Despite some haughtiness about people trusting what apps say, the ‘event’ has been continuously pushed back for a ever later start. The Met office had our area down from 2am for the start. The Dutch radar that was showing from around 3/4am has delayed now to much later on. Of course, the weather will do as it pleases but it highlights, perhaps quite painfully, the sheer complexity of how our weather systems work and how, when you try to convince a somewhat already sceptical public that climate change needs urgent address, no matter how many millions of pounds are poured into ever more complex computers that try to unlock the secrets of our climate, that they are often hopelessly wrong! It’s the crying wolf effect. I’m still hopeful of course that the boys will get a snowball fight today but it goes to show how basic our understanding of the weather really is.