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snow1975

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Everything posted by snow1975

  1. snow1975
    The easterly in the north later this week has a Feb 2001 look about it. On that occasion the snow didn't appear in the BBC weather bulletins until the last minute. North Scotland and the Northern Isles were hit badly, even relatively high ground in the central Belt got several inches of snow...
  2. snow1975
    Look at the 12z Gem at 144h
  3. snow1975
    More like a blue, frozen herring!
  4. snow1975
    And potentially a lot of snow
  5. snow1975
    More of a scandi high rather than a russian high later this week with a -20C cold pool at 850hpa heading west across Scandinavia....this might cause even greater uncertainty in the forecast later this week.
  6. snow1975
    Yes, I've just come in and looked at the 12z runs. Todays GFS/MetO 12's look like yesterday's GEM/JMA.
  7. snow1975
    Xmas Day appears to be the pivot point; a transition from very mild to very cold by Boxing Day and beyond. Notice several members fall to -10C 850hPa associated with a potent N/NW arctic flow.
  8. snow1975
    It doesn't look warm on these charts
  9. snow1975
    Hints of cold zonal around Xmas?
  10. snow1975
    It appears the Atlantic low is aligning more south-north and pulling west on the 18z, maybe the Azores high could ridge up to Scandi?
  11. snow1975
    Higher pressure over Greenland on 18z
  12. snow1975
    A brief heavy fall on the morning of the 5th near the Royal Observatory where I worked. I didn't make it in from Fife the next day. The Edinburgh folk didn't believe the amount of snow I was reporting and thought I was pulling a sicky. It snowed continuously for at least 36 hours in Fife, from 07z/5th until 21z/6th.
  13. snow1975
    I worked in Edinburgh in 1996. It started on the 5th, Edinburgh got barely an inch of snow from the event (shelter from south). There was a south-east wind, but it remained quite light. The max on the 6th was -1C, min -2C...so the snow was dry and powdery. There was a repeat a month later, 19cm on the 18th of March.
  14. snow1975
    Some impressive snow depths in there. We had a similar event in February 1996, I recorded 33cm one day. Any ideas what the depths were across the Fife and DUndee areas in the earlier event?
  15. snow1975
    Here's the JMA.... will the MetO follow suit? It will be snow in eastern Scotland with -6 to -8C uppers at T144h
  16. snow1975
    There's still hope, tomorrow. The GEM and JMA are better than ECM/GFS at the moment.
  17. snow1975
    Thanks. Not very cold at all, but going in the right direction. At least that chart is more festive than last Xmas Day.
  18. snow1975
    Any idea of the upper temps on that chart?
  19. snow1975
    A white Xmas in Glasgow, ABerdeen.....................
  20. snow1975
    If this comes off on Xmas Eve, could be back edge snow moving south-east.
  21. snow1975
    Perhaps the easterly around T120 is a red herring? Maybe we should look North at Xmas?
  22. snow1975
    Well, there's a trough/cold front heading that way.
  23. snow1975
    Slight WAA across the UK could be good for Scandi high later?
  24. snow1975
    From a coldies point of view, lets hope the ECM 12z follows the GEM/MetO route and not the GFS. The ECM 00z and GFS are similar.
  25. snow1975
    The GEM 00z at +240hr shows the PV move into Scandinavia and Siberia. I think GP has hinted at this development. Whereas, the GFS wants to send the PV to Greenland at the same timeframe.
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