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Everything posted by cobbett
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Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14
cobbett replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So latest metoffice forecast is a bit dire then for cold. Not even a mention of 'uncertainty'. Lets hope the 12z prompts an update but not holding out much hope for this winter -
Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14
cobbett replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not too surprised that Chris Fawkes is fairly bullish that this is just a cold blip (as he calls it) before there is a return to mild conditions but it was his statement on strat warming .. "I'm afraid it's wishful thinking there are no signs of sudden stratospheric warming between now and February" Odd, I thought the signs were certainly there, or is he technically correct and that any warming is later in Feb ? -
Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14
cobbett replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A minor cold would be just fine for me -
Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14
cobbett replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ironic that last week it was all about how about interesting the models were/ knife edge stuff/ Snow predictions by area being made / me looking at snow chains etc and we just end up with this depressing muck. Always likely to happen I suppose whenever an easterly is progged -
Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14
cobbett replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Cheer up you lot - 1947 winter didnt start till 22nd Jan ! -
Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14
cobbett replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sunspot activity too high this winter, so just feel it ain't going to be a good year for anything wintery in the UK or indeed Europe as a whole -
Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14
cobbett replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
J Maddens last twitter entry on 8th Jan Here comes the widespread snow and cold - as forecast before all standard meteorologists will be Interesting to see his next one ! He has some disgruntled followers - last reply to that was "You have been forecasting #uksnow for 40+ days. "F eck all so far " -
Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14
cobbett replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Think you could be right - a downgrade had to happen after I told the guys in the pub it'll be wintry down here next week...doh -
Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14
cobbett replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well I lost my bet then - thank god ! . -
Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14
cobbett replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Should start a sweepstake on when toys start flying around - i reckon the 12z later will begin a slow backtrack with the usual (happens every time) of "it's only one run" or "Hope ECM doesn't follow suit" or "it's only the GFS so ignore" blah blah. Hopefully won't happen but it almost invariably does unfortunately ! -
South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 07/01/14
cobbett replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Next Thursday thru to Sunday looks the timeframe for any snow according to the 06z, but as always taken with a massive pinch of salt but at least shows the potential !- 726 replies
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South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 07/01/14
cobbett replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
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South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 03/01/14
cobbett replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Interesting to see whether the rain tonight affects such a large swathe of the SE - looks to me like the southern coastal fringes/east kent could get a downpour or 2- 784 replies
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- london
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Heavy rain/ Thunder and Lightning here in Southampton - hurrah
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South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 03/01/14
cobbett replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
That is incredible - wonder if that is Portleven. They do have a decent reef break and probably the UK's best so the waves can get quite spectacular so god knows what it's like at the moment !- 784 replies
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- london
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South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 03/01/14
cobbett replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Suppose I must be a bit odd but I actually quite like this weather - never a dull moment when driving to work and makes up for the normal hum drum weather we normally get. A31 yet again closed due to flooding, but after a brief consulation with the biker who pulled up beside me decided to give it a go and lo and behold no problems at all and then following that an almighty downpour of biblical proportions approaching southampton - quite awesome !- 784 replies
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South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 03/01/14
cobbett replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
James Madden of Exacta Weather is always a prime source for the Express - complete nonsense of course https://twitter.com/JMadden_Weather- 784 replies
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South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 31/12/13
cobbett replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Thanks Coast - It was just that there was specific warning for rain (or so I thought). No matter as looking grim anyway for driving around tomorrow- 786 replies
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South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 31/12/13
cobbett replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Just never ends ! Thanks for the update SJ- 786 replies
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- london
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South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 31/12/13
cobbett replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Unless I imagined it , I thought there was a warning for rain for late tonight and early tomorrow for some southern counties. This seems to have disappeared so maybe rain not such a problem after all... thankfully- 786 replies
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- london
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Possible severe Atlantic storms over the Christmas period
cobbett replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Well I wasn't planning on going out to do any sea-fishing ! A 50-60 mph inland occasional gust is not something i will hyperventilate on - It could interfere with my golf though -
Possible severe Atlantic storms over the Christmas period
cobbett replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Sorry, but there is no warning for wind - Metoffice have a specific warning for extreme wind and it is notable for it's absence. I'm driving to the south coast tomorrow to work and a rain warning isn't going to put me off - actually probably not even a wind one either lol -
Possible severe Atlantic storms over the Christmas period
cobbett replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
There are no wind warnings for southern areas -
Possible severe Atlantic storms over the Christmas period
cobbett replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Couldn't agree more - there's not a even a severe warning for wind, just lost of rain..zzzz ! -
Possible severe Atlantic storms over the Christmas period
cobbett replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Well latest metoffice warnings are for rain, as I would expect