snowlover2009

i wouldnt takemuch interest in those snow charts or the chance of snow. that chart around wednesday to the end of the week, would have snow for the whole of yorkshire and most of the north west i reckon, but i i think from pennines westwards would be much significant, but i could be wrong.

on this gfs it looks like the snow could fall anywhere in central and southern england. My area near the pennines would be pasted with snow, just like february.

I agree LMAO, its ok to have opinions on the models, but saying we have to be realistic and believe the models which is going for the christmas pudding style set up is most likely to come out instead of ukmo, gfs, fax etc. yes there is good number in more of an agreement. if anything is to be believed, people would beleive that all models but ecm would be likely to frutition because of the consitency.

He must be reading it wrong then. I reckon ecm will upgrade tomorrow morning, although the 12z ecm could show some very very similar to gfs or ukmo, i cannot see it flipping so quickly to gfs, but who would be surprised.

they are not! more like ukmo and gfs lol!

its just that snow risk chart has me on the very borderline of the snow, surely those snow charts are not that accurate. I reckon snow would crop up even into the northwest.

hi can anyone answer this. but would the pennines get much from this. surely there would and what about west yorks we had an easterly in feb and delivered the worst snow in west yorks for my area lol.

please does anyone know when the ecm ensembles are due? thanks

this is ecm 12z at 72 hrs ecm 00z at 72 hrs i know ecm doesnt update as regularly as gfs, but still would not be too much difference in 12 hrs imho gfs 12z at 72 then the gfs 6z 72 hrs

i agree the ecm is actually shocking even at 72 hrs imo.

WTH, that is far from wrong, good chance of it being around 2c in a few spots under fog.

that is a great post! is it me but as soon as you look at ecm 72 hrs you can already tell what will happen with the high not by instincts, but i thought when i saw ecm 72 i thought no way is this gonna be a good run because of that high, by that i mean sinking as such or going pear shaped. it just looks odd and really by itself. the positioning and timing is really imo very dreadful for ecm. when do the ensembles come out anyone?

i dont know which gfs i likem parallell or gfs? parallell i think lol. Hard to think, just maybe around 10 months on from february, we could see much worse snow. crazy some severe snow over the pennines too, blizzards

didnt know where to post this, but what does this mean to you it was posted to me by PM and i dont have a clue what he means 'So crazy that post. Its not saying anything untrue at all, Solar output which i study is having huge effect on our climate. Solar max took our 80s winter away. Solar min with the lag has brought it back. This was forecast from summer this year and on here to read - now that may be crazy. Go read the uk Northwest europe forum in climate change and perhaps you will see there is much more than GFS playing the right tune. I know models change in fi but that statement not just about models. Not going to argue about it, chat again in two weeks time ' i havent a clue what he is referring to? it was posted to me by someone called pyzotech or something? anyway on topic that parallel and gfs, well i dont know which one i would want, but if i flipped a coin, either would be good.

didnt know where to post this, but what does this mean to you it was posted to me by PM and i dont have a clue what he means 'So crazy that post. Its not saying anything untrue at all, Solar output which i study is having huge effect on our climate. Solar max took our 80s winter away. Solar min with the lag has brought it back. This was forecast from summer this year and on here to read - now that may be crazy. Go read the uk Northwest europe forum in climate change and perhaps you will see there is much more than GFS playing the right tune. I know models change in fi but that statement not just about models. Not going to argue about it, chat again in two weeks time ' i havent a clue what he is referring to? it was posted to me by someone called pyzotech or soemthing? anyway on topic that parallel and gfs, well i dont know which one i would want, but if i flipped a coin, either would be good.

the real cold and snow has always been around mid week and the atlantic is more dead so an upgrade i think i flicked back and forth on the past gfs which was 12z and wednesdays dam lines are in similar position with colder dam lines over scandi so an upgrade i think and look how cold and snow wednesday night is, with snow developing through wednesday itself.

i dont know what your talking about theres a lot more pooling to our northeast and its similar sort of set up with the low on wednesday onwards

yes i agree. this for example in a way is an absolutly crazy post tbh 'I've mentioned in another thread but will do so one more within the Model output, that Snow will fall and settle and that is 100% guarenteed, most especially in the North east, the east and again the south east. The pre christmas period will see a good fall, followed by shall we call it a lul in the weather during the 24 - 28th before bitter cold weather and once again snowfall arrives in the east and most especially south east, in fact the post Christmas snow could be a lot heavier and possibly prolonged for the east and south east. Look to the 28th Dec for the onset of the next snowy cold spell. and 16/17 to 20th for the first snowy spell. Again this is not a matter of doubt, the models are for once correctly predicting what will be the outcome. For snowlovers, a real feast awaits you within 10 days ! Cheers PE ' anyone agree 18z rolling out now i cannot wait, pub run of all pub runs.

why would it downgrade? I know it is too much snow for mondays possible set up. But i reckon tuesday looks good for the first of a snowy period potentially.

im not sure but you would get some snow i think.and its midweek things seem to look very interesting, with it kicking off tuesday evening.

those snow charts for how much snow you will get imo are not that accurate and people have warned each other because thats usually the case anyway.

erm you posted it in the MO thread a few mins ago, it just got moved in here because it was off topic. you know that it was moved anyway and thats why you are being sarcastic enough to say it is in the cold spell thread when it got put here by the mods , not you. i answered your question so there is no need to be smart with me or whatever like you have done before and i am not gonna sit here and argue with you.

what rain will meet the cold air? there will be hardly much rian anyway. it will be high pressure still and it will be hardly mild.

can i ask if ecm came off around 168 hours to 240 hrs where would the main batch of snow be and could i get a lot of snow. i havent really had or seen a lot of drifting snow, last febs snow was thick but not drifting up the walls etc.

it isnt lecturing at all, great advice, even if the snow doesnt come too bad as what the models are suggesting people should take tha advice on board as it could be very cold and atrocious with the blizzard like conditions as it would be windy too. but still got to get there first.