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Strider

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    The Midlands Regional Discussion - Part 2

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Yup went to bed thinking surely cant go tits up this time at roughly +24, woke up looked at the 0z in horror as it had shifted further south by about 100miles lol

    I don't know if we're talking about the same event here, but in late Dec 2010 the ppn came as rain! And I seem to recall the warning signs were there at least a day before that happening (Dew points too high etc).

    I hope history does not repeat itself, but certainly the build up to this event is much cooler than at that time.

    Model Discussion Thread - January 13th

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Paul
    Thanks for the compliment, but not really fair to have a go at the team - all of whom do their best to help the discussions.

    There's nothing wrong with ambiguous, as when it comes to the model's there is not definitive answer right now (or indeed 90% of the time when you're talking 7-10 days +). Contradictory is also reasonable - it's a discussion, people will have different opinions.

    Biased is not reasonable but it exists in many walks of life and the majority of open discussions, but if you're able to spot bias then you're equally able to filter it, and I'd recommend anyone who thinks a post is biased in one way or the other does just that.

    As much as I'm all for this being an informative thread, this notion that it should be a one stop shop for readers to find the definitive view of the weather for the next 3 weeks isn't either possible, or the aim. It's a discussion thread, an active, lively, hopefully informative, and sometimes moderately insane one, but it is a discussion - nothing more, nothing less.

    To my mind ALL models bring a chance of a cold snap in around a week's time which is an improvement on the last 3 weeks at least. For those looking for embedded cold lasting longer, you will be disappointed 90% of the time. The prevailing weather conditions rarely support such a system.

    Midlands Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Good evening and welcome once again folks!

    Last winter had an incredible start in December for the north east mids, the west mids profited mid-month before the disappointment of Jan and Feb.

    I expect a generally slow start to winter tbh, although there is a chance of a stray shower tonight and in a few days

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