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Strider

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  1. Strider
    I don't know if we're talking about the same event here, but in late Dec 2010 the ppn came as rain! And I seem to recall the warning signs were there at least a day before that happening (Dew points too high etc). I hope history does not repeat itself, but certainly the build up to this event is much cooler than at that time.
  2. Strider
    Are you talking about the end of Dec 2010? NAE was pretty good for ppn position but GFS was better at ppn type
  3. Strider
    The thickness levels look worrying for the west midlands. 530DAM
  4. Strider
    At least for Brum and surrounding areas the extra height should help a bit. But I think rain eventually is inevitable.
  5. Strider
    Looks like it's stalled over Wales/Irish sea atm. It's turning to snow on the eastern edge.
  6. Strider
    To my mind ALL models bring a chance of a cold snap in around a week's time which is an improvement on the last 3 weeks at least. For those looking for embedded cold lasting longer, you will be disappointed 90% of the time. The prevailing weather conditions rarely support such a system.
  7. Strider
    Off the charts http://wekuw.met.fu-berlin.de/~Aktuell/strat-www/wdiag/figs/ecmwf1/temps.gif
  8. Strider
    Anyway... GFS is showing strong run-to-run consistency (and general consistency throughout its runs), with a mainly westerly flow and HP anchored to our South. 3rd of Jan looks potentially pretty stormy with agreement between UKMO and GFS
  9. Strider
    WeatherPro radar showing snow turning to sleet now...
  10. Strider
    I've noticed every time Ian Brown posts in this thread that's going to be 6c and heavy rain, it ends up snowing in Stoke/north Staffs regardless of where it was forecast!!
  11. Strider
    Meteogroup radar showing snow thru Cheshire gap predicted to turn to sleet any minute
  12. Strider
    RainToday animation isn't working for me
  13. Strider
    It was never meant to snow yet... it's just not cold enough. Patience...
  14. Strider
    The BBC are in a bit of pickle with this because it's clearly taking a different track than predicted...
  15. Strider
    Hopefully Brum's relative high height should see them through... fingers crossed
  16. Strider
    Even NAE 18z seems behind schedule though...
  17. Strider
    Great post - clearly ahead of schedule or further north...
  18. Strider
    What are the chances for central Brum? I think we are far enough south and west?
  19. Strider
    One thing's for sure, beyond this weekend the situation is really beginning to look desperate for the rest of Dec...
  20. Strider
    I think we are definately headed for a period of milder weather from early next week onwards but it's far too early to say how long it's going to last. The teleconnections were no better at the beginning of Dec, in fact they were probably worse, yet it hasn't really been mild at all.
  21. Strider
    Good evening and welcome once again folks! Last winter had an incredible start in December for the north east mids, the west mids profited mid-month before the disappointment of Jan and Feb. I expect a generally slow start to winter tbh, although there is a chance of a stray shower tonight and in a few days
  22. Strider
    Have you checked the uppers on that one?
  23. Strider
    The two times I can remember a polar low occuring (one being very early last winter/late autumn - NOT 30th Nov) neither were picked up by the models before hand. You have to watch sat24.com and keep an eye on it at the time
  24. Strider
    Yes, and also for a time early in the month as well. People shouldn't take the NAO and AO forecasts as gospel, they have their own FI just like the other charts
  25. Strider
    GFS showing awful consistency atm. The 6z is a cooler scenario with larger heights over Greenland and a slider low bringing in an easterly towards the end, before reverting to type...
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