igloo
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Everything posted by igloo
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Well the west is best if you live in western scotland northern ireland or cumbria as easterlys deliver nothing in those areas but i do no the cold gets modifayed the further south it goes which sadly has been the case all season so far for the southern half of the uk
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Well we dont all stay in the south of the uk i have done very well from fairly similar setups as this all season and have snow still lying from november it would suit me and a few million just fine i think
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Not sure but the GFS is showing it crazy charts the last few days from it you have to admit
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Forget the east have a better look to our west if that lump PV lands on top of us it would be snow magedan
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Its more likely than not im afraid its not called the icelandic low for nothing i used to think feb was the time when the PV started to weaken but over the past few years it has not been happening its just the way it is nowadays sadly
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Well i hope you haven't told the children to start waxing there sledge its another epic failure from the GFS just like the 100s before some people on this forum are delusional and seem to think we are still in the 50s mad
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The GFS is churning out some crazy charts over the past few days this one is no different there must be something in the air at some point in feb
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Cant post pics but what a difference between the 18z and the 0z run one extreme to the other a real shocker and just shows dont pin your hopes on some outrageous charts we have been viewing over the past few days
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It looks like a repeat of what has happened all season with the azores ridgeing up getting flattened then a repeat there is nothing to suggest anything different this time its been like this all season there is just to much energy to our norh
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Yes it has been the pattern all season this type of setup just one of these years i guess but the usual suspects have done well from these myself included nothing long lasting on these setups of course it just topples over after a 2-3 days but better than nothing the days of greenland and scandi HP Are all but over nowadays but some people will not accept reality unfortunately
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Well i wont complain if we get more of these mid atlantic HP just like we have got all through winter so far they have delivered plenty of snow and ice days for many i have had snow lying since the end of november in this area the uk doesnt stop just at london you no
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well the 18z bore feast is just a tad better than the last with the HP cell just a few miles further north which is better surely if we can get a few more runs of this we could be looking at something completly different than +8 uppers but its a start atleast
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its just getting to hard now a days for easterlies you just have to look at random archive charts from decades ago and the reason stands out like a sore thumb and is shocking viewing the atlantic oceon is far more active now than decades ago my view is the PV is is just to strong now a days and just flattens any HP that trys to form in scandi or greenland with thing set to get worse in the future snow and ice will just be in old photos and video tapes just a part of history
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yes no undercut at 120h on this run so goodbye to our phantom easterly like earlier you just never no what the ECM does run to run over the past fortnight it has been pants this run looks finally going the same way as the rest as flat as a pancake that is
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Its time we gathered up al the tug boats in the uk and attach them to the northern coast of scotland and trail the uk some 500 miles north for winter then trail them back 1000 miles se for the summer thats the only way we will see some proper weather for summer and winter
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It was the same a fortnight ago it was forecasting a easterly run after run untill it suddenly droped it on the other hand the GFS not at any stage forecasted this ghost easterly the same thing is happening again either the ECM is going downhill rapidly or the GFS has had some huge upgrades this season but the GFS is now king i feel
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certainly its more intertaning than watching the weather forecast for saudi arabia or any other desert country how boring would that be
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yes its trying once again in deep fl for another go of the azores to rige up for the 100th atempt it may just happen this time for a change but short term the NAO looks to be going positive by a fair amount
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as usual when we get to the 120h mark it al starts to fold once again we seen this last week now its happening once again the NAO looks to be rocketing once agin for the second half of january i feel the only real hope for something longer lasting is a SSW event
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we could well get a huge undercut with these charts and the holly grail a greenie
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it looks like the GFS was not far of the mark al along after the name calling it has got for the past 3 days its turning more into a non event sadly
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the GFS should either get a crown or a retirement date after this episode is finally played out its simply not moving one bit
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yes the GFS is still not great but its slowly catching up with each passing run after 9 years of model watching one thing i have learned of the GFS it consitly sends to much energy north i have seen at least a dozen times over the years with these colder setups being forecasts
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the GFS is gradualy getting there but at the rate it's going it will be a week late the UKMO and GEM look identical at 144h this mornings ECM will finally seal it either way
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its going no where looks good
