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Icebox

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    Model Moans, Ramps and Banter

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

    I will of course continue to look at the models but for someone like me who enjoys warm weather in summer and cold and snow in winter my interest is beginning to drain away - for those who proclaim the unpredictabilty of the British climate i would suggest the complete opposite is now the norm.Generally speaking Greenland is home to low pressure in winter and high pressure in summer, for someone like me with my outlined preference thats a disasterous combo..

    Totally agree NWS every time we get an Easterly in summer I'm always thinking why now, and you can almost guarantee that the Azores or Euro highs disappears from our shores once winter ends... so frustrating. :wallbash:

    South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 03/12/13

    in Regional

    Posted

    Boat teams deployed

    Jaywick & Maldon05/12/2013 @ 23:30Incident Number: 000000000

    Ten boat teams have been deployed in Jaywick, alongside Gloucestershire and Hereford and Worcester fire crews, ECFRS' own Urban Search and Rescue teams and Police support. They are in position in readiness for storm water breaching sea defences.

    Ten appliances are in Maldon to assist Police and military in evacuating homes there after severe flood warnings were declared in that part of the County earlier this evening. And in Manningtree, fire crews are working alongside Police and Ambulance teams evacuating residents.

    At 23:56 hrs, crews in Jaywick report that the sea wall has been breached in Hillman Avenue. And in Mill Street by 00:09 hrs water was also coming over the defences.

    Severe Storm System & Arctic Blast Thursday 5th Onwards

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted · Edited by Icebox

    It also strikes me as being a massive waste of licence payers' money as the BBC have clearly already despatched reporters all along the East Coast and now will be virtually standing them down in some instances. I've complained too - not that it will get me anywhere - but why they had to drop the live feed on their main website beggars belief. 

    You still have live updates on the news website though....

     

    Have copied this from Essex County F&R,

    New potential flood areas announced

    Essex05/12/2013 @ 22:24Incident Number: 061213

    Several new severe flood warnings have been declared this evening. They are:

    Manningtree Town (233 premises); Hamford Water/Walton back water, South Dovercourt (190 premises);

    Blackwater North (Heybridge Basin and Maldon) (2,106 premises); Maldon to Maylandsea (168 premises); Tidal River Crouch from Creeksea to Battlesbridge (1,458 properties); Paglesham, Rochford, Potton Island and the Wakerings (1,111 properties) and Tidal Stour Estuary (14 properties).

    • Like 2

    London & South East Regional Discussion 20/01/13 18z -------->

    in Regional

    Posted

    I've been pondering this also. I think the last time was January 2003. I lived in north-west London at the time and I seem to remember very heavy snow on about the 30th, leaving about 10cms. A couple of days later a front came down from the north, but it was a very weak affair and gave a dusting at the most. What I vividly remember is the BBC getting the forecast utterly wrong. For the very heavy snow on the 30th they forecast light snow showers, and then they ramped up the front a few days later, only for it to be a damp squib.

    I spent forty years in London and it is rare..... You may well be right with 2003 but I cannot recall it that well.

    London & South East Regional Discussion - January 19th 2013>

    in Regional

    Posted

    Hi all,

    Just a quickie from work, those of you in the snow depth challenge cup, could you please post your depths in cms at around 6 p.m please. Doesnt have to be 6 on the dot, as I'm not in from work until about 6.45 but it will be interesting to see how the match-ups stand, at roughly the half-way point. If you can measure on concrete, all the better but don't worry too much, its just a bit of fun!

    Any match-ups between E and W members look delicately poised, yesterday gave the west of our region a fair crack of the whip,yesterday evening the situation improved for some parts of Essex and Kent. Tomorrow again looks to favour the east but will it become marginal in the east? Have got an idea if snow depths are level at the end of the competition at 09.00 Monday, which I'll put to you this evening.

    Will post half/time scores later.

    Cheers,

    Tom.

    Its not looking good for me in the snow depth cup....... I measured one of the few patches remaining and have a huge 2mm! If I'm leading shunter at halftime, my gob will be well and truly smacked.

    London & South East Regional Discussion 16/01/13 18z------>

    in Regional

    Posted

    Chances of GFS 12z correcting the Precip further West with the Block Holding out ?? Who Knows atm not even the Meto

    Place your bets and I will collate them all and see who were the winners and losers

    Precip Back West (Downgrade) = 4/6

    Precip Further East or stays the Same = 5/4

    Come on then show us what you feel, could be fun at 430pm

    Going with Precip back further West for me at 4/6 Fav

    4/6 Backing west for me paul........ good.gif

    London & South East Regional Discussion - January 14th 2013 12z Onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    Its called reality, rather than hoping something will happen and saying it will i choose to actually put facts together and come up with a factual answer

    Its not hard

    Just likeyday when some were saying 'expect upgrades yay' and getting hopes up of those on the forum i asked for some reality and to actually look at what was happening and would you know it, look what happened, nothing....

    Now where's that ignore button again? lazy.gif

    London & South East Regional Discussion

    in Regional

    Posted · Edited by Icebox

    Good night John & here are my current thoughts re Monday pm :

    1. Westward correction as proven time after time in the past.

    2. First batch of snowfall that hits and settles aids temperatures and decreases the margin for things to go wrong.

    3. Possible slowing of second front timing is quite crucial i.e the more delayed the better into nightfall.

    I think that could well be the MO take on things......... But it is the same problem we have had for a week now, more runs needed before we know which way it will go.

    I think that could well be the MO take on things......... But it is the same problem we have had for a week now, more runs needed before we know which way it will go.

    Two edits on that last post, must be getting tired. Goodnight all. drinks.gif

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