Scotland Weather discussion

[Snowandrocks]

1 hour ago, CatchMyDrift said:

The charts are quite wild for Scotland next week, even the latest ECM pings through a couple of dartboards (Weds and Fri). Real potential for some very damaging winds, plus a decent chance of snow. 

From my, pretty uneducated, glance through the latest charts it looks like most of the snow seems to be South of the border at this stage. Still early doors though I guess! 

[edo]

On 10/02/2022 at 00:18, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

Nothing boils my p**s more than the forecasts during colder spells that aren't on a beast level they harp on about "snow mostly confined to higher ground"   think we all could say confidently if you go hunting for snow you'd go to hillier areas and not my near sea level house not sure if I'm the lowest altitude in here I'm surprised @edo profile says 19m I always think of Perth as a mostly higher area

Yes pretty flat as you come up the a90 to Perth, Perth itself gets up above 100m at highest part and just a few miles up the road it's over 100m.

[NUT]

Best enjoy the relative calm today looks very very lively pretty much rest of the week

[edo]

yup and I can't stop saying storm Dudley in my head with a Birmingham accent...... potentially on to Eunice aswell by the end of the week.... very very calm here today and nice and dry after a soaking weekend. 

[SW Saltire]

Amber warning issued, best batten down the hatches!

[Quinach]

Grey, damp and a max of 5c with light winds.  A weather day not to be remembered.

Thankfully looks like the highest winds later this week will be further south, was not relishing the idea of yet another prolonged power cut.  Hopefully not tempting fate with that statement.

[Snowandrocks]

Does anyone have any thoughts on the likelyhood of snow this far north on Friday? Met office automated showing dry but the XC weather is still going for a decent fall. 

[101_North]

20 minutes ago, Snowandrocks said:

Does anyone have any thoughts on the likelyhood of snow this far north on Friday? Met office automated showing dry but the XC weather is still going for a decent fall. 

XC weather provides serious amusement with it's snow forecasts! Never say never as even a wibbled clock is right eventually but until the Met come onboard I'm ignoring the GFS! 

Edited February 14, 2022 by 101_North

[Ravelin]

14 minutes ago, Snowandrocks said:

Does anyone have any thoughts on the likelyhood of snow this far north on Friday? Met office automated showing dry but the XC weather is still going for a decent fall. 

Met Office automated quite often won't show anything much until a day or two before. XC, so raw GFS still showing significant snow (12Z), Yr.no so raw ECM showing it too (0Z currently, updates to 12Z around 9pm), BBC news weather showed it too at lunchtime (so does BBC automated) . As usual though, don't believe anything until its actually falling when you look out the window. 

[Snowandrocks]

Thanks both. I'm aware of the XC weather snow total optimism - I guess it just forecasts the rain equivalent and applies a multiplier. It might be right if it were lovely fluffy powder! 

I normally just take things as they come weather wise but we have some "toonser" friends coming to stay for the weekend from Edinburgh on Friday afternoon in a summer tyre clad BMW... I foresee a rescue mission if the snow does appear! 

[Northernlights]

Very muddy this morning with showers all morning but dried up this afternoon wih overcast skies only to be replaced this evening with moonlit skies  and a temperature of currently 1.5c.

Massive  American tranport plane just went overhead  against the moon must be using Kinloss /Lossiemouth as a staging post. Seen several in the last week. Some during daylight  hours.

[shuggee]

We had F-15s high up in pairs over Tweeddale last week. Two sets painting stripes in the sky (must've been sunny!).

On a work call earlier and my Kirkcaldy colleague said Dudley and Eunice sound like characters in a Victoria Wood sketch.  Made me smile.

[Hairy Celt]

@shuggee go on then. No snow here. There, that should do it 

Cold out this evening. In fact it's been a pretty chilly day, and the showers were sharp too.

[mardatha]

O god. More wind. That bloody tree is bound to come down this time.

[Sceptical]

More storms .

Hopefully Eunice is restricted to England  

[Hairy Celt]

4 minutes ago, Sceptical said:

More storms .

Hopefully Eunice is restricted to England  

What sort of name is Eunice for a storm anyway? Wishy washy, middle class, vegetarian, pacifist name, that's what.

[Hairy Celt]

I see the MT is even less worth looking at than it used to be 

[snowidea]

Quite a nice day today, we went north to Tyndrum and had a stonk out towards the gold mine. 

I see the storm warning has turned amber, hoping those of you who were battered the last two times have less of an issue this time. 

 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

  

[CameronWS]

4 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

  

Based on this one run alone (just for fun), what level do you think it would snow to? 

[Michael Kaii]

hi folks first time this year ive came on and picked a good time to come on..

ive been on the model thread....i know bad move lol, and i im just wondering how bad are these two storms going to be all i see is maps and im complety new to all of this, if anyone can tell me what my area of central belt is going to get so i can get ready if this is the real deal or normal dissapoiment

[Glaswegianblizzard]

3 hours ago, Hairy Celt said:

What sort of name is Eunice for a storm anyway? Wishy washy, middle class, vegetarian, pacifist name, that's what.

There is sod all chance of getting anyone in Glasgow to take seriously a storm called Dudley.

 

[Sceptical]

9 hours ago, Hairy Celt said:

What sort of name is Eunice for a storm anyway? Wishy washy, middle class, vegetarian, pacifist name, that's what.

Eunice, and Dudley, would be suitable names for breezes. Wrath, Ruin and Tempest sound more storm like.

[Hairy Celt]

3 hours ago, Sceptical said:

Eunice, and Dudley, would be suitable names for breezes. Wrath, Ruin and Tempest sound more storm like.

Begbie.

Looks like the extreme wind is now forecast to miss the north almost totally. It won't be missed.

Edited February 15, 2022 by Hairy Celt

[shuggee]

9 hours ago, CatchMyDrift said:

This is a good looking FAX chart for Friday:

Although it's only good looking if you are far enough north for the cold air but also far enough south for the heavy precipitation when that low zips east over Scotland on Friday. Wherever is in the sweetspot will get a huge dump.

 

We shall see!