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ZONE 51

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Everything posted by ZONE 51

  1. Bracklesham bay is beautiful, I would recommend that place, incredible sunsets. .. and of course watching storms move along the channel.. and wonder if there move in..
  2. At the time of post I was thinking from IOW eastwards for imported thunderstorms and further west thundery showers early next week.., it needs to be there this weekend it's the plume of moist air knocking into the dry air we have now, a waiting game for sure but also frustrating. Would like to watch some night lightning flashing away up there CC(cloud to cloud)can be stunning this usually called ribbon lightning. Is streak lightning cloud to cloud or does it hit the ground is it thinner version of forked?? would be amazing to watch some forked lightning too. (Note the above part of my post was talking about this weekends possible thunder events and not what we have had last night and this morning) Looked out the window(next to Heathrow ap)and there is wet ground, thought I heard a downpour a few hours ago! also last night I thought I heard thunder although could have been the planes, but one was very deep and it alerted me to that fact because there not usually as deep sounding here at that hour, so I thought maybe it was thunder! I hadn't read any weather related stuff last night so didn't know anything was coming! (did I miss something Thursday morning in the forecast when I made my previous post didn't read anything about this convection, although was mentioned a few days before) Anyway out there right now some fantastic convection cloud well edged like anvil type and bubbles!
  3. I think South UK could get night thunderstorms this weekend..
  4. The seas are cooler this year due to a cold winter/spring, how would this affect the thunderstorms? I can imagine that elevated thunderstorms in moist warm plumes float across the channel even if it's colder than normal, but I think some effect from the cold seas would make some difference. Also the Oct/Nov channel thunderstorm season would be affected, depending on land temperatures, so the cold seas really could make things different this Autumn. For those that don't know - (cold land /warm seas is what we usually have causing convection to develop over the sea during Autumn)
  5. Interesting developments possible... More later in the week on this. Enjoy the warm-very warm weather. not that it won't last just saying! http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/surface-pressure/#?tab=surfacePressureColour&fcTime=1370649600
  6. Here is the text forecast from MO http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/?tab=regionalForecast
  7. This is the stormiest I remember for this time of year, when wind pushes you back making it very difficult to move up the street in it then it's windy! not only that it it so rough across where i am(Staines-upon Thames)that buildings from inside are roaring, outside lampposts are humming! that's what 45-50mph gusts sound like,(some exposed gusts maybe more) blossom blowing of trees horizontal like pink snow.. Rain band heavy sweeping in, going to be more nasty when this hits and i have to wait for buses. I expect possibly increasing stronger gusts this evening. Also the gusts are very long. All very unusual for this time of year. Read on Met office site thundery rain moving up from continent(later next week and following week)! sounds exciting! warmer humid air masses clashing with cooler air mass creating thunderstorms, maybe were get some night lightning!
  8. Hi all, amazing weather, very warm hope it's a sign of a good summer! I expect a prolonged (heat) high pressure to develop(June) after a period of lows with rains and cool days.. Some rumbly(will it thunder cloud) lookin cloud moving up from the SW.. that's for tonight/next morning http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/satpics/latest_uk_ir.html Posting as a reminder of the potential stormy weather for Southern UK Thursday http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&regionName=se Note this is a completely different story then it occurring during winter, the new leaf on trees and large amounts of heavy but nice blossom is added worry. I expect but hope not that tree damage is likely in anything 35mph+ .. 50mph gusts occuring widely. NAE-surface pressure and 10m wind Thurs 1200hrs - 8-9 Bft scale = gale to severe gales. ------------- http://www.smashingmagazine.com/2009/07/09/the-roadmap-to-becoming-a-professional-freelance-web-designer/ Link for anyone wanting professional infomation on freelance web designing. ESS
  9. This is what i'm on about, were not talking about global. The affect of the possible little ice age is not affecting the whole World in any significant way. But it potentially is changing seasonal weather patterns and temperatures for some.
  10. It's already started, north UK doesn't get summers anymore.. Is it not noticeable the slow progress of change in seasonal temperature variation, not only are weather patterns shifting south, our seasons are moving along to different months.
  11. I've shortened the post. I think cloud cover plays a significant roll in the solar effects, i had read that reflecting sunlight from cloud upwards and reflecting sunlight from snow cover effects the NAO(north Atlantic oscillation) affecting blocking which in turn alters the Jet stream, which in recent years has shifted south, making it colder here. The little ice age had such a significant plunge in temperatures that even summer stayed at or below 10C(50f) throughout! UK. I do have concern that this could be happening. but we would have still a hot feeling sunshine even if the upper temps are cold for summer and the surface temps are cold.
  12. Look's great! bright and fresh layout, nice font to. I did like the layout before too,but this is a nice change. actually prefer this one now though!
  13. I am interested in the answer to this, but this is likely to take many more years to confirm but we are starting to see a pattern. I don't think we are about to enter a mini ige age (or maybe a zoned ice age as i call) but already have entered one. Something that i have especially taken note of although couldn't miss it is the fact the lack of imported thunderstorm activity/heat plumes into the UK, especially noticeable from SE areas up into northern England - where they would move up to from the SE every spring and summer, another fact that is quite remarkable is snow falling across areas that does not usually get snowfalls often but more milder zonal winters (noticeably southeast England..)the last 3-4 winters at least. Is there a connection with lack of imported thundery activity and plumes of hot moist air associated with them and increase in cold and snow in winter/spring? i think there is. once again particularly noticeable in S-UK. if this can be figured out, this connection if there is one, then the answer may be found to the cause. My theory is solar activity and the jet stream also arctic ice conditions, how all these interact with each other and there affects on the atmosphere and weather patterns is so far unknown, very complex stuff. What i do think is there has and is a south movement of our weather pattern keeping those plumes and T-storms across the continent(mostly) and increasing in colder air masses. What do i mean by a zoned ice age? this cooling significantly affecting northern Europe including west and eastern Europe the UK and Ireland, this means I do not think that all the world is cooling, but maybe on hold from warming, ..for now. ESS.
  14. MOSTLY light snow, some moderate-hvy pulses early today mostly (after reports of hvy stuff)-Light snow showers continuing for maybe the next 12hours, more likely away from the far south. After that staying very cold with a risk of snow showers(light at this stage)from the north sea. Later next week weather systems try to get in once again from the Atlantic, the below chart is the upper temps 850s hpa, the snow at this stage is north of London, but there is a chance track of this is more south. Chart is for Friday midnight. I expect the low track and fronts to be a bit more south on the models through next week, bringing the snow risk into northern SouthEast zones
  15. Snow now settling at Stanwell, on cars a dusting now and settling on grass and roofs.. moderate snow falling.
  16. Snowing moderate to heavy at Stanwell, i'm southside of Heathrow AP, visibility very low.
  17. A look ahead at Sunday's snow risk and is it going to snow on the south coast.. Here is upper temps 850s Image 1 - 1200hrs This shows the upper temps not quite cold enough for snow along the South coast and SW Hampshire. But take a look at image 2 0000hrs(midnight tonight)The colder temps get to the South coast, but it depends on what precipitation there is around when the cold enough temperatures arrive on near and on the SCoast. -- Next is the dew points for 0600hrs Sunday Just radar watching for snow by this time across all areas. but will there be any around? taking alook at the ppn charts for Sunday This is an easterly flow very cold and severe wind chill, 0600hrs Sunday - indications are light snow across the SE/EA. next is NAE ppn snow/rain chart for 0000-0600hrs Sunday This shows snow across most of EA/SE. 0600-1200hrs Sunday(above)snow spreads across most areas of SE/EA heaviest to the north of London. 1200hrs-1800hrs-snow spreading across through Sunday into Central South, this chart indicates mostly light snow. For the South coast the very cold air/upper temps get there this weekend but it's the amounts of ppn that is what to watch for there by time it can snow. some say"it can pour down with rain but it hardly snows" "by time it turns to snow it fizzles out" this is because drier more stable air from higher pressure moves in, through next week high pressure would stop most snow from developing and become dry for a while but snow risk increases again later, we could find another battle from the Atlantic taking hold, the block in the north of the UK not shifting just yet. Data - GFS/NAE 00Z ESS
  18. I suffer with that frequently, can't lay down it burns so much have to take tablets for it, if you can drink milk have a little bit it might help, sit up in bed until it goes. Anyone that has rain i am expecting the rain to turn to snow through this morning and afternoon unless your near the south coast or southwest Hampshire, as not quite cold enough until later today.
  19. What's the weather there? i'm just on the south side of Heathrow airport, lamppost watching on/off, snow flakes have been spotted! snow is likely at Heathrow through today.
  20. Other day i said i won't be doing snow maps! had to go back on that(for now) as i find it easier to draw and show an image, but will also later if i have time say the areas to be affected, just seeing how things go and then later il let you know if i can!
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