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igloo

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Everything posted by igloo

  1. igloo
    and we could end up with the holy grail later on with a greenland HP the best charts theres been for the past 4 years
  2. igloo
    there is a problem with the GEM model the 850 uppers tend to be far to high with every run i should have been fixed a long time ago thats why most people ignore it and call it cannon fodder
  3. igloo
    the south looks like it will have snow showers where the pressure is lower with very low dew points from a easterly any snow lying will be like powder but i have a feeling this will be a outlier sadly
  4. igloo
    yes the last two frames from the ECM does have another bartlett high forming i hope this is not a trend as its happend to often this season but its miles better than the GFS
  5. igloo
    yes it does look like another atlantic ridge callapse leeding to another euro slug how often have we been here before this season its just not meant to be again this season just like the previous 3 sad
  6. igloo
    another snowless winter on the cards with each run from the models the hope of something resembling winter fades and what will the deniers say wait till febuary the amount of times we have heard this from the same people over the past few years is shocking
  7. igloo
    dont be fooled there money making some people believe there accurate some dont they have performed badly this season so far for sure
  8. igloo
    you mean the best of a bad bunch still way better than the billions spent on LRF
  9. igloo
    the billions of pounds it takes to run these longer term models i hope its not the tax payers money but it does look stormy over christmas lets hope we dont have a repeat of the boxing day storm of 1998
  10. igloo
    very sad news he always had a smile on his face R.I.P legend
  11. igloo
    it would be a welcome site for some after near drought conditions for the past 2 months but dont underestimate the euro slug its hanging on for dear life
  12. igloo
    correct you will not see much frost from +10 uppers dull and cloudy sums it up unless the models lower the uppers nearer the time that is
  13. igloo
    when you see +12 uppers in this evenings ECM run you no when things have changed big time if only we could get those sorts of uppers in july and not on the shortest days of the year the days of scandi hp and greenland hp are all gone bar from the few die hard deniers
  14. igloo
    im not sure whats worse the UKMO the GFS or the GEM all are shocking for cold one thing to point out is the front loaded winter looks to be in tatters so can we be sure of a mild second half im not
  15. igloo
    i wonder what the record high temp is for the 21st the shortest day the GFS is surely on its way to setting a new record it sure beats rain
  16. igloo
    well this well this is the coldest chart i can come up with it says it all frankly lots of cloud
  17. igloo
    very strong agreement between the GFS and ECM now at 168h at least its dry and mild instead of rain and mild we may have to wait till next year for something better sadly
  18. igloo
    i like the positive thinking but sure if the GFS is on to a new trend of the low starting to undercut things would look a lot different in fl not just the default setting you near always see
  19. igloo
    if we could get a few more tweaks further west from this beast at 1050mb we could well see some very cold temps but i have seen this many times over the past 4-5 years it never gets far enough west to have any inpact unfortunately not like the old times
  20. igloo
    i no most people me included think the JMA is cannon foder but it shows the possibility of a huge undercut there is so much variables possible in 7 days time im convinced no model has yet nailed it yet
  21. igloo
    your wrong no amplification even at day 10 the worst ECM run for a long time lets hope its just a outlier otherwise the met office will have to ditch there forecast for christmas big time
  22. igloo
    blink and you will miss it it ends up as a euro slug with al the energy going over the top but im not to concerned with the GFS the way it is handling this its always super progressive in the lower resolutions anyway better to watch the euros if this a future scenario
  23. igloo
    well i hope those charts are wrong otherwise it would be game set and match already but the good thing is there must be at least another dozen of similar charts telling a different story
  24. igloo
    the UKMO at 144h aint to bad with slim heights to our north its atleast better than the GFS which is as flat as a pancake
  25. igloo
    winters have changed not just for me but for everybody but yes a bit more snow here quite often when you drive up from the village to my my house it will slowly turn to sleet then snow from 200m upwards and it can be a winter wunderland temps from 1c to -1c in 140m clime is common but as the years pass its slowly changing
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