Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards

[damianslaw]

As expected a role reversal day region wide. Today it was our turn to have a fine dry day, a great one for outdoor activities. 

[Rush2019]

54 minutes ago, cheshireoak said:

little chinese restaurant up the road

That sounds like 'Jins' restaurant, full of beams and old world charm inside, great food too.

[Iceaxecrampon]

 cheshireoak Trout? #obscure

[Scuba steve]

 cheshireoak daughter lives in Bollington enjoyed a few pints around Macclesfield too

[weatherobsuk]

I've been bathed in glorious sunshine all day yesterday, obviously not here at home, but on a short day-trip to the Lakes. I saw the MWIS forecast and couldn't resist packing the car and heading up for a overnight stay near Keswick to be up early and out on Walla Crag-Bleaberry Fell-High Style before the weather turned (and before half-term next weekend).

It was a bit gusty at times with the Central/Western fells occasionally set in cloud, but on the Eastern side it was almost wall-wall sunshine at times.

[Iceaxecrampon]

00z Progression N Wednesday 
 

 

 

 

[Had Worse]

Interesting. 

Over 9 hours of snow.

I wonder what the settling altitude is.

Edit- I see ECM takes it too far South so Staffordshire/South Derbyshire is the Northern edge.

Up abit Down abit. Where will it settle on. ?

Edited February 4 by Had Worse

[Iceaxecrampon]

 Had Worse

There you go  

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Day 10]

 Iceaxecrampon

Lovely mate!

Going to be a lot of north a bit, south a bit next week.

To add to your charts....

GFS & ECM.

From about Thursday next week could be the start of a long cold spell when the longer range GFS is also showing this...

Talk of Spring is way way premature.

[Day 10]

 Had Worse

The mod thread is always a bit skewed to towards a southerly bias mate.

Here is a better view for some of our region.

I've checked the hourly, it actually shows about 5 hours worth of snow before moving away and then we have the next one following in further north. Hell of a lot to play for, lots of chopping & changing to come.

Edited February 4 by Day 10

[iand61]

Met app for my postcode ties in with the timing of the charts shown although is still only giving sleet rather than snow but it’s a start, that’s until the usual southerly adjustment happens and we end up just north of anything interesting.

not the best of prospects for today unless drizzle is your thing but equally nothing overly heavy.

[Day 10]

@Chris.R

SST's continuing to drop too mate

[cheshireoak]

 Scuba steve Right. Nice one hope it was a good evening.

[Iceaxecrampon]

 Day 10 cross model agreement approaching reliable timeframe? 

[Day 10]

 Iceaxecrampon

I reckon Tuesday will have the right track for Thursday.

[Rush2019]

Good Morning.  Another damp, dull start and 10.1°C.  Some really interesting weather to watch over the next few days,  I honestly don't mind Spring being put on hold to make way for cold and hopefully everyone sees some snow.  Some lovely charts have been posted already, here's UKVs current outlook.

[Chris.R]

Much better GFF 0Z. Wednesday night event much better angle now... Would be a big snow event before turn to ice pellets and then rain.
The snow line for Friday and Saturday is further south as well. 18 Z had it north of the border, now it's Around Carlisle. Like to see further southerly corrections on that. 

[Chris.R]

 Day 10 Yep

SST at Crosby today is 6.2°C, this is 1.2°C below the long-term February average.

[iand61]

I was hoping that it would leave it until later but the drizzle has arrived.

[Dan B]

8ºC and blustery here

 

Dry currently but feel that's not going to be for long

[raul_sbd]

Was going to wash my car.. 3rd attempt within the last 2 weeks but no point.. oh well.

[severe snowstorm]

Overcast but dry here at the moment so a definite improvement on yesterday so far. We'll see how long that lasts. 

[severe snowstorm]

The sun has just burst through the cloud here and areas of blue sky have appeared, much brighter and has totally transformed the feel of the day.

[Scuba steve]

 cheshireoak thanks bud ,yes pretty good night ,quite liked the castle pub ye olde world

[Chris.R]

Snow line perhaps 20 miles further south on 6Z. Still going right direction.