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john pike

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    London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by john pike

    http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?x=&y=&run=18&lat=51.1336032388664&lon=0&runpara=0&type=0&ext=1

    might see some sleet-light snow monday @-7 uppers :shok:

    charts still look dry and cool otherwise

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1802.png

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2042.png

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn18017.png

    it would not take much for us to get into a much colder outlook

    fi so still changeable

    snowy i will give a rough forecast fot the 5th in 2 days

    when the fax chart shows saturday

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

    London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by john pike

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

    wet weekend cold and dry to the 3rd

    then models seem to disagree with outcome

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax120s.gif

    120 fax chart shows high pressure more to the west

    with colder 528 dam air heading towards us

    tomorrow nights fax may shed some light as to whether

    we will be under high pressure for a while or it decides

    to move upwards and away from us.

    fax charts are worth following as it stops me taking

    fi to seriously.Although i still look at them

    and post the good ones. :p

    note the 510 dam air to our east.

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn18017.png

    just to show that it will not be warm.

    back again tomorrow night

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=5&ech=6

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=5&ech=204

    a final point is the jet stream seems to be all over the place

    at the moment.I think we may start to see more confusion in the

    charts later.

    a interesting chart is the 3rd to 4th which shows the

    jet blasting over us fron the North East which may be worth watching

    London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?code=10&ech=84&mode=1&runpara=0

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?code=10&ech=84&mode=2&runpara=0

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rgem841.gif

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rgem841.gif

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/brack3.gif

    different outcomes at 84

    main models seem to show high pressure in charge but

    outlook looks colder but dry for now <_<

    not including saturday and sunday which looks wet and windy

    i will post the ensembles to see what they say soon

    London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    A few JP :D looking forward to hearing more :hi:

    hi snowy

    sorry about that should have only posted the 5th

    but linked to main charts.

    even i got confused reading that and i posted them :wacko:

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

    ensembles for london agree on a cool down to the 27th

    as these are 850 temperatures you need to add approx 6 degees

    in temperature to get what it will be on the ground

    the red line is the average temp for the time of year

    when you get to the 1st of march you can see a bit of a

    scatter.this normally means the ensembles are not in agreement

    so we will have to wait probably until tomorrow to see whether

    they agree.

    the bottom is the precipitation spikes

    the problem is they are showing very dry which could

    mean high pressure is in control although these will probably

    change in the morning

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax120s.gif

    this shows high pressure in control so we need to

    see where it goes to predict for 3rd onwards

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn18017.png

    just as a rough temperature guide

    i expect the charts to show cold again tomorrow

    i cannot post too much in links as i only have dial up for now

    should be back properly tomorrow night

    London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by john pike

    http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&lat=51.37651821862349&lon=-0.18867924528301927

    colder ensembles with some touching -10 which was not showing last night

    lowest last night was -5 so definately an improvement

    be nice if these were showing more precipitation spikes

    although plenty of time for that to change

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png :cold:

    London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Coast

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?ech=6&code=0&mode=1

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?ech=204&code=0&mode=1

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax120s.gif

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.gif

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/bome_cartes.php?&ech=120&mode=0&carte=0

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Recm1201.gif

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rjma1201.gif

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2282.png

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2642.png

    for viewing only :p

    http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&lat=51.37651821862349&lon=-0.18867924528301927

    surprisingly most of the models show high pressure builing to our west which

    should keep out the atlantic.should be cold and dry and then going into march things

    could start to get interesting (i did say could)

    lets keep our fingers crossed the models do not do what they kept doing in january

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs.php

    shows a fair drop in temperature from 26th

    quite a few cold members showing from 3rd onwards

    at least the models are not showing a roaring atlantic

    coming in and at least the potential for s..w is a possibility :lol:

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

    much colder options being picked up on here :yahoo:

    these do change but maybe a trend being picked up

    what do you think of these yamkin?

    London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3002.png

    long way out but worth seeing

    http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&lat=51.29554655870445&lon=-0.18867924528301927

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

    quite a few members showing colder from 27th onwards

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php

    if that went past 240 it would probably show a strong north westerly

    the northerly cold air flow

    at least it gives us something to watch

    London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    hi bob

    the ensembles over the last few days have

    shown nearly all members showing above average

    temperatures

    now tonight the ensembles on the 18z show at

    least 8 members below average

    these are a huge flip

    tomorrows charts are going to be very interesting

    will make the board come alive or make us want

    to call gfs a few friendly names

    i cannot say i was confident on the fax charts

    so i will wait until tomorrow to comment on them

    new trend or pub run

    we will see tomorrow :lazy:

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

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