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cobbett

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Everything posted by cobbett

  1. Well its over 2 weeks away so FI lala land and the para is whilst not strictly an outlier, way below the mean
  2. There's just one problem with the para run this morning... it's not going to happen
  3. Good old metcheck - never lets u down. First snow nailed on for my neck of the woods on the 19th
  4. Apart from the op those ECM ensembles look decidedly meh - hopefully a trendsetter ? ...
  5. I think If I was to follow any weather person on Twitter Liam Dutton would be near the bottom - seems to tweet only about tabloid cold scare stories and not very insightful , towing the party line 5-7 day weather ahead musings which you could get from the beeb. Come on Liam go out on a limb - what do YOU think will happen towards end Jan
  6. Perhaps they'll have another more interesting one a few days before the cold arrives detailing where the biggest snowdrifts are likely lol
  7. and finally the threat of cold comes into the more reliable time frame
  8. Can safely say its now end Jan - like a stopped clock they may be right by the end of March
  9. Depends what this 'increased chance' actually means - from a 5% to a 10% chance or its odds on to deliver cold - I suspect the former
  10. Luckily i hadn’t bored people in the pub with tales of SSW etc and how we are going into the freezer from mid Jan - would have ended up looking like a right chump - not that that’s unusual
  11. ^^ all good unless you live in the UK
  12. and removed the 'milder' reference for the West !
  13. You’re not seeing a trend here ? It’ll be Feb
  14. So feb now Expecting the GEFs to start to have an upward trend now as as they are definitely not mild at the mo for mid Jan onwards
  15. Probably posted elsewhere - looking good tho https://mobile.twitter.com/Petagna/status/1080106524087910400
  16. I agree but just going by the wording it implies it’s the following week after the 15th. Anyway all a bit ridiculous discussing word by word dissection of a met update - it’ll change again shortly !
  17. Seeing as the forecast starts from the 15th they wouldn’t put ‘by the 3rd week’ unless they meant the following week
  18. Early Dec Mid Dec Late Dec Early Jan Mid Jan Late Jan Early Feb Mid Feb Late Feb Early March Plenty of time yet for winter to start !
  19. yep some flooding - not too unusual for this country though. Thought peeps on here were expecting severe thunderstorms
  20. oh come on - am amber warming was required today ? please read what it signifies and yes maybe warn of some localised flooding but leave it at that. No need for this apocalyptic nonsense
  21. Just one incident of a localised downpour (which are not uncommon at this time of year) still didn't warrant the over exaggerated forecasts - its a bust
  22. Beast mk3 - Easter Sunday ! followed by on 4th Apr Long way off but fascinating to see - what a remarkable end to winter this is proving to be
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