Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

john pike

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,848

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    30

 Content Type 

Posts posted by john pike

    London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Not sure if that was aimed at me but just to be clear, I was referring to the general mood in the main model thread of the past week or so that did not suggest we were going to return to the freezer anytime soon.

    Sure there have been charts popping up now and then have hinted at the possibility but nothing in the reliable timeframe that some have suggested and nothing from the big 3.

    It seems though that people enjoy all the ramping so I will sit back and watch from afar and if we do get a return to cold and hopefully snow then great.

    hi jayces

    sorry mate a bit grumpy this morning

    the reason i do not post in the main model thread

    is because i would rather stick with trying to read

    the charts for the south east

    i do ramp up the good charts but i do try to back

    up what i have said

    this is a good reason to use the charts as a guide

    and follow the fax charts as they seem more accurate

    i still expect the south east to benefit from the weaker

    atlantic and jet going south

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/nogapse_cartes.php?&ech=150&mode=0&carte=0

    i will still show good charts but i will update

    with the fax charts later and hopefully will show the pesky low

    go south which is causing all the problems :air_kiss:

    London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1262.png

    massive potential from the east

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/bome_cartes.php?&ech=192&mode=0&carte=0

    just for yamkin :drinks:

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

    some more members picking up on colder option

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax120s.gif

    fax charts are starting to show the low pressure heading south

    also the jet stream is also going south again

    once the models pick up on weak atlantic,jet stream going south

    low heading south of us i would expect to see some very good runs

    showing up by thursday or friday

    the odd thing is on the fax chart we have the 528 dam line over us

    which will start to cool down the temperatures even with the SW wind

    next 2 days will be very interesting watching the models and to be honest

    i feel the cold air will win but we just need a couple of more days

    to firm it up :drunk:

    London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3722.png :smiliz19:

    just for fun

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax72s.gif 2 large low pressure

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax96s.gif 2 low pressure systems 1 average 1 small

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax120s.gif 2 large low pressure systems appear

    :wallbash::wallbash::wallbash::wallbash::wallbash:

    the charts tonight really seem all over the place

    even the fax charts look odd which is strange

    my opinion is that the atlantic will not be as strong

    as shown and if any low pressure systems do appear

    they will probably head south below us as the jet

    stream looks to head south around the 12th onwards

    let see what the ensembles show shortly

    London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax120s.gif

    low pressure in the atlantic is probably why

    the charts are still confusing

    http://www.wzkarten3.de/pics/Rtavn1441.png

    http://www.wzkarten3.de/pics/Rtavn1681.png

    http://www.wzkarten3.de/pics/Rtavn1921.png

    http://www.wzkarten3.de/pics/Rtavn2161.png

    http://www.wzkarten3.de/pics/Rtavn2401.png

    the charts are confusing again but if you

    look at the fax chart and the the gfs charts

    you can see some sort of possible scenario

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=216&mode=1&map=1&archive=0

    this is better and hopefully correct this merits a :yahoo:

    London & South East England - In Between The Cold Spells Discussion Part 30

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax120.gif

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rngp1201.gif

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rukm1201.gif

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rgem1201.gif

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Recm1201.gif

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

    i think it is best to wait for monday to see if anything agrees

    the fax chart and the met office chart have high pressure to

    our south east whereas the rest have low pressure

    this will make the outlook different on all of these

    i still think the models are overcooking the atlantic

    just to cheer everyone up http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3362.png

    and this http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3721.png

    i bet this all changes again monday :wallbash:

    London & South East England - In Between The Cold Spells Discussion Part 30

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by john pike

    hi yamkin and jaycee

    sorry should have made my other post

    a little clearer

    the reason i am following the fax charts is to

    check the trends are there and at the moment everything

    shows further west on the fax charts which is good

    tonight should give a very good clue to the upcoming cold spell

    http://91.121.84.31/modeles/nogaps/run/nogaps-1-144.png?06-11

    probably a little progreesive but should look similar on

    the fax chart tonight for the 13th

    http://www.weathercharts.org/wetterzentraleGFSforecast.htm

    run through these and you probably would be hard pushed

    to find a colder set of charts for february

    http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=charts;type=ens;sess=

    control run and gfs agree in fi

    more runs needed but :yahoo::yahoo::yahoo:

    London & South East England - In Between The Cold Spells Discussion Part 30

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=charts;type=gfsh500;sess=

    look at t168

    then look at

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax96s.gif

    then this

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax120s.gif

    to my eye the fax charts have high pressure

    further west over the uk

    plus high pressure seems to show in more

    favourable positions

    i think by tomorrow night we could potentially

    see winds coming from east-south east as early

    as next thursday on the fax charts

    http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=charts;type=gfsh500;sess=

    look at t168

    then look at

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax96s.gif

    then this

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax120s.gif

    to my eye the fax charts have high pressure

    further west over the uk

    plus high pressure seems to show in more

    favourable positions

    i think by tomorrow night we could potentially

    see winds coming from east-south east as early

    as next thursday on the fax charts

    the low in the atlantic should get held back

    and hopefully will only be able to undercut

    the high pressure over us which should make things

    interesting :smiliz19:

    London & South East England - In Between The Cold Spells Discussion Part 30

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    ECM & GFS are over amplifing the Atlantic low. I believe this will be rectified by Sun/Mon where a ridge will form and block the Atlantic flow allowing the Scandi High to pushing colder airflow into the UK. UKMO shows the ridge forming over the Atlantic to the SW and the Scandi High starting to form to the NE. post-2721-0-59184100-1296891361_thumb.jp

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax72s.gif

    hello yamkin

    chart you posted not a million miles from this

    still agree regarding too much energy in the atlantic

    fax charts later should be interesting

    London & South East England - In Between The Cold Spells Discussion Part 30

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=216&mode=0&map=0&archive=0

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=216&mode=1&map=1&archive=0

    hi yamkin watch the motion of the charts

    it clearly shows the east gradually pushing in towards us

    gfs i feel is still giving the atlantic too much power for

    this time of year

    ECM1-216.GIF?04-0

    this is the date to watch when it gets in the more reliable timeframe

    who will win the left corner or the right corner

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/

    watching the fax charts shows the low in the atlantic not

    making much ground

    but we are 4 days away to tell by the fax charts

    how this will look

    still better to see this and not atlantic driven charts :smiliz19:

    London & South East England - In Between The Cold Spells Discussion Part 30

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by john pike

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=216&mode=0&map=0&archive=0

    not ramping :smiliz19:

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=216&mode=1&map=1&archive=0

    still not ramping :smiliz23:

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/

    we need to watch the low in the atlantic over

    the next couple of days showing on here

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax120s.gif

    i expect it to stall and get pushed back which

    will let the easterly pattern set in

    we still need a few days for the fax charts to

    show this then i will start ramping :whistling:

    i am surprised how quiet it is in here

×
×
  • Create New...