Buzzit
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Posts posted by Buzzit
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http://www.raintoday.co.uk/mobile ....Its better that the standed raintoday.
meteoradar.co.uk is working OK too but why not buy NW excellent radar
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the london shard might be issue reading this article built to withstand upto only 32mph.
Surely they built it with climate change in mind this goto be joke.I think you are reffering to the cradle the outside window cleaners use not the building
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I know it is the Met Office iPhone App, but it is currently saying 45Mph sustained and 85Mph gusts between midnight and 3am for Hampton through Islington
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As stated earlier, the essence of the actual windfield as modelled since yesterday hasn't changed. The impression is created that things have upgraded because the METO have extended the amber area but that simply means they have greater confidence (as would be expected) of the areas where wind gusts exceeding 60 mph are possible.
However actual wind strength distributions are largely the same as suggested yesterday. This is a matured low pressure system so it makes sense that the wind field will be larger and thus cover a larger area. The actual strengths though are no more than previously suggested. This is where the perspective should lie I think
While I agree with respect to maximum winds and chances of, I do also think the amber warning has been increased because the centre of the low pressure looks to be taking a slightly more easterly track (up the irish sea) than progged by the models ?
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The Euro4 model is showing only the coastline in the south experiencing gales or severe gales with the darker blue shading, and it's that region which is covered by an amber warning.
Just mentioning that the Euro 4 has shown higher wind speeds in the SE run on run on run
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hi guys
hope your well
give me a bit of time with this and be back soon
have a look for the moment and see what you think of these
John : I think there is still a bit of room at this stage - unfortunately - for that low to not veer to the North in the fashion it is and for the actual situation to continue to upgrade to the nasty side - It is nasty as it is but I am thinking worse based on a revision of the track of the low
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Sorry afk.. As Summer Sun says its a video trying to show the progression of the storm. Didnt realise you had to dl an app to see it.
I had the funniest video automatically come on after it - thanks for brightening my day no end
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The rainfall graphics that are being shown on BBC breakfast news today appear to be at odds with the current rainfall echo's being displayed on the met office rainfall radar (which suggest that the rainfall in the south-east today will be neither as extensive or as intense as the BBC rainfall models are suggesting).
Have you looked at the echos increasing off the SW coast ? I think it will be worse than the BBC graphics in the end - a later but stronger rain event
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Take care folks and stay safe ! In Yorkshire at the moment so missing out on the storm to a degree.. but certainly not great weather here either
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LINEAR 1999 S4 was less than a 3rd the size of ISON, and I expect whatever ISON does will be of a much greater order of magnitude and importance.
If ISON survives perihelion intact, then I expect we will learn a lot about theoretical scientific principles throughout December and January.
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Tomorrow morning is going to be a tree snapper stay safe all
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Model output this week has changed as much as evidence on CW use in Syria. Forget about trying to call anything for future periods until some time next week at the earliest.. at which point we should have a much clearer idea of what the dominant weather type will be for the middle of September.
Easiest model summary in ages at the moment = rain for everyone throughout the weekend !
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I still think we will see a Euro high in situ before we find ourselves in Autumn proper. I think this high can last rather than be routed by Atlantic low pressure
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And with a name like Buzzit, you should certainly know best. I must say, we do need to respect all wildlife, even wasps I guess, which aren't high on my "to admire list". The Natural World is facing biodiversity losses all over and these critters at the bottom of the food chain need more respect than ever.
Yes I do
I recommend everyone watch "More Than Honey" if you can - it is amazing http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/brainwaves/2013/06/19/more-than-honey-a-new-documentary-offers-spectacular-close-ups-of-bees-mid-flight-and-perspective-on-the-worldwide-honey-bee-crisis/The step father of an old girlfriend of mine is a very well known Entomologist and I had the pleasure of learning a lot about insects from him. On one particular day he received a parcel of 30 live queen bees - each one was housed in a matchbox (in which they can survive for quite a while) we released them all and that was a sight to see
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And this just in from our newsdesk "Wasps attack and Bees sting" "Parliament recalled from recess to debate how nasty the Wasps are, whether they are attacking indiscriminately and whether they should support the rebel Bees by supplying nectar reserves.
Quoting William Hague "I will be putting a motion forward to the UN Security Council to strongly condemn indiscriminate Wasp attacks" POTUS said "Wasps have crossed over the red line next to my house and I told them not to so now I have to attack them" Russia said "Wasps attack everyone knows that so we should leave them to do what nature intended as they are protecting their territory"
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If the gfs 6z is to be believed, Ireland is the place to be! Looks glorious, if sun and warmth is your bag!
excellent weather for the football semi final of the All Ireland on Sunday !
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That crazy man in the GFS is back - look at those eyeball lows and the big mouth full of hot air
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Fear not Shed, the trusted gfs in fi takes us into an Indian summer...
We are going to have an Indian summer but the high is going to be centered further East. With respect to the chart you have posted, these synoptics only last on the GFS op for a couple of days so hardly representative of an Indian summer.
The synoptic features over the UK in the model output have changed frequently this month - but if you compare the GFS in far FI of two weeks ago with this mornings 6z output for 23rd August, the significant difference is the movement of the feature lows further East. But the broad overall pattern remains very similar. We may have a washout for some this weekend but that is the luck of the draw.
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I really like this kind of data, can you give me a link please or is your link only available to you in your web site-thank you if it is possible
JH Use this link to compute your own Trajectories http://ready.arl.noaa.gov/hypub-bin/trajtype.pl
- It is not too difficult - I just did the one graphic below - just follow through the requirements - enter your lattitude etc and away you go ! (you can do backwards forwards and many different types of synoptic output) (Select from the GFS 192hrs fcst, Global, pressure)
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Personally, I do not much like the term 'shortwave' at all...When ah were a lud, we had polar lows, heat lows, wave depressions and secondary depressions - in which, the necessary information is contained within the name. But, what is a 'shortwave' - anything that happens to make a mockery of an individual's forecast?
That is why if I refer to a shortwave I always call it a "pesky shortwave" as it is interfering with my forecast output
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Model output is a bit of a dogs breakfast at the moment (to put it mildly)
To my mind we are in a take each day as it comes pattern at the moment so not point looking into FI for now... which I currently have as +66
Enjoy the mania if you are watching the wild run to run swings but please keep accusations against other members posts off the thread as there is bound to be wild variation over the next couple of weeks with nobody having any good idea of where we will be come 1st September
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Hi All avid model / weather watchers.... I believe the pesky shortwave is being overplayed by the models and Met is being overly cautious with positioning and respective influence. Fair play to the Met, I would do the same if I was them for safety sake, but my hunch is high pressure residing over most of the UK +120 through to the end of the month.. I love super hot weather and I love snow, and I refuse to be cautious this time around ! Also Looking forward to an exceptional September for most of the UK.
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That effect mainly occurs due to the ENSO cycle however during near neutral seasons there is much less of a correlation. All indications currently suggest an above average season. 2003 and 1995 saw two very active seasons, this season to date is technically above average. Its just that they've been mostly crap.
Yes but nothing of any particular note in either year until end August at which point the east coast started to get hit - which is what I meant to suggest rather than to do with frequency / general level of activity - so I apologise for not being more precise
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Having said that, ex hurricanes quite often suck up high pressure underneath them, from a warm direction, more so earlier in the season when the jet is further north than later. From a personal point of view, the main reason I find this weather so boring and frustrating is that the jet is on a NW-SE trajectory rather than a SW-NE, more typical of summer. I would think an ex hurricane would help introduce some much warmer air.
Needless to say, there are no indications of such an evolution on any of the models so we just have to stick with what we've got.
Generally speaking a very quiet start to the Atlantic Hurricane Season bodes well for a great UK summer... I think I might re-post what I posted five days ago as it is getting closer to fruition "+384 picture gallery and a massive fat euro high - I am expecting this for the first half of autumn so this would do quite nicely thanks - will be looking to see if we have a bit of change in the general pattern around 16th August as I feel the Azores will encroach a little before we get a full displacement to a Euro high dominated end of August and throughout September, around the same time as I expect the Atlantic Hurricane Season show a bit more life after the middle of this month as well. All conjecture at this point but we shall see..."
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Surely they built it with climate change in mind this goto be joke.
South East England & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 13/02/14
in Regional
Posted
Just saying my Met office Iphone App still says says 44Mph sustained and gusts of 86Mph between midnight and 3am for Central London, 92Mph Gust out Margate way and 88Mph near Heathrow for same period