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cobbett

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Everything posted by cobbett

  1. Brave call ! I'll start to become a believer in the possibility of accurate seasonal forecasting if you pull this one off !
  2. Just read the last couple of pages and ihatecoldweather got a bit of a battering. Tbh though if I hadn't read any news or social media today then I'd tend to agree with ihcw as having been driving around the southern counties it hasn't really been particularly noteworthy - no trees down and little else to report. I've had worse days with a cm of snow on the road ! Anyway that's what I'll put in my diary
  3. I was never 'bashing' the metoffice - I was merely commenting on that its a non-event event here. Fair enough they have to be careful and err on the side of caution and I accept that. Not sure that quoting stats as you do backs up your argument though. 8241 for the SW equates to about 0.1of the SW population so not exactly eventful in my eyes but thats just IMHO
  4. The amber warnings should never have included some central southern counties - breezy and thats it. Can tell it's a non event here (southampton) as haven't heard one person in the office talking about it
  5. At last it looks like some 'interesting' weather for the south next week and about time too - never known a more boring winter than this one
  6. Agree with Ian f on the mod thread but as he says it's all about about a probalistic forecast which tbh is not exactly difficult for the UK.and so technically the Metoffice can claim success but until we have a below average winter and its forecast correctly then it's all rather pointless
  7. the point is that you will never get a winter forecast that mentions 'well above' or 'record breaking' - it's just not possible to predict that. The only flaw in my forecast was replace slightly above to well above but generally it would be correct. Anyway we have had a few occasional coldish spells but suppose that depends on your definition of cold
  8. Nothing like that ? Ok well reverse the above forecast and that's more accurate is it ? Laughable
  9. Have already done my UK winter forecast for 2016/17 to er until further notice Temperature will be generally average or slightly above though there will be occasional colder spells with some snow generally confined to northern hills and scotland Average to above average rainfall in the West/North West, drier in the South East repeat ad-infinitum...zz
  10. Yes agree with that Carl - the point being is that it's because snow is so rare (well it is here in the south) the hunt will be always be more geared towards those conditions. I think a lot of people just shrug there shoulders now at yet another gale which seem to occur on weekly basis these days zz
  11. METO further outlooks are as useful as a paper fireguard - not sure why they cause such irritation. Mind you was surprised that they initially did go for a non default westerly weather pattern - the guy who produced that has probably been reprimanded
  12. The METO warnings look completely out of sorts for today - Southern parts have a weather warning for rain tomorrow but nowt for today. The NW has warnings for persistent rain today and tomorrow yet radar looks like its pretty much cleared that area already for today at least
  13. The tweet was referring to snow disruption so to not expect a reaction is naive at best
  14. I think you posting that tweet indicated your preference so presume you were after a reaction ?!
  15. Methinks there is a gremlin in Metcheck - Non stop snow for my location starting week on saturday !! http://www.metcheck.com/UK/14days.asp?zipcode=GU10&locationID=59078&lat=51.2&lon=-0.8&findtype=
  16. IF the front stalls against the cold air as some forecasts for Monday have suggested, could be sweet spot for my location. Big If tho !
  17. Yeah that "period of snow" will probably be the highlight of this cold spell but unfortunately will be gone by the next day !
  18. So back to the default westerly weather pattern from mid next week. Although this has be taken with a large pinch of salt, the noteworthy trend is the cold spell is lasting longer than originally forecast by the METO
  19. After a week or so of hype and high expectation regarding the upcoming cold spell, it's going to turn out to be a rather dull and uneventful period for most of the country- Dry and frosty nights are probably welcome for most but doesnt do it for me zzz
  20. If you mean the long range forecasts have to disagree - they consistently mention an Atlantic dominated theme on every update since year dot . Nothing too skilful there
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