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igloo

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Everything posted by igloo

  1. igloo
    well im of to minnesota for christmas and new year to my brothers i will do some ice fishing and have ago on his snow machine on the state of 10000 lakes there is plenty of snow and ice there at this time of year but im still hopefull we will see some of the white stuff here before then and touch wood there will be some when i come back in january
  2. igloo
    the GFS has been very bullish for a few days now for a sustained spell of wet and windy weather with mild temps after the driest november since 1929 i think flooding should not be a issue sice the ground is relatively dry so far what we dont want to see is weeks and weeks of it then it will become a problem once again there is still a 50% chance we could get a colder spell to end the month
  3. igloo
    love it t shirt weather cant beat it i just wish we could get this in june some hope
  4. igloo
    looks like it will start on the mild side for the first half my guess then will be average for the second half so 5.8c will not be far away me thinks
  5. igloo
    grim stuff form the GFS looks like a repeat of december 2015 with storm after storm rolling in and in the later stages a euro slug to go with it nasty i dear hope its over doing things somewhat or it will be a long mild december by the looks of it
  6. igloo
    we have been locked into a dry spell and some what coldish spell since october so you are right a pattern chance is due but i fear its not what some people wish for unfortunately if its not dry and cold what else can it be tell me weather patterns tend to last 2-3 months at a time then change in my 42 years of living in this country
  7. igloo
    its been showing this type of setup for the past few days now from mid month onwards just like the met office so there is something going on those charts even put december 2010 to shame
  8. igloo
    well if the GFS 18z is right we could well have a hosepipe ban in january unheard of as its bone dry from start to finish it could well take us back to the early 80s where it was so cold and frosty we had to defrost the diesel from our dump trucks and other heavy machines by setting fires below them in the mornings to defrost and that lasted 6 weeks is another one of these on the cards
  9. igloo
    im not to sure about that uppers of +4 or +6 would indicate a fair amount of cloud cover anyway watching the 18z is like watching paint dry a long slow death to my eyes
  10. igloo
    one of these days the CFS will be right a christmas day present for us all it has shown this type of setup for a few runs now for mid month maybe its starting to pickup the signal from the longer term euro models i hope so
  11. igloo
    whats the bets it will become a euro slug over time it would just be our luck we need to see this HP either getting further north or moving to scandi or it will be like pulling teeth
  12. igloo
    surely it has to otherwise we may as well give up then we can get our scandi HP
  13. igloo
    the UKMO chart is alot better at 144h than this mornings run can we possibly get a scandi HP in the next few runs it looks like a steady inprovment for a change one thing the UKMO has not done well for the past week with this HP trying to flatten it at every oppitunity
  14. igloo
    yes we are better sticking to the ECM for the 144h charts interesting the GEM trys to form a scandi HP but then decides to flatten everything the models i feel have a good hold on this the first few weeks of december looks like it will be wet and windy we can only hope the met office and ECM longer range models have it nailed for mid december for more favrorable blocking or are they just churning out dross
  15. igloo
    eventually at the 216h mark it spins up some very powerfull storms which then flatten everything in there path and continues on its defult settings nothing new anything past 144h is in the land of the fairies in all the models anyway
  16. igloo
    that will depend on cloud cover something you can only forecast 2 days invance will it be cloudy and raw with no frost or sunny and hard frosts and feel pleasant in the sun during the day im not sure anybody can tell
  17. igloo
    cant post pics as im on a android tv box but the UKMO looks alot better at 120h very similar to the ECM and GFS so ot looks like it is backtracking good sign
  18. igloo
    tell putin to bring over some of his cold air instead of his jets and battleships
  19. igloo
    you a right does everyone remember a few years back when they gave seasonal forecasts which were on lines of barmy summers and mild winters which turned out to be the complete oppisite then they stoped them so im not sure why they are starting to ramp this stuff up again either they are super confident in there own models or they have forgoting the years prevoiusly either way this mornings ECM does not show this but my personal view is the ECM is a cold outlier and this evenings with be alot different
  20. igloo
    i think the mods need to start the moan thread once again like last season which helped a good deal hint hint,anyway i dont no any model which can forecast the weather in 3 days never mind trying to forecast something in 4 weeks time nothing is certain bar tax and death unfortunately for sure the models will show something completley different later today
  21. igloo
    i have seen this countless times with the GFS over the years it takes 2-3 extra runs to catch up with the euros hopefully the ECM monthly will show a more bullish outlook for mid december
  22. igloo
    good possibilities with that chart down the line the interesting time frame to watch is at 144h
  23. igloo
    it doesnt look likely to happen on this run at 168h a spoiler shortwave south of greenland looks like it will force its way through still it can all change on the next run
  24. igloo
    the low of the coast of greenland looks further west at 144h and shallower than the last run can we possibly get a scandi HP are we starting to backtrack?
  25. igloo
    surely something has to give for the past 3 week there has been no PV over the hudson bay and nothing being forecast for the next 14 days at least this is the only season i have viewed these charts and there has been nothing in that area but it will be only a matter of time before it gets back from its holidays and this opportunity will have been missed sadly
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