Joe Bloggs
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Little snow shower coming through the city centre now
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Tease.
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Maybe tonight will deliver the goods!
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I didn’t analyse it clearly enough then as when the flow veered westerly I thought south Manchester/north Cheshire would be the sweet spot as it usually is in a WNW’ly. Good event for Cheshire, glad this one delivered for you guys.
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Good event for Cheshire. I thought it would be a better event for Manchester, I guess there is more time for showers but the clock is ticking!
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Radar looks as expected to me
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Wasn’t meant to get going properly for a little while. You could be right but let’s judge later
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Stockport/South Manchester often seems to do well in these situations.
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Shades of 30 Jan 2019 perhaps. Looking good for later. The latest dew points forecast by GFS look fine, the MetO raw data shows temps up to 2C in Manchester after midnight though. I don’t think lack of precipitation will be a problem , the only potential spoiler is rain/sleet at low levels .
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Morning mate was just confused as the radar just showed a heavy shower hitting the Wirral head on!
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Is the radar telling fibs??
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The Wirral is about to cop it. More upstream too.
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Congrats, that’s a lovely beefy blob moving up the Mersey estuary.
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Looks to me like Merseyside/G Manchester/North Cheshire will get snow from tomorrow evening through the early hours, (rain on the coast perhaps) the risk transferring further south as the night goes on with south Cheshire best placed towards dawn onwards as the flow veers more NW’ly
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Lots of MetO snow symbols for tomorrow night now
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Tomorrow night looking pretty good for inland areas, just look at that vector. Should be plenty of snow showers I would have thought, I reckon south Manchester looks well placed? Peak District? Doesn’t look *too* marginal
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GFS isn’t quite as good, 06z MetO still shows Greater Manchester looking primed for showers
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Oh absolutely. Once you’re 100m+ up in the eastern parts of Greater Manchester you’re in a different world to Trafford, City centre etc. At some point I’d love to see a proper frontal snow event that gives us an amazing deep sustained snowfall but they are so so rare here.
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Sounds incredible. Yeah the Irish Sea can deliver some epic snow, just need the right conditions. I’m not around on Tuesday night sadly, so whatever we get I’ll miss. My one concern is some of the high-res models are showing it not quite cold enough. This is why I’d love to find some wet bulb data, I always look for a freezing level below 300m . I see UKV has backed off on any lying snow too.
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You had 12 inches in December 2010? I had no idea the coast had that much!
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Correct, one of the best snow falls the NW has ever had, especially Merseyside, west Cheshire, the Fylde coast and South Cumbria. The Jan 96 easterly that Kev mentioned was convective showers from the east - often they can deliver for eastern parts of the region but not always.
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I didn’t know Manchester had so much snow in December 1962! There was a front moving down from the north in Jan 2010 but as Kevin said it was Irish Sea showers that formed the bulk of the snow in the early hours . A slack very cold westerly.
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Does anyone know of any model where I can source the wet bulb freezing level? @Kasim Awan ?? It’s arguably the best parameter to check when determining snowfall probability.
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Same! It’s so rare to get significant, ridiculous snowfalls in Greater Manchester (away from the hills), simply because we tend to struggle in an easterly. We do get a fair few light to moderate ones though. The nearest I’ve seen to snowmageddon is January 2010. I doubt I’ll ever see any deeper snow than that here for the rest of my days.
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*inevitability . Urgh horrible typo
