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Coldest minima 2021-2022 predictions and recordings


damianslaw
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Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

    It's November, and time for the yearly thread dedicated to predicting and recording lowest minima of the upcoming season.

    I never have the stats to hand, but last winter brought coldest minima since December 2010 I think? or was it January 2010. I think Altnaharra dropped down to -22 degrees. Correct me if I'm wrong, not sure date. Please can someone post details.

    Please use this thread to record your lowest mins, and predicitions for lowest min.

    I'll predict a low of -18 degrees in Altnaharra.

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    Posted
  • Location: North York Moors
  • Location: North York Moors

    Cold winters have a knack of coming in pairs, because conditions that facilitate them run over 18 months or more.
    Warm and dry (or wet) summers have this tendency too

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    Posted
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors
  • Weather Preferences: Snow/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors
    14 minutes ago, damianslaw said:

    It's November, and time for the yearly thread dedicated to predicting and recording lowest minima of the upcoming season.

    I never have the stats to hand, but last winter brought coldest minima since December 2010 I think? or was it January 2010. I think Altnaharra dropped down to -22 degrees. Correct me if I'm wrong, not sure date. Please can someone post details.

    Please use this thread to record your lowest mins, and predicitions for lowest min.

    I'll predict a low of -18 degrees in Altnaharra.

    Braemar -23c on the 11th Feb this year and -22.4c the following day.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
    22 minutes ago, vizzy2004 said:

    Braemar -23c on the 11th Feb this year and -22.4c the following day.

     

    Thanks. Notably low! I think it was recorded under not particularly cold uppers. All it needed was snow cover clear skies in a relatively cold air mass with light winds.

    Edited by damianslaw
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    Posted
  • Location: Dundee
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunderstorms, gales. All extremes except humidity.
  • Location: Dundee
    26 minutes ago, vizzy2004 said:

    Braemar -23c on the 11th Feb this year and -22.4c the following day.

     

    That night was actually my first double figure minima since December 2010.
    Will go for -19.5C in Altnaharra this January coming.

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    Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
  • Weather Preferences: Unseasonably cold weather (at all times of year), wind, and thunderstorms.
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
    13 hours ago, damianslaw said:

    I never have the stats to hand, but last winter brought coldest minima since December 2010 I think? or was it January 2010. I think Altnaharra dropped down to -22 degrees. Correct me if I'm wrong, not sure date. Please can someone post details.

    -23.0°C, coldest temperature since 1995 and coldest February temperature since 1978.

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    Posted
  • Location: Maidstone, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Anything below 0c or above 20c. Also love a good thunderstorm!
  • Location: Maidstone, Kent
    On 02/11/2021 at 10:34, Earthshine said:

    -14.2C in Braemar, 20th February

    Similar to you, I'm going for -12.8 in Braemar but on 11th December. 

    My thinking is during a clear night with snow cover after a 72 hour Northerly where high pressure noses in before toppling. I feel early winter will be when we get these short Northerly outbreaks, before that Euro high builds in and PV settles over NE Canada. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Exeter
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and sunny!
  • Location: Exeter

    I'm expecting some cold weather early on in the season, althought I think the lowest temperatures are easier to achieve later on.  Cooler seas and all that jazz.

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    Posted
  • Location: Dundee - 140m ASL
  • Location: Dundee - 140m ASL
    9 hours ago, Relativistic said:

    -23.0°C, coldest temperature since 1995 and coldest February temperature since 1978.

    No, it was the coldest February temperature since 1955 when Braemar recorded -25.0C on the 23rd.

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    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
    14 minutes ago, Sawel said:

    No, it was the coldest February temperature since 1955 when Braemar recorded -25.0C on the 23rd.

    Thanks. Thought it was -22 same as Jan 2010. As said a notably low figure and achieved in less than cold uppers. The fact we were able to record such low set up in the synoptic at the time quite impressive in this warming world. 

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    • 4 weeks later...
    Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
  • Weather Preferences: Unseasonably cold weather (at all times of year), wind, and thunderstorms.
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
    On 02/11/2021 at 20:12, Sawel said:

    No, it was the coldest February temperature since 1955 when Braemar recorded -25.0C on the 23rd.

    Depends on your source:

    TORROsocialmedia.png
    WWW.TORRO.ORG.UK

    TORRO is a privately-supported research body specialising in severe convective weather in Britain and Ireland

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Dundee - 140m ASL
  • Location: Dundee - 140m ASL
    1 hour ago, Relativistic said:

    Depends on your source:

    TORROsocialmedia.png
    WWW.TORRO.ORG.UK

    TORRO is a privately-supported research body specialising in severe convective weather in Britain and Ireland

     

    No, you're reading that information incorrectly. It shows Aviemore recorded -23.9C in 1895 with an asterisk. Beside the Aviemore reading it shows that Braemar recorded a low of -20.5C in 1978. It looks like the Aviemore reading is unofficial.

    There only is one official source when it comes to weather and that's the Met Office and they confirmed that -23C is the coldest February temperature recorded since 1955.

    snowy-view-of-the-lake-district.jpg
    WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK

    The winter of 2020/21 overall has been wet and dull with near average temperature.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
  • Weather Preferences: Unseasonably cold weather (at all times of year), wind, and thunderstorms.
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)

    My apologies; thanks for the correction.

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    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

    Please can we keep this thread alive, should have been very active yesterday, most people saw there coldest night of the season. As said Shap went down to -9 degrees, was any where lower? People seem to be focused on snow all the time, but not depth of cold. I will keep resurrecting it when there is interest!

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    Posted
  • Location: Shoreham-by-sea, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: T storms, severe gales, heat and sun, cold and snow
  • Location: Shoreham-by-sea, West Sussex

    Someone posted a link for temperatures in another thread I think -10.3c was recorded somewhere in Lancashire.

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