aspire27

Thank you. So now looking to continue the theme on the GFS from earlier.

Sorry could you put some more detail into that so a newbie can understand. I presume this means the latest ECM is on its own??

Please back to the model output.

You just said exactly what I did from a mildies point of view. A return to cold next week, eh? Thats the first time YOU have mentioned anything about cold next week. Mild mild mild thats all you have been going on about.

Well I cannot see any real trend in these models. Only yesterday the GFS was going to an easterly. Now it has back tracked. The temps forecast for my area for the weekend have already been dropped by 4 to 5 degrees (was 10 now 6) and that is not mild. The east IS influencing our weather currently. Mildies on here think their mild pattern is set in stone just as much a coldie when the models show cold. This is winter. Winter should be cold in my book, thats why I look for cold. I presume the mildies look for hot hot hot in the summer, its just the same. Nothing worse than non-seasonal weather, if you like that move to tenerife.

There are so many ups and downs on this thread. The is no continual trend to mild and no continual trend to cold. At the moment the models keep chopping and changing from one to another. We get cold output then mild, and then it switches again. People are talking as this winter has finished....rubbish.

Saturday a lot colder than first forecast. Was 10 degrees for Sat in Bristol, now only 6.

I wonder if this will be the actual temps in the next five days... Just cant see Bristol being 10 degrees on sat. And what about next week?? We will see..

The models having been indicating a trend now to colder conditions. Something we didnt have 3 days ago. The ECM has backed away, so what? Wasnt if the GFS that picked up the cold first of all for last week? A bit of chop and change gonig on (i know that is not a technical comment) at the moment as the models decide on this potential cold spell coming up. Lets wait and see before deciding on no cold because of the ECM. The ECM has been sticking to cold recently, one run the other way and its all over...not yet its not.

Raining nicely now just south of Bristol

Been snowing for 13 hours now. Giving about 2 cm.

Going to have no idea of snow totals due to much of it not settling. Not cold enough yet, not really sticking much.

Temp must of dropped. Gaps in snow very slowly starting to fill with very small snow cover.

Spot on. Keep doing what your doing. Very enjoyable for me personally. You got the mid Dec cold SMACK BANG ON. Look forward to more of your model output analysis. Keep it up TEITS!!

Come on guys whos telling fibs?!! I think more wet....than powder!! lol

No mate, thats 6,1. lol 61!! big dumping possible.

Not being funny dogs32, but the latest BBC forecast shows hardly any snow for your area. It seems to dye away lots when it reaches you. I did say this last night but you wouldnt have it. Hope you get loads mate, but just saying what ive been saying!!

Whats the temp mate?

Hi Michael, im in Grange Farm Road off the mini roundabout. Seems to be wet and washing away here, 300 yards up the road!!

1.5 inches? or cm?

Dont expect much. Light to a little moderate. Wet and washing away type of snow. Not cold enough at the moment, Bristol will be worse with temps a little higher again.

Doubt a couple of weeks with the mild southerly winds in the latest model output!

PPN very very weak.

This light wet snow doing its best to finally wash away the snow that was lying. Just not cold enough.