Strider
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Posts posted by Strider
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EURO4 has been bullish for some time for prospects for E Mids. All the apps and BBC downplaying it quite significantly. We shall see!
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1 hour ago, Severe Siberian icy blast said:
Ok, I have to reply to this because it's misleading the entire thread, iv studied radars and the weather all my life, the low pressure that formed along the south side of the main low is pushing east, so whilst at the min it looks like it's fizzling on the western edge it's tempory, the front is beginning to pivot and will push northwest, with lots of moisture been dragged into the front ahead of it I expect it to pep up in the evening,
Never take radar as gospel, it's a developing situation, don't give up hope
Good work, SSIB! Unlikely to come this far north but it's not over yet.
52 minutes ago, andy_leics22 said:2 inches is only about 5cm though mate, certainly possible tonight. I reckon Leicester will see prolonged light snowfall through tonight. Won't look impressive but it'll add up by the morning. The PPN looks to stall and slowly die away over Central areas overnight.
Nice to see you still around Andy. Looks like your namesake Andy King is heading north on the M1 to us tonight!
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Not too bad here in West Notts, about 2-4 cms so far. Scope for this to continue for some time yet!
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Looking better for the West than East, definitely. Might just catch a reasonable amount on the western side of the East Midlands.
Seems to have shifted a bit further south too.
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These are definitely the most promising charts we have seen at this time of year since 2010 - could we be set for a sensational start to winter 17/18?
GFS06z op showing the block slightly further north, leading to a trough undercutting from the east.
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15 minutes ago, bluearmy said:
But he is just plain wrong - most of nw Europe is v cold relative to the norm at day 10. What 'relative warmth'
no one with a bsc in metoerology would tweet a day 10 op chart and analyse anyway so we are clear he isn't a pro!
To be honest I suspect he was comparing the chart to what it could've been i.e. a displaced high further north and west leading to an easterly. And I also would question weather it's really showing "very cold" temperatures for the UK dragging up a S/SW'rly..! Perhaps during night at a push. To me "very cold" would suggest about 10c below average.
But I do agree with general consensus that he really should've noticed it was amongst the warmest ensembles.
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24 minutes ago, Singularity said:
Well, that's poor analysis at its most stark.
'block sets up' - it's the same feature we have now
'bathing in relative warmth' - the flow is gentle and over a UK that's been in the chiller for some time; any 'relative warmth' likely riding up over surface cold
'gloomy foggy days' - plenty of sign of drier continental air imports to keep bringing the sunshine back (though yes, not certain). In fact GFS is keen to retain a lot of sunshine this whole week... and even then it's still chilly or on the cold side.
Sorry mods, couldn't resist taking this down but... it is model analysis
You may be correct about the sunshine point, but I really don't see his analysis as unreasonable looking solely at that image. And certainly not trolling..! And btw that's not me either before someone suggests it
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Considerable settled snow now here in West Notts, up to a few cms. Surprised but happy! At least see snow once this season
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You try not to get OCD on Weather sites at the first hint of snow? Well, you've got no chance in overcoming that problem fizzychops
I've been coming onto Netweather for the past 11 Winters now, I thought that maybe I'd stop doing it at some point but I doubt I ever will
As soon as the models start to show colder Weather, I can't stop myself from coming on here. It's like a drug I might spend more time in this thread this Winter. Last Winter I flirted between this thread and the South West/South Central thread but barring the odd few from Oxfordshire, most of the posters in there are from the South West or the far South. I'm nearer to the Midlands really!
Once you've been here once, you always come back for more
Might get a quick flurry on Sat morning (I wouldn't worry about Sat night) but then I think it could be a while before another chance of snow. Probably into 2016 when there's a decent chance of a SSW
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EURO4 continues to show very litte ppn for our region
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They were ramping the snow for the E Midlands on the BBC this morning but I'm not very optimistic - hopefully get a sugar coating though
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Euro4 has been unreliable lately. Unless the NMM shows it happening, I don't buy it.
It wasn't as good this week, but the week before it got it spot on when METO and everyone else were ramping things up. Downgraded just before the event and proved to be correct
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EURO4 offers hope for a sprinkling for the east midlands tonight
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EURO4 showing more ppn than usual for the Midlands in northerly this weekend, shame it's apparently going to be mostly rain
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MET OFFICE Chief Forecaster's assessment, A small area of low pressure is expected to move southeastwards and bring a more persistent spell of rain, sleet and snow to parts of western Scotland, Northern Ireland, Wales and the Midlands. This likely to lead to further accumulations of snow, especially on high ground, whilst also increasing the risk of ice.
The track of this system is a little uncertain at present and this warning may be adjusted as and when necessary.
Interesting radar watching tonight
Rain in a Polar Low? No chance Mr Met man, tbh
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Looks like a respite for a while as not much more fuel in the fire for Derby/Nottingham, prospects look decent for later though
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Heavy snow in Nottingham and settling
I will take a sugar coating, that's more than expected
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Can't see anything significant happening now for the Nottingham area, looking at the charts the next realistic chance of anything wintry would be next Monday
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The wind is more westerly at the moment.
Definitely not north west.
Yes, sorry I means to say WNW not NNW. But actually now it is changing to a westerly as you say
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Is that good or bad strider?
That depends on your location of course, probably not good news for the SW of our region though.
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Looks like the PPN taking more of a NNW track now?
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Now? Only a couple did and they were mostly over the peaks. It's never been a big trend, ever.
I haven't been frame watching every run, just thought it's right to mention that so people don't get their hopes up. Hope it's wrong though
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NMM 12z also going to break a few hearts with a more northerly track of the ppn now expected.
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Euro4 showing accumulation now non-existant for the Midlands
As soon as the models start to show colder Weather, I can't stop myself from coming on here. It's like a drug 
Midlands Regional Discussion Feb 2021 Onward
in Regional
Posted
Bit of a damp squib so far, nowhere near 2 weeks ago. Also seems to be melting despite freezing midday temps.