Thats why when the NAO is negative we should not presume a cold spell.
Exactly my point earlier. Lots of eastern UK guys and girls here. Thats why it gets so busy when a Easterly shows.
I presume we are seeing the trends to colder weather now in the essemblies etc. But people have seem to forgotten that this weeks easterly died a death and the Northerly now seems pretty poor too. Anything any good is in FI and seems to be pushed out on the models. But as people say, look for the cooling trend.
Shouldnt we be looking at the Northerly (good or bad for different regions) as the starter before the main course? Isnt it into FI we should be looking for trends as the Northerly disapates?
Good idea. Probably more interesting than the current model output. Just as TEITS said. Nothing in any CURRENT output to get excited about. This is not because some people say we have been spoiled this winter because some regions have not. We live on a very small island and still the weather varies hugely across even 50 miles, which I find fasinating.
Going by the lack of posts on here today and none of the more experienced guys have not appeared today, in my opinion just goes to show theres not much exciting in the models again today.
Lol. Im sure we will all here the crash when you see the output in the morning when it flips around again.
I bet the GFS backtracks and the ECM stays as it is.
So now the GFS and ECM are 'quite far appart' in their output is a fair comment? That means there would have to be a big turn around by the GFS to follow the ECM tomorrow or a big turn around by ECM to follow the GFS or Stays as it is... interesting times..
Just to remind you David-kig, we still have a lot of winter to go yet until summer. Winter not over yet by a long shot, Feb is usually the best month for cold and snow. Bit off topic i know.
Thank you. Maybe the GFS is better at picking up a cold spell. But the ECM performs better when we are IN the cold spell. If that sounds supid forgive me.
After the GFS picked up the cold signal, how long did it take for the ECM to jump on board. Yes, I have asked this three times now. If anyone could help, thanks.