Kentspur
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Posts posted by Kentspur
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12 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:
It’s going to be a fun few days later this next week I think
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anywhere in the U.K. could be in the game
Looks perfect timing for my arrival on the Norfolk border
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39 minutes ago, E17boy said:
Hi peeps,
Hope you are all well. I am excited about the current model output but the above has struck me a bit. If our cold is going to come from the east then the above temperature for Siberia can’t be right on the app for next week. I know the apps are never right the change more times in a day to be honest, but thought I had to add this as it seemed not right
Anyway let the upgrades keep coming fingers crossed
it’s on its way.
have a great evening all
Snow fix imminent for me as I arrive midday Tuesday
I won't mention where but it looks like back here in the UK we won't have problems drawing on a cold enough source of air across the North Sea! Hopefully it will help counteract the warm SSTs
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1 hour ago, Jason M said:
Very little in the way of snow from that. Look at the air pressure associated which is over 1035 even in the South. Maybe a few 'grains' on the coast but basically bone dry albeit freezing cold!
Get slightly more N of E flow and Thames and Humber streamers will set up my fave type
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44 minutes ago, matty40s said:
The Scandanavian angle is about to get a whole lot colder, heading West too.
Did someone mention Scandinavia
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28 minutes ago, MJB said:
Snow as it moves away
First day in Anglia back from Stockholm
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3 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:
EC mean to T192 stays cold, then a gentle break down
This suggest some ENS still show plenty of blocking at day 10 though.
Yep was a mild outlier towards the end
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Seeing as no-one wants to talk about Stockholm I'll play Grinch this morning
I bring you GFS 0z thats not been mentioned yet continuing its previous runs of shortening the cold spell doesn't bother me as I'll be back to work on the 6th and mainly work outside having had my snow fix in the pine forests of our viking ancestors 
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3 hours ago, DJ Fart said:
tl;dr: it might snow next Thursday, it might not. GFS is overdoing lows and underdoing heights. JMA wants Narnia, as usual, and someone is going to Stockholm. Other than that, as you were.
Thats OK I'll start mentioning my next break in Anglia land instead
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3 hours ago, danm said:
Was a great event here, possibly not for the far SE.
East London was the Sweetspot followed by Essex then SE London and NW Kent next best my area had about 4inches
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10 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:
EC46 has upgraded the cold anomaly 27th to 4th
Looks great in Stockholm
even better for Dennis further west ill need 3 pairs of budgie smugglers to keep me from getting frost bite in unwanted places
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That lasted long several "phasing" word replies since can I mention Stockholm?
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5 minutes ago, James Maidstone said:
In parts of Kent we got 5 inches of snow in a couple of hours one Sunday night from a channel low which moved North. Some of the heaviest snow I have ever seen. Then it stuck around for a week.
Remember it well I was shovelling for over 5hours at my work place it started the moment I started work had about 4.5inches in NW Kent
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8 minutes ago, Lukesluckybunch said:
It could be better the trough is too far northwest,no real flow there..most the cold being moved north
Remember what a certain member mentioned about a slack flow though
GFS at t144 slightly less good in our vicinity 0z vs 18z I'd say with less cold 850s in the East and the pattern slightly further north. But blocking more extensive above Scandi.
GEM also has the low further north but more clean blocking to our NW
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21 minutes ago, BLAST FROM THE PAST said:
Beautiful part of the country
You WILL get snow!!
BFTP
Why don't I get this sort of reply when I mention going somewhere OK if its any better im in the pine forests of East Anglia as soon as I get back from......
models looking juicy atm
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16 minutes ago, MATTWOLVES 3 said:
You should.of said mate..we had no idea
Jel are we lol na in all honesty I'd love to bring it back for us all on here! The irony is at one point it looked like the same NEly winds were showing from there to where I live
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45 minutes ago, topo said:
I don't think it is that rare for Stockholm and very late November, but what is rare is the continuous cold and the subzero temperatures for as long as the models predict. That is rare.
By the way, it looks like just north of Stockholm all the Snökanon(lake effect from the Baltic Sea) will take place. A probably remarkable event, GFS predicts more than 50mm for the next week and probably it will be more (usually local models predict better these situations than global ones). So maybe record snow for those areas for that time of the year? It will be interesting to follow up.
I'm staying NW of Stockholm.
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5 hours ago, topo said:
GFS 06z is probably one of the coldest model runs that I have seen for my area and southern Scandinavia.
My first day in Stockholm on most models and ensemble suites Tuesday is showing a max of -5c and heavy snow I wonder when the last time that happened in November was?
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4 hours ago, throwoff said:
It’s a fair comment to make though. I think people forget that the MET have private business interests supplying groups like railways and airlines. They have to be accurate. My dad works for the rail, I don’t believe snowfall till he tells me he has had the email at work.
I might know your dad then he will def know some of my colleagues if he's in the area
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7 minutes ago, Jacob said:
Battle ground snow!!!!
On closer inspection it does breach the Thames/M4 quite substantially id be travelling from 3cms to 10cms on this day!
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2 minutes ago, Metwatch said:
Compared to the ECM 00z, does bring in the Atlantic a lot quicker, the lows probably phase, and also heights increase around the Balkans, sending all of that stuff here. However quite the frontal snow event north of the M4.
The day I head north of the M4 to go to those pine forests of East Anglia
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30 minutes ago, Nick2373 said:
18z Shows a cold spell from the 30th to 05th of December then a suggestion of something warmer with ppn spikes picking up to.
Perfect timing I'm back to work on 6th December
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Wheres my new fave Norse member Dennis? These look lovely and seasonal for my visit, ensembles seem to be increasing run by run those snow spikes! As it goes my Ancestry DNA test gave my mum and me quite high scandinavian hence my profile pic
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Unfortunately a cold rain fest for most but enjoy it in your IMBY place as I will in Sweden