Record Breaking / Abnormal Weather Events Globally

[lottiekent]

6 hours ago, alexisj9 said:

Wtf, was that temp flagged by models in advance, if not this air mass is hotter than thought.

I saw they expected it to break records, just maybe not by that margin. I think today is meant to be even hotter in France and some parts of Spain with records falling.

[matty40s]

 

[matty40s]

 

[matty40s]

King tide, Miami...

No tropical storm, no low pressure, no strong winds..

How much longer do these guys think that this is sustainable for a major metropolis...

 

 

[alexisj9]

59 minutes ago, matty40s said:

King tide, Miami...

No tropical storm, no low pressure, no strong winds..

How much longer do these guys think that this is sustainable for a major metropolis...

 

 

Happens every spring tide for them, now. Or whatever they call their higher tides in their tide cycle.

Edited October 2, 2023 by alexisj9

[matty40s]

 

[richie3846]

Interpreting extreme weather statistics.

IRRATIONALFEAR.SUBSTACK.COM

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Why scientists must use caution when interpreting statistical outlier events in the weather and attributing them to anthropogenic climate change.

I've been following this thread for some time, and enjoying learning about the extreme events occurring worldwide. I found this article an interesting counterbalance to the focus on the events. Sometimes when we focus on things, it can skew our perception, as we are not focused on the rest of the weather around the world, which, for the most part, is bland and normal when compared with our datasets. 

 

 

[matty40s]

 

[matty40s]

Most papers had Beckham,  the Guardian had this...

 

[matty40s]

 

 

[matty40s]

 

[matty40s]

 

[Metwatch]

 

 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

On 05/10/2023 at 06:51, cowdog said:

Something else is going on, there has to be some feedback loop effect being triggered for this to keep rising so significantly. We knew this year and next were going to be warm, but this is warmer than most expected.

First I'm catching up with this thread as there's been a tonne going on keeping me busy across the model threads including the event getting underway as we speak through Scotland, some appreciated input including @richie3846 and @WYorksWeathers ongoing chat. 

When I get a bit more time I'll try dive deeper into the Nino situation which in my opinion has been a main contribution to the global warmth and I also believe is a big part of the heat reports we see from Peru, Bolivia and other parts of South america which is a typical trait associated with Nino

Every two to seven years a much stronger warming appears along the west coast of South America, lasting for several months and often accompanied by heavy rainfall in the arid coastal regions of Ecuador and northern Peru. Over time the term El Nino began to be used in reference to these major warm episodes. During the 1960s, scientists began to link the abnormally warm waters along the west coast of South America with abnormally warm waters throughout the central and east-central equatorial Pacific. In addition, the warmer than average waters were shown to be closely related to a global atmospheric pressure oscillation known as the Southern Oscillation. The term El Nino refers to the coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomenon characterized by: 

Abnormally warm sea surface temperatures from the date line (180W) east to the South American coast

Changes in the distribution of tropical rainfall from the eastern Indian Ocean east to the tropical Atlantic

Changes in sea level pressure throughout the global Tropics

Large-scale atmospheric circulation changes in the Tropics and portions of the extra-tropics in both hemispheres

and I have spoke previously having 3 years of sub surface warmth at the ready and given we have now arrived at a point of overall coupling with Nino and the atmosphere it shouldn't be too shocking however the number of records continuing at what I'd continue to describe as abnormal frequencies. 

Certainly my main focus has and will continue around the rain aspect, even looking solely in Fort Lauderdale with the 1000 year rain event from April which has been followed by further rain records in the preceding months, this would excellently sum up what I believe shouldnt really be possible 

Very uncanny pattern across Colorado, just very odd how multiple states can have both driest and wettest record 

Another area I continue to watch very eagerly the large anomalous increase for hail and large hail

Very interesting that 2010 and 2009 and 2008 are among some previous hail years see my synchronicity thread and you'll understand my interests here 

Overall severe weather reports are well above avg too.

[WYorksWeather]

Great post @Kirkcaldy Weather - personally I'm much more focussed on UK temperature records, so good to have someone who is able to focus on rainfall records around the world!

[matty40s]

Europe,series of tweets!!

 

[matty40s]

The incessant heatwave of South america is taking its toll.

 

[Metwatch]

Not good at all.

Edited October 11, 2023 by Metwatch

[matty40s]

 

[reef]

The situation in the Amazon is a glimpse into the future unfortunately. It'll end up being a deforested savana/desert/wasteland. An area the size of Switzerland went in 2022 and over a quarter of it will be gone by 2030. It'll have massive impacts on the climate in the area regardless of the global trend.

[alexisj9]

12 hours ago, matty40s said:

 

I wonder if that's actually the driver for change this year, re the amount of rain forest that was burned for clearance reasons last year, just a thought, remember it being in the news. I hope whatever it is calms down a bit. I'm hoping whatever is going on here can right it's self too.

[matty40s]

As most of the record temperatures have occured before the el Nino was expected to raise them, and affect the global weather patterns, I strongly suspect this is a combination of many things starting the climate reset which will affect the human race catastrophically. With not just CO2 but also methane rising dramatically, and reflective sea ice and snow caps reducing, the 1.5c rise warned of in the Paris accord may well be hit in 2024.

[matty40s]

 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

On 16/05/2023 at 21:47, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

I'd also just like to make it clear this is not a thread for any climate change debating (if that's your agenda the climate change zone is the place to go)

Hate to have to repost this from the thread opening post however the thread does appear to be swaying too much toward the above, maybe if a mod could kindly pin that to the top of every page? @Blessed Weather