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Joe Bloggs

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  1. Joe Bloggs
    Hello mate. I know you’ve seen it already but EURO4’s best guess is as good as mine. Streamer developing approx 3am, in a line roughly Liverpool to Manchester, slowly sinking south to reach Cheshire by 9am. Good luck everyone - happy radar/lamppost watching
  2. Joe Bloggs
    Not really., action not expected until 3am or so.
  3. Joe Bloggs
    It's all about the showers tonight/tomorrow morning. If they fail to materialise, then it's toys out of the pram time. Today delivered (or didn't) exactly as expected - I know this as I've been glued to the charts. The real opportunity is tonight/tomorrow morning - if no snow comes then we can all rightly have a proper moan.
  4. Joe Bloggs
    Will be a night for keeping an eye on the radar. EURO4 due shortly which will be out last real model hint before the actual event. After that, it's up to the Gods. With a pressure profile like this, somewhere is bound to get lucky.
  5. Joe Bloggs
    Most model output suggests shower activity starting properly at 3am or so.
  6. Joe Bloggs
    Back to snow in Manc City Centre, Appears colder.
  7. Joe Bloggs
    aww. Could all end up being wrong with just a few fleeting showers near the Wirral! Does look promising for now.
  8. Joe Bloggs
    Hello mate.. I'd suggest this is the best guess at the moment:- https://expert-images.images-weatheronline.com/daten/proficharts/web/en/euro4/2019/01/29/basis06/ukuk/prec/19013009_2906.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSPARAUK06_27_43.png Note the GFS op has (rather than the para) has consistently had the risk further SW.
  9. Joe Bloggs
    Need to be very cautious.. but yes. They don’t kick in until 3am, peaking at 6am and continuing until mid morning potentially. The trajectory looks relatively narrow so some places could do very well, others less so. See the image... This is a real test for this model - I will be extremely impressed if we wake up to snow tomorrow morning.
  10. Joe Bloggs
    06z EURO4 is a belter
  11. Joe Bloggs
    ha we always get a bit emotional/paranoid/stressed in situations like this.
  12. Joe Bloggs
    Same here. Literally the past 5 mins. This is city centre too.
  13. Joe Bloggs
    Just turned to snow - Manchester City Centre. Will probably revert back to sleet/rain if the precipitation loses its intensity, it's that sort of day. I'm not sure why anyone's surprised by rain/sleet today - this was always going to be the case for most, the colder air isn't due until later. Fingers crossed for Irish Sea showers when it's properly cold - these still look likely for some.
  14. Joe Bloggs
    GFS para - again, tomorrow morning one to watch. Everything crossed they have the convective zone spot on..
  15. Joe Bloggs
    Morning all 00z EURO4 - if you look carefully there is a very unfortunate little slice in the Manchester area. NWS’s favourite word - altitude! Still looking good for a streamer though
  16. Joe Bloggs
    The model is clearly picking up on the possibility of a streamer heading towards G Man and the Peak District.. https://expert-images.images-weatheronline.com/daten/proficharts/web/en/euro4/2019/01/28/basis18/ukuk/prty/19013006_2818.gif
  17. Joe Bloggs
    18z Euro4 .. snow cover 9am Wednesday, similar to the 12z
  18. Joe Bloggs
    Manchester has these weird differences. Don’t worry you didn’t miss much!
  19. Joe Bloggs
    18z GFS. Again there are differences between the op and the parallel run with the latter more bullish for snow with a keener westerly wind. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSPARAUK18_39_25.png http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK18_39_25.png Odd.
  20. Joe Bloggs
    Has been snowing here, despite my earlier report of freezing rain.
  21. Joe Bloggs
    No! No! No! We want a westerly! I’m hoping the para will correct the op. Frankly we should know the wind direction by now, it’s madness that we don’t!
  22. Joe Bloggs
    18z GFS op is less westerly, again! Will the para disagree? http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU18_30_1.png
  23. Joe Bloggs
    As I suddenly have a barrage of heavy snow symbols
  24. Joe Bloggs
    Sorry guys - the UKV is the MetO high res model - we cant see it but it powers the MetO app
  25. Joe Bloggs
    UKV has just updated to show heavy snow now all tomorrow tonight and into Wednesday morning.
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