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Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
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k19

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Everything posted by k19

  1. k19
    I can only imagine that would lead to a hugely elongated high stretching from south west of the uk up to scandinavia. I can't imagine it properly linking up and if it did I don't think it could stick around EDIT: wording.
  2. k19
    If that very weak high pressure over eastern europe were to be stronger than predicted, I believe the high over us could very well cause height rises further north, possibly into greenland.
  3. k19
    1) The gfs 6z is the GFS model that is run starting at 6am everyday (although it is released starting at 9-45) 2) The 12z is the same as above but released starting at 12pm daily. The data inout will be slightly different as raw data will have changed, giving new charts. 3)FI is fantasy island, as in, it is so far away that it is unlikely to come off, and therefore is just fantasy
  4. k19
    Thanks very much for the explanation, but how does the mountain torque affect the stratosphere above the poles?
  5. k19
    can somebody please explain to me what a mountain torque event is? I can't find information anywhere
  6. k19
    Perhaps the ensembles from Nuuk would give a better indication of any model hint at blocking
  7. k19
    Im in south liverpool at the moment and haven't noticed and lightening or thunder
  8. k19
    Can I ask what experiment took place to confirm this. You are close to the coast so I can't understand how you cannot be affected by the Irish sea's temperature modifications
  9. k19
    Im in Liverpool for the next few days as well. It's difficult to say what will happen here because the irish sea will only serve to drive temperatures up. The best hope is that the 850's will be cold enough to sink down along with heavy showers that can readily bring down the freezing layer. I would say expect some snow, but i doubt any of it will settle. Any other opinions on this?
  10. k19
    Apologies it has been a while since I looked at the 850's and the light blue used to indicate -5's and green used be 0's.
  11. k19
    I'm not sure about snow to anything other than high ground... the 850's are too high
  12. k19
    Meto warnings now showing snow for the west coast? Can't really see it snowing at high temperature on the coast though
  13. k19
    No a greenland high is when the high pressure is centred over greenland, effectively blocking the atlantics low pressure conveyor belt from us, sending it south a long with the jet. I believe that evolved from a greenland high a few days prior to it though
  14. k19
    The pink indicates wintry precip. although no significant accumulation is likely.
  15. k19
    Unfortunately I think that the Lakes will probably gobble up most of the showers, but you will probably still get some
  16. k19
    Just rain and hail in Liverpool at the moment. Some lightening earlier though.
  17. k19
    there is a polar low http://sat24.com/?ir=true just north west of iceland
  18. k19
    Yes it would not surprise me if the stronger showers developing now make it over the pennines with the strong wind
  19. k19
    In liverpool at the moment and its just rain im afraid! Regarding the polar low i assume you mean the one near iceland, it is common for polar lows to filter between Ireland and Northwest England so as to stay over water for as long as possible, however it's blowing a gale across the UK up there at the moment, so it could still head towards us if it can overcome all the factors trying to drag it east.
  20. k19
    All the forecast's I have read are still viewing the situation as marginal. Which is usual for where I am on the coast, but the synoptics seem very good for places like manchester. I am unsure of any lying snow though, the ground hasn't been below freezing much in low lying areas, so I can't see it sticking around to cause problems unless the temperature dips well below 0- I also doubt that there will be enough snow to bring the freezing level down or to cool the ground sufficiently.
  21. k19
    CFS is throwing up some interesting charts for the next week. We start off with lower 850's, and a northwesterly flow on Monday: \ Then by Friday most of the country is covered by -8 850's I know this is the CFS, but it's interesting to see the synoptics being spread across most models for next friday now. CFS seems to make both cold snaps less marginal for northern areas.
  22. k19
    I believe this is the correct chart for the time you are thinking of, but the high pressure is too near to us effectively shifting the precipitation eastwards at the moment, so although it would be bitterly cold, the chance of snow is low at this time, at least thats what i believe is the case, i may be wrong.
  23. k19
    NAO forecast to take a dive of some kind or another by the start of december, and the models are toying with the idea of a colder scenario around then, i suspect that the most negative member of the NAO is on the same wavelength as the colder model members.
  24. k19
    Way out in FI, and i'm not going to suggest this will happen, but it's an interesting chart The temperature difference would be huge!
  25. k19
    How brad is affording to go scuba diving on his £35 weekly salary is beyond me.
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