3C (dew -2.2C) and falling.  A cold evening out there, my car was frozen coming back to it at 5pm after being there around 4 hours.

[MattStoke]

Euro4 charts.

 

 

[weirpig]

regardless of what it shows  i always rate the Hirlam as the best short range model.

It shows a band of snow Friday  perhaps more intense than other show.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Just now, weirpig said:

regardless of what it shows  i always rate the Hirlam as the best short range model.

It shows a band of snow Friday  perhaps more intense than other show.

and much later? others around 6am

[Midlands Ice Age]

Nice to see the development that my 'kink' had for-seen on Monday evening!!

Not there yet, but looking more likely.  

Temperatures falling like a stone at -2,2C at 18:00, after reaching the dizzy heights of 3.4C at about 15:00.

Looking as though I could record an ice day.

Looks like the coldest night of the year so far here.

MIA

 

Edited January 6, 2021 by Midlands Ice Age

[Dancerwithwings]

1 hour ago, Midlands Ice Age said:

Nice to see the development that my 'kink' had for-seen on Monday evening!!

Not there yet, but looking more likely.  

Temperatures falling like a stone at -2,2C at 18:00, after reaching the dizzy heights of 3.4C at about 15:00.

Looking as though I could record an ice day.

Looks like the coldest night of the year so far here.

MIA

 

Yes certainly cold out there now, crystal clear skies and the stars look great  I’ve got to give full marks to the GFS vs all the other models that have only just picked up on this potential snowfall for Friday, the GFS was showing this last weekend and stuck to its guns 10/10 GFS....but how much we will see as always is the million $ Q 

Edited January 6, 2021 by Dancerwithwings

[sheikhy]

16 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

Yes certainly cold out there now, crystal clear skies and the stars look great  I’ve got to give full marks to the GFS vs all the other models that have only just pick up on this potential snowfall for Friday, the GFS was showing this last weekend and stuck to its guns 10/10 GFS....but how much we will see as always is the million $ Q 

Hold on whats ecm looking like?

[I remember Atlantic 252]

2 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Hold on whats ecm looking like?

weather history posted it in NW thread

[MattStoke]

2 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Hold on whats ecm looking like?

 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Still snow here from last mon and tues

 

[weirpig]

11 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Hold on whats ecm looking like?

Don't look mate 

[weirpig]

1 minute ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Still snow here from last mon and tues

 

I wouldn't want to mow that 

[Ryukai]

54 minutes ago, Midlands Ice Age said:

Nice to see the development that my 'kink' had for-seen on Monday evening!!

Not there yet, but looking more likely.  

Temperatures falling like a stone at -2,2C at 18:00, after reaching the dizzy heights of 3.4C at about 15:00.

Looking as though I could record an ice day.

Looks like the coldest night of the year so far here.

MIA

 

Temp charts look like a cliff face, had high of about 5c around 3 o'clock'ish', down to -1.5c (dp -2c) now and dropping fast. 

[WillinGlossop]

-3c already... could we get to -6/-7c? 
hoping tomorrow is more promising than some forecasts snowise but even Peak District forecasts not great for accumulations... we shall see... could get an ice day tomorrow  

[MattStoke]

ECM finally gives in and shows the snow risk, and so the BBC finally show it too. Laughable.

[sheikhy]

6 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

ECM finally gives in and shows the snow risk, and so the BBC finally show it too. Laughable.

But the 12z ecm shows nothing like that?!!looks more gfs!ecm is poor for the whole of the midlands i think!!!!

Edited January 6, 2021 by sheikhy

[Midlands Ice Age]

22 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

But the 12z ecm shows nothing like that?!!looks more gfs!ecm is poor for the whole of the midlands i think!!!!

Sheikhy...

 The post above by  Mattstoke shows that ECM 12z is showing between 1 and 10cms widely across the Midlands!!

It actually states it in the explanation underneath .....

MIA 

The BBC forecast at 18;30 was quite bland....but went on to say that there was a risk of snowfall across Wales and most of the Midlands.

I suspect that they had not been updated with the latest charts in time for the 'show'..

Edited January 6, 2021 by Midlands Ice Age

[sheikhy]

Fair few gfs ensembles have higher precipitarion rates for friday so hopefully upgrade in 18z!!!

[Sweatyman]

44 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

ECM finally gives in and shows the snow risk, and so the BBC finally show it too. Laughable.

Ain't she lovely! Sorry mods