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ZONE 51

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  1. ZONE 51
    Seeing jet black small clouds against an orange cloudy sky at the moment this usually indicates an activated sky.... or do i just have an over active imagination! Had some mostly light snow shws around Friday on and off this around the Esher area Surrey. At the moment some very light snow at times, windy and freezing.
  2. ZONE 51
    Found this link, lots of information on weather and how it works, quote below is some from the site, link is just below. http://www.pilotfrie...eteo/fronts.htm
  3. ZONE 51
    John, keeping check on Sunday looking interesting! see the upper warm front on the FAX from the east, find this interesting.If anyone wants to know what that is read this: or anything else about fronts/weather see link belowhttp://www.pilotfrie...eteo/fronts.htm
  4. ZONE 51
    I have made a snow risk map up, although not as much is on radar as i expected at the moment, the map is for all of Saturday and i am expecting snow showers around throughout. The amounts estimated using the models are local isolated amounts, it's difficult to say where would get what but can be estimated to a reasonable level. 1mm shown on a precipitation/rain chart = approx 1cm snow - depending on air temps/dew points to what size flakes fall can make a difference to what amounts settle. Most places seeing light snow showers not amounting to anything, scattered amounts of a dusting/sprinkle, with some places in Kent for example seeing most snow. ESS
  5. ZONE 51
    Could do! then sucked up the Thames towards London. I expect this situation to continue with light snow around through Friday, maybe some heavier patches, then late Friday(today)and into early Saturday thats when things intensify and areas of Kent especially at risk of heavy snowfall. Snow becoming more widespread into the weekend!
  6. ZONE 51
    Local Isolated/scattered accumulations overnight and morning 1cm possible, light dusting or sprinkle more likely though. Later Friday more snow showers in places+wkend Saturday night a possible snow trough sweeping down could bring a widespread snow band.
  7. ZONE 51
    Latest radar a screen grab from MetO I've arrowed the direction of movement, my above post il repeat here to go with the radar image Latest radar images, light snow showers moving west up the Thames towards London. light snow moving through west Sussex and light snow showers over east Kent moving inland from coast also running along South coast.Radar 1am.
  8. ZONE 51
    Latest radar images, light snow showers moving west up the Thames towards London. light snow moving through west Sussex and light snow showers over east Kent moving inland from coast also running along South coast.
  9. ZONE 51
    Not often does it snow on the south coast!
  10. ZONE 51
    3 more and it's a streamer
  11. ZONE 51
    What's next the ..Ice cube scandal.. "fresh snow found in ice cubes" Ok just been reading some earlier posts, off to read some more to catch up! edit..actually going to read the latest ones first can't wait!
  12. ZONE 51
    I say it's best to wait until later this evening/tonight and watch radar/sat/reports before deciding if it's on or not(tonights snow). With summer convection some times sharp showers are forecast and they either do or don't develop or just light showers, or the convection takes off and something bigger develops. In winter in this situation it's usually the night time hours when things get going, this is to do with surface/air cooling+sea temperatures/sea air temps..
  13. ZONE 51
    I might need to adjust box 3 on my map i done last night a little further west.(looking at the ppn models/winds)I did mention the Thames snow streamer. NAE now indicating this, see image below, late tonight, the arrows i have added indicate the direction of the snow showers, and Friday looking interesting early hours and through the day!
  14. ZONE 51
    image editing by ESS
  15. ZONE 51
    Looking through the models/fax charts with rather increasing excitement! The cold is now setting in from the east, everything snow from now on. I have map a small snow warning map for our area (approx), the map is correct on where the snow is expected to be and the risk level but i have upgraded in advance to the areas i expect the heavier snow to develop, this is based on my experience of these situations, so although at this stage a light covering is possible across Kent/Essex/parts of London/Surrey(east most likely/Sussex(east most likely)there is the risk that larger falls of snow do develop, this is most likely Thursday night and Friday. These snow showers moving in from the North sea. Some areas are in for a lot of persistent snow showers or streamers. What about a Thames Streamer? depending on the angle of the wind fields and how much convection gets going over the Estuary, ENE/E flow would bring these snow shws toward the west of the area, the Kent streamer most likely though. The weekend i will let you know my thoughts nearer the time, all i can say now is 3 main snow events between now and Monday are possible. Map below: (very low file size map.) ESS
  16. ZONE 51
    It was frosty then the thick fog moved in, very cold and calm, cold front moving in from the east towards morning could get some sleety/snow pulses around higher ground maybe lower although not much to be concerned about! Increasing risk of snow through late week wkend, upgrades coming each day it seems although slowly and gently! other day was only light flurries expected, now it's light snow in the forecast, i think we could be looking at a situation where things crop up on the day, once we get the feed of potent cold air from the east as a stronger flow then moisture picked up and the sea surface/land temp differences would see building clouds although flat at first with lighter snow showers increasing into weekend to higher cloud allowing more space for growth of the cloud, so more convection more snow that is heavier. I expect a snow streamer to set up changing areas over the days, i won't say what day but Thursday i start with at this stage, we will just have to see what happens! Thames estuary convection likely to happen then the flow blowing these showers into Kent/Sussex and up towards London/Surrey even Hampshire by weekend. EA included in the snow risk. I will post my thoughts as we go through the days in this interesting and very cold developing situation! ESS
  17. ZONE 51
    I might start some whispers later on our snow potential! ======== ======== == =========
  18. ZONE 51
    Is that because it might make some say swear words?
  19. ZONE 51
    They might have found some of the meteor! http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-21494963 Another quote from above link: What are others thoughts on whether the two events are connected? My thoughts below on the risk.. Now depending on what way you look at this then it could be a greater concern that scientists say that the Urals meteor event was not/unlikely connected to the 2012 DA14 Asteroid. First thoughts were i imagined that DA14 pulled in the Chelyabinsk meteor, then the distance of the two seemed that this may not be possible, the gravitational field effect, magnetic fields.. What i now imagine is that the risk is greater for this to occur again with a higher probability then if it was related to the 2012 DA14 Asteroid.
  20. ZONE 51
    2004FU 162 Next Earth close approach Date 2013/03/17 Nominal distance 0.1239699 AU 18545633 km Risk Object is in risk list Object is not in priority list 18545633 km The next NEO due 3/17/13 (news said 2029??next NEO) The above is classed as a risk. http://neo.ssa.esa.int/web/guest/search-for-objects?sum=1&des=2004FU162 Recent Asteroid passed at 27,700km comparing 2012DA14 to - 2004FU 162 to pass as close as - 18545633 km then it's not much to worry about then!
  21. ZONE 51
    I don't think it was any weapon like a small atomic missile, or in fact any weapon from Earth... This is fascinating stuff to study, it's important some of the rock is found to know what material it's made of.
  22. ZONE 51
    I have done an animation of the GFS 18Z - SLP/ 500/1000hpa Thickness charts. (You might need to play it once to play smoothly next time round and is best viewed on computer) GFS 18Z RUN- FROM +21HRS TO+138HRS.TUESDAY19/2-SUNDAY24/2 Scandinavian high shifting quite a deep cold pool to UK. Freezing easterly flow developing in South UK snow showers East/South from Thursday. Large Atlantic trough/low northwest Atlantic stalled against block to east. High pressure Mid Atlantic. Tue-Sunday increasingly cold days-very cold some areas- East/South/North coldest Snow showers East-Southeast UK most at risk Freezing nights-all areas at risk-frost/fog. (Note-I will be deleting my animations a couple of weeks after upload to save space) ESS
  23. ZONE 51
    Any ideas of what this other object could be tracking across the path of the meteor? I have put together an image, it's a frame from a news video. Video below starts at 45seconds around where above image/frame was taken. http://youtu.be/36MEsWC1Pzc?t=45s Edit.. It looks as though the other object could be the wires, as the movie is being taken while driving it gives the impression it is moving as two angles of movement are in the video.
  24. ZONE 51
    Was thinking that to, although the distance lampposts are more pointed upwards. Need to analyse the film through the frames, maybe post some frames or something from it, my techniques i use have been used on my analysis of UFO films. As you say, superheated fireball ,so i won't expect to actually find any detail!
  25. ZONE 51
    GFS 18z +180hr (upper temps charts)indicating a cold pool firing into the Southern half of the UK early next wk, with a northeast/easterly flow. Thickness 850/1000hpa: Thickness 500/1000hpa:
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