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Matty M

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Everything posted by Matty M

  1. Matty M
    The increased development of the preceding short-wave may have taken some energy from the development of the second wave. Be interesting to see how the first short-wave is modelled in the coming days, only 72hrs, but we could see it quickly being ramped up by the models in the next few runs, or just disregarded.
  2. Matty M
    The P does develop something though, not as deep but interesting to keep an eye on for sure.
  3. Matty M
    potentially very troublesome little feature - also bring widespread snow in the west and north
  4. Matty M
    Well, what do we have here? That is a surprising little feature and could be potentially vicious.
  5. Matty M
    A little off topic but a holy moly chart from the 18z ensembles for next week. - They might need to make a new level of warning, maybe a purple warning!?
  6. Matty M
    Yea, must be wind shear. Angle of runway to wind
  7. Matty M
    Yea, not good if youre trying to land in Dublin airport tonight, some amount of go arounds and diverts. Will probably be over 10 diversions.
  8. Matty M
    No mention on the News @ 10 headlines anyway.
  9. Matty M
    PTDY*, sorry, just pressure tendency, (fall in pressure in last 3 hours)
  10. Matty M
    Now there's a a PTY at K5 buoy, -19.1 That is impressive.
  11. Matty M
    Yea, i too think the peak winds are occurring around now, probably well into hurricance force south of its centre. The storm is probably reaching it's maximum depth now and will slowly fill in next few hours, probably at its most dangerous phase in next 3-6hrs
  12. Matty M
    Yup, strongly suggest it is. Question is whether it will last until it touches down in Scotland
  13. Matty M
    Bouy/Ship? near centre of Low reporting pressure of 965hPa with a pressure drop of 18.2hPa in just 3 hours
  14. Matty M
    Gusting to close to 70mph at Belmullet on the 8pm reports. Northwest Scotland must brace themselves for an exceptional wind event.
  15. Matty M
    It is deeper, however these storm's usually have a relatively short live where the sting-jet type phenomenon forms. So a rapid deepening now may mean the storm is weakening as it crosses northern Scotland. Of course the storm is going to be violent up north but if it reach peak intensity just off shore and begins to fill slightly the risk of those gusts to near 110/120mph will reduce.
  16. Matty M
    The track has actually quite clearly moved north overnight, not further south. To do with the storm developing more quickly. The EURO4 has moved away from a wide band of damaging winds on the 12z to a thinner band further north on the 0z
  17. Matty M
    I'd say these have to be my two favourites. - Just astonishing synoptics
  18. Matty M
    If people want to see some incredible synoptics check out the 18z ensembles. We are really in for a pretty crazy spell of weather; very high winds, snow, hail, rain, squalls... you name it, it's on the way over the next 5-10 days. And increasingly southern areas will become at risk of storms. One thing is certain the weather will be making headlines over the next week.
  19. Matty M
    wow poor Scotland 2nd system wants to just knock you when your down. Some wicked ensembles Also definite slight trend south with track of 1st low which could bring more built up areas into play
  20. Matty M
    This is low res output showing gusts of 100-110mph for the northwest fringes of Scotland, higher res will sharpen that to more like 120mph..... pretty serious stuff
  21. Matty M
    I would suggest there should be a broad yellow warning for much of the UK, as i can see there being widespread 55-65mph gusts even in the south.
  22. Matty M
    With the exceptionally strong jet-core aloft, some really incredible winds could reach the surface if a sting-jet would form. A red alert surely will be issued tomorrow if these charts stay in a similar vein.
  23. Matty M
    18z GFS pushes dangerous gradient slightly further south, placing more built up areas of Scotland at risk
  24. Matty M
    A real serious situation developing for northern Scotland, at least they are somewhat used to it, if this system was to hit further south there would be major issues. Will be interesting to see what winds will be recorded.
  25. Matty M
    Latest EURO4 has sustained winds of 85mph for coastal parts of northern Scotland early Friday, yes SUSTAINED hurricane force winds A real battering. I hope some news crews make the trip so we can see the full wrath of the storm from the sheltered southeast.
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